the conservatives on twitter are all saying it,
You probably answered it there!
I’m deleting the part I’m not replying to specifically because I can’t bold text while on my phone anymore?
the conservatives on twitter are all saying it,
Hopefully it will help motivate some less enthusiastic voters to go vote for Sleepy Joe in November.
How would the US be 'more vulnerable with Biden at the helm than with Trump?'"Hopefully" are you serious?
Biden cannot under any circumstance be the President. He is absolutely not in any fit state to occupy the most powerful job in the World. At a time of deepening international tensions and threat, the US is more vulnerable with Biden at the helm than with Trump.
Biden is effectively a walking corpse now, he is not making the decisions, who is? how will Biden be in 4 years time? It is unthinkable for him to be re-elected.
The biggest threat to the US at the moment is not the prospect of a Trump presidency, it is the lunatics within the Biden family and inner circle that are abusing him and desperately clinging to power for their own self-interest.
"Hopefully" are you serious?
Biden cannot under any circumstance be the President. He is absolutely not in any fit state to occupy the most powerful job in the World. At a time of deepening international tensions and threat, the US is more vulnerable with Biden at the helm than with Trump.
Biden is effectively a walking corpse now, he is not making the decisions, who is? how will Biden be in 4 years time? It is unthinkable for him to be re-elected.
The biggest threat to the US at the moment is not the prospect of a Trump presidency, it is the lunatics within the Biden family and inner circle that are abusing him and desperately clinging to power for their own self-interest.
You’re right, but that’s only because his 3 SCOTUS appointments didn’t into their groove until the last few years where they:
Reduced civil rights
Reduced reproductive rights
Reduced the ability to regulate climate issues
Reduced the ability to prosecute corruption
So yes, the conservative pipe dream is well on its way.
Incredible how the mood changed in the span of a few days , and i feel that myself.
I have been more optimistic than most of Biden's chances, even had him as a slight favorite up until the debate, now?
Feels like a big uphill battle, Biden is further gone than i could have imagined, and really, nothing would feel better than a WH announcement that Biden is calling it a day.
"Four months out from Election Day, the 2024 presidential election is a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 494 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the election could go, while former President Donald Trump wins in 502 of our simulations. There is still a small chance of the pure chaos scenario: In 4 simulations, no candidate wins a majority of Electoral College votes, which would throw the election to the House of Representatives."
Going to be tough. Trump's slightly ahead on 538 now - they were my go to place in 2020 and back then Biden was comfortably ahead all the time https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/?cid=rrpromo
Who cares if Biden is a "walking corpse"? He's got a competent admin full of experienced people around him. Biden himself might be shit, but his admin has been quite successful over the past 3.5 years.
It's not the same 538, mind. Nate Silver is gone, and with him the model they've been using since the start. A lot of the other employees were let go the last couple of years as well.
It's not the same 538, mind. Nate Silver is gone, and with him the model they've been using since the start. A lot of the other employees were let go the last couple of years as well.
Really, how could that be? I know that he has gone, but usually the models/algorithms are IP of the company.It's not the same 538, mind. Nate Silver is gone, and with him the model they've been using since the start. A lot of the other employees were let go the last couple of years as well.
I'd think it's a decent model since ABC is using it? Anyway, do you know what Silver's new model says? I see that it is behind a paywall now. Either way it's not looking very hot!
Really, how could that be? I know that he has gone, but usually the models/algorithms are IP of the company.
Of course, I also guess that the model was constantly getting adjusted and Silver was very good at it, so it might be that the current models are worse.
"It doesn't matter if the president is a walking corpse" is not an argument that will gain traction outside of a party's loyalists. C'mon now.
Jesus, we are on the same side here... I'm just trying to explain that ignorant maniac that Trump would NOT be a better choice than any iteration of Biden. My God.
I'll take 27%, thought it would be worse.
Yes, but I don't think that's true. Not when the 'iteration' of Biden is 'mentally incapable.'
Yes, but I don't think that's true. Not when the 'iteration' of Biden is 'mentally incapable.'
You wouldn't prefer senile Joe Biden with everything he brings in terms of his cabinet, other officials, judge appointments, etc. over Trump and what he will bring? From my perspective, it could be a literal Weekend at Bernie's scenario, where Kamala has to physically steer Biden's hand as he signs legislature, and I would prefer that to Trump, Project 2025 and a conservative SCOTUS for the next 40 years.
Who cares if Biden is a "walking corpse"? He's got a competent admin full of experienced people around him.
Really? How low are your expectations of what the POTUS should be exactly?
You need to wake up, it is a matter of absolute urgency for the DNC to overthrow Biden and put in a half competent person there.
It is NOT ok to have a walking corpse in the position of POTUS. His people are not competent, they are lying to you and have been for years. They know full well the cognitive demise of Joe Biden, but are so desperate to keep power that they will not entertain standing down to allow for a new candidate. Even if that should mean Trump gets the White House.
Donald Trump’s lawyers on Monday asked the New York judge who presided over his hush-money trial to set aside his conviction and delay his sentencing, scheduled for later this month.
The letter to Judge Juan M Merchan cited the US supreme court’s ruling earlier Monday and asked the judge to delay the former president’s sentencing while he weighs the high court’s decision and how it could influence the New York case, according to the letter obtained by the Associated Press.
The lawyers argue that the supreme court’s decision confirmed a position the defense raised earlier in the case that prosecutors should have been precluded from introducing some evidence they said constituted official presidential acts, according to the letter.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/01/trump-hush-money-supreme-court-immunity
Would this happen?
This SCOTUS ruling is probably a slight positive for Biden, purely in terms of his chances to get re-elected. It partly shifts the focus from his disastrous debate performance, and towards Trump's authoritarianism. Hopefully it will help motivate some less enthusiastic voters to go vote for Sleepy Joe in November.
No, you need to wake up and educate yourself on US affairs.
You're not responding to any of the issues that have been raised nor any of the information you have been given by several posters. I am all for replacing Biden with another candidate IF that gives the Dems a better chance of beating Trump. If Biden's the horse, then everyone have to ride him all the way like one of the Dem donors put it the other day. I only care about the numbers and the chance of keeping Trump and his far right extremists out of the WH. That's all anyone should care about if they care about that country only one ounce.
Would you like to elaborate on the matter of SCOTUS? Abortion? Project 25? Presidential immunity? Gerrymandering? Trump likely would cut off help to Ukraine? Trump's role in J6 basically trying to overturn a legal election?
Look, I'm not trying to be an ass here. I just don't get you. Are you genuinely serious? Or are you just argumentative because you're pissed that Biden is not liberal enough, Gaza etc whatever? I know you as a smart poster, I know that you know the same as I do. I know you possess a great deal of knowledge on this topic. I know that you are aware of Project 2025, the SCOTUS situation, abortion etc. The recent SCOTUS ruling that would make Trump lick his fat little fingers at the prospect of "immunity" if he gets back in etc.
What gives? Do you hate the current status quo so much you'd rather see the US burn itself to the ground in the hope of something better rising from the ashes in 30 years time? That ain't happening. How exactly is all of that better than Biden being senile? Worst case scenario: his competent people around him keeps things ticking along for a few years. 2nd worst case scenario: He dies of old age or is removed by the 25th amendment and a capable VP takes over and the world moves on with business as usual.
"Any iteration of a Democratic president (including a mentally incapable one) is preferable to Trump" is an extraordinary claim, that's why I can't agree with it, and I don't imagine many other people will.
I am much more ideologically aligned with the Democrats than with the Republicans, and I give a lot of priority to ideology, so it's basically impossible for me to prefer a Republican administration over a Democratic one, in broad terms. But politics isn't just about ideology. There are matters that are apolitical, matters of 'competence', 'capacity', etc. Even for someone like me who prioritizes ideology, I cannot go as far as saying that a mentally incompetent person who is closer ideologically to me will always be better than Trump. It's probably true in most cases, but I think you are seriously lacking in imagination if you think the "worst case scenario" of having a mentally incapable president is literally nothing.
I suspect where we disagree is really on the matter of competence. I don't think the Trump administration was dramatically incompetent and I don't think the Biden administration has been dramatically competent. Beyond disagreeing ideologically on things like Gaza, you can't possibly look at that and think "they're doing a great job by their standards I just disagree with them."
I disagree here. Electoral chances notwithstanding the DNC has a duty to present the public with a competent president. If Biden is incompetent (as he manifestly appears to be) then it is an affront to democracy and American security to have him continue. A defence of democracy cannot be started from a position where you expect America to vote for a slate of unelected mandarins. America needs to be able to choose a fully functioning human being as its leader (Jesus fecking Christ I can't believe I typed that sentence).
. When people stay home it won't be their fault Trump is elected it'll be those who served up shite.
Is Trump a «fully functioning human»?
When people stay home it won't be their fault Trump is elected it'll be those who served up shite.