Thanks!
2024 U.S. Elections | Trump wins
- Thread starter Raoul
- Start date
Thanks!
It just occurred to me that if Kamala wins she will certify her own election in Congress.
That's pretty cool, would equally suck if she has to certify Trump though!
The right wing media types will have a field day with that, even though it's not without precedence.
Well it's also without alternative so I'll be looking forward to the unfounded meltdowns.
I could write an entire essay on all the issues with HarmonyOS.
Apple does not need to "innovate" it's phones. It does not need to reinvent the wheel. iPhone 16 is much superior to Huawei's offering simply because of its AI capabilities which
a) China does not match
b) Refuses to allow OpenAI stuff due to internal domestic politics.
Also, it's new Trifold phone costs more than my 16" M2 Macbook Pro Workstation
@AfonsoAlves you're truly the World Champion of taking threads off topic You have help, but you're always valiantly leading the charge.
You have help, but you're always valiantly leading the charge.@AfonsoAlves you're truly the World Champion of taking threads off topic
Sorry, I promise I'm not doing this on purpose
You couldn't pay me enough to use a Chinese state developed OS on my smartphone.
Tbh it’s most likely no worse than what you are using now. Facebook and Google probably have your dick pics stored without you knowing ages ago.
90% of people who vote for him are entirely clueless about what he did as president. All they care about is that he says he will fix things they are bothered by.
No doubt, but they're doing it for profit. Disgusting but simple motive with relatively predictable outcomes. People don't understand how fecked up the Chinese government is yet.
Ditching both Linux and Android sounds like a losing move for phone OS development honestly.
Even Microsoft lost that battle and they had a head start.
To put it in Balmer's terms, it's all about
"Developers, Developers, Developers. Developers, Developers, Developers."
It's hard to see a critical mass of developers bother to code for a third platform.
Even Microsoft lost that battle and they had a head start.
To put it in Balmer's terms, it's all about
"Developers, Developers, Developers. Developers, Developers, Developers."
It's hard to see a critical mass of developers bother to code for a third platform.
For real
I’d rather my data goes to some advertisers trying to sell me shit than an authoritarian unfriendly government using it for feck knows what purpose
I don't think you need to worry about that, the Chinese government will no doubt "encourage" the developers of the Chinese social networks, shopping, banking, games apps etc. to jump in. They might not be able to run Facebook but the Chinese government won't be concerned about that.
Honestly I don't care much about AI and of course my Huawei phone has all the AI functions integrated in Android.
As I can compare (GF got iPhone 14 pro max) the Huawei phone is superior in most aspects. Charging time and especially the camera. We comparing pictures a lot and even she admits it but loves her Apple phone nevertheless. To come back on topic.
It's like with Trump. Most know he is an idiot but vote for him anyway.
As of now you are right. However, when all the other Chinese manufacturers join Huawei this will change quickly.
This possibility is just a Trump presidency and new trade war away. Aside of Google and Samsung there aren't many major phone makers that aren't Chinese.
Please knock off the Huawei phone stuff. I get how the conversation started but open a new thread if you want to talk about it.
I'm sure it will be a smashing state-mandated success in China. Not so much in the global market.
A + Poll
First two are A +, Emerson is A-
Not looking good for Harris really. Trump is still the favourite.
I wouldn't take the guy's comment seriously. She is polling comparable to where Biden was in PA four years ago, and Biden was born in PA.
More worried about them being tied nationally, never a good thing for the democrat.
Harris is having a clear post debate bounce in every swing state. The previous trend was driven by Trump gradually eroding her previous post-announcement surge. This seems to have largely reestablished her momentum.
She's up about 3.3 in the FiveThirtyEight average. If you look at all the polls on the below page, she is up in all of the recent ones, occasionally outside the margin of error. Things are definitely looking better for her post debate.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
Tied nationally means nothing thanks to the EC. All that matters, which is so stupid, is how she is doing in the swing states.
Looks to me that Trump has got a bounce after that 2nd assassination attempt.
I just don't believe some of these polls. There's no way she's up 5 in PA and tied nationally. I realise margin of error is a thing, and assume that things are hitting either end of that margin, in opposite directions.
Anyway, her and her team know what they need to be doing, and are out there trying to do it. You can't rely on Trump to self-sabotage because even as he's lighting himself on fire, his cult are basking in the flames. And the media coverage is making all the same mistakes as 2016. That's probably the hardest bit for me to deal with. All the post-mordems from the 'serious media' about how badly they covered Trump last time and those appear to have been memory-holed in the ever-lasting quest for eyeballs and clicks. F*ck the media.
Anyway, her and her team know what they need to be doing, and are out there trying to do it. You can't rely on Trump to self-sabotage because even as he's lighting himself on fire, his cult are basking in the flames. And the media coverage is making all the same mistakes as 2016. That's probably the hardest bit for me to deal with. All the post-mordems from the 'serious media' about how badly they covered Trump last time and those appear to have been memory-holed in the ever-lasting quest for eyeballs and clicks. F*ck the media.
I wouldn't believe in single polls either. I do however place more significance in polling averages and general trends. G Elliot Morris' above tweet clearly shows Harris as having noticeable post debate momentum, which is backed up by Silver's day to day chart of where Harris and Trump's are making gains.
Little confused as to why the national would be a tie while PA would be +4 Harris?
Most others have those numbers the other way round.
But lets assume that this poll is a true reflection as of today, where is Trump getting those votes from that would allow him to tie in a national poll?
Both may be outliers. As in, she is not actually up +4 in PA; she may instead by up 1 or is tied with him there, which would corroborate the results of some of the other highly rated polls that have come out over night. The national polls may also be off by 3 or 4 imo, since the polling averages have Harris up by 3.2 nationally.
Same. This feels like an outlier. I'm sceptical of all polls. If the pollster happens to sample another set of voters on that same day, it could easily be 5 or 6 points different.
Re the comments on the media, what do you expect them to be doing? I feel they have effectively fack checked his BS. Even the WSJ did a piece on the Cats and Dogs story being fake news, which Vance's staffers confirmed prior to Trump embarrassing himself at the debate.
They both look like outliers.
But given that its a A+ rated poll, once the PA results get added to the Silver and 538 models, it will boost Harris's odds dramatically.
Where do you see that?
At this point I think you should stop giving them the benefit of the doubt by calling them mistakes. I don’t think they are, I think it is intentional because Trump is great for ratings.
My dream outcome for this election. Trump wins the popular vote, but Harris wins the EC with over 300 - she takes PA, MI, WI, GA and NC by a point each.
Would love to see Trump and the Republicans complain about the unfairness of the EC for the next four years.
Would love to see Trump and the Republicans complain about the unfairness of the EC for the next four years.
Even before its added to the various models, Silver, whose model has been perceived as the least favorable to Harris, already has her about to reclaim her favorite status.
What should they do? Ignore him? Very hard to do that when he sets himself on fire every day with ludicrous comments.
If they did ignore him, people would complain that they should be showing him making a fool of himself.
It is not like they are covering his rallies in full, like they did in 2016. Even Fox news are cutting away from his rallies, although normally when he starts talking about the 2020 election and Hannibal Lecter.
I doubt it. It's probably going to be more intensive "election was stolen again" narrative.