ManUtd1999
Full Member
- Joined
- Sep 22, 2013
- Messages
- 4,803
Same with the model of Silver:
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
I will need some of her new whiskey if I have been decieved.Maybe no Bey.
What's the whisky's name?I will need some of her new whiskey if I have been decieved.
I am in a hotel room right now, breaking up my drive to my new job in NC. Wasn't expecting to move to it becoming a blue state.
Stop threatening me with a good time. Honestly, I would take a Harris loss in NC ( as long as she wins overall) as long as Robinson loses. As someone who lives here, that dude is terrifying.
SirDavisWhat's the whisky's name?
From your post to Gods earsI dont think he is winning.
He is probably a big reason why Harris could win the state.
From your post to Gods ears
True on Allison, but we are still fecked till at least 2028.I think he's too toxic to win, honestly. Stein isn't Cooper, but he just has to be mostly normal. Robinson and, further down ballot, Michele Morrow are so unhinged they'll probably hurt Republicans statewide. The people of NC could surprise us, but his polling is extremely bad right now. Hopefully Stein and Rachel Hunt both win so we don't have the threat of an insane Lieutenant Governor like we've had for 12 years. The downside for Hunt would be LGs are on a losing streak in the governor's race. Maybe her last name and father would help her for a Senate run.
I just need Allison Riggs to win. That's probably the most important state-wide election this year. It's the only way we'll eventually get out of the gerrymandering hell we've been in for 13ish years.
Think about this scenario: the “sunbelt path”. If Harris wins AZ, NV, GA and NC, she will get 275 electoral college votes. This might be a less likely path, but definitely possible.I think he's too toxic to win, honestly. Stein isn't Cooper, but he just has to be mostly normal. Robinson and, further down ballot, Michele Morrow are so unhinged they'll probably hurt Republicans statewide. The people of NC could surprise us, but his polling is extremely bad right now. Hopefully Stein and Rachel Hunt both win so we don't have the threat of an insane Lieutenant Governor like we've had for 12 years. The downside for Hunt would be LGs are on a losing streak in the governor's race. Maybe her last name and father would help her for a Senate run.
I just need Allison Riggs to win. That's probably the most important state-wide election this year. It's the only way we'll eventually get out of the gerrymandering hell we've been in for 13ish years.
Think about this scenario: the “sunbelt path”. If Harris wins AZ, NV, GA and NC, she will get 275 electoral college votes. This might be a less likely path, but definitely possible.
Probably. If she wins NC, she will likely wins MI too.If she wins it will probably be a bit of both paths, just like Biden’s win.
I am in a hotel room right now, breaking up my drive to my new job in NC. Wasn't expecting to move to it becoming a blue state.
There’s a massive CSA flag on I-85 in upstate SC too. Poor fella got arrested for trying to set it on fire a couple weeks ago.To be clear, where you're moving won't be anything close to blue, unless you go to Asheville. Driving to/from Asheville last week, I passed a huge confederate flag on I-40 and a big "Welcome to Trump Country" sign that reminded me of the old "Welcome to Klan Country" signs that used to be in Eastern NC.
Yes, that was a reasonable stand. If she can back it up, that would be great.Went far more middle ground on Israel/Palestine than I expected tbh
See it every time we drive down to Georgia to see my in laws, and every time I day dream of setting it on fire.There’s a massive CSA flag on I-85 in upstate SC too. Poor fella got arrested for trying to set it on fire a couple weeks ago.
There’s a massive CSA flag on I-85 in upstate SC too. Poor fella got arrested for trying to set it on fire a couple weeks ago.
In 2016, there was the celebration of a first woman leading a major party. Tonight the feeling of something more serious, that there is something at stake. Sure, there was a lot at stake back then, but the celebratory atmosphere took over the convention.It was basically Hillary Clinton’s acceptance speech with better delivery + from a younger orator.
There’s already some blowback on leftists about commitment to arm Israel. Also HasanAbi getting kicked out by DNC handlers when he was being interviewed live to 60k viewers on Twitch by the NYT is dumb a.f, way to get the youth vote,
I said nothing about the vibes, substance of the speech is the same, personal story + women’s right + USA character as a country/Trump attacks + hawkish foreign policy.In 2016, there was the celebration of a first woman leading a major party. Tonight the feeling of something more serious, that there is something at stake. Sure, there was a lot at stake back then, but the celebratory atmosphere took over the convention.
I said nothing about the vibes, substance of the speech is the same, personal story + women’s right + USA character as a country/Trump attacks + hawkish foreign policy.
And it’s kinda funny that the ‘special guest’ turned out to be a nothingburger, and a Palestinian Democrat still didn’t get to speak over Leon Panetta.
A lot of truth here. Agreed.They have a red line, it just doesn't involve a bunch of Arab kids being genocided far, far away. As far as they're concerned, its just unfortunate 'noise' and a distraction from the carnival circle jerk that's happening within the Dem circuit.
And despite what posters say, it absolutely warrants judging someone's moral convictions based on their stance of the genocide. If the argument was a bit more nuanced and delicately caveated with 'Yes I support the Dems, and I find what's happening in Gaza abhorrent, but Trump would be much worse for the US and Gaza, and I feel there's limited scope for electability considering AIPAC's stranglehold, but we'll fight it when another election is secured', then it would warrant a bit more sympathy from me. When you have a bunch of rabid Kamala fans booing anyone who unfurls a 'ceasefire now' banner while covering their ears then names of murdered Palestinian children are read out, then I absolutely am going to judge them and consider them no morally better than the degenerates they're up against.