Swing from previous elections
2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed
- Thread starter Raoul
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Fine
Still early days, but NYT needle does note bode well for Harris.
I'm feeling pretty hopeless...?
Any semi-entertaining live streams reacting to the election? I'm watching Hasan on Twitch but it's a bit dull.
2016 was great with TYT's descent into madness, Bill Burr's election night stream and Nick Mullen guesting everywhere. Can't even remember 2020.
2016 was great with TYT's descent into madness, Bill Burr's election night stream and Nick Mullen guesting everywhere. Can't even remember 2020.
Fecking hell. What a world.
It's far too early. Nothing surprising has really happened yet.
Too early for that. If nothing changes trajectory wise in an hour or so then yeah maybe worry a bit
So men did infact turn out in numbers for Trump?
Data on independents, some of the exit poll data of swings vs. 2020. It's plenty of incremental positive nuggets for Trump, very few (if any?!) for Harris.
Virginia.. what?
Well done Murica. You’re actually doing it… again
There's no reason to be. Harris is underperforming in certain areas, but is still on track in the blue wall states. Until Trump wins one of them, she still has a decent shot at winning.
immediately drops to 160k
College towns have improved for Harris vs 2020, but that's it.
Virginia got called for Harris, maybe folks can stop talking about it now.
If momentum in an election night is a thing....it's red.
GA has gone Trump
Well no, she should win it - the percentage point margin is of interest.
There's about 1 point in it. I wouldn't say it's gone yet, but he's definitely favoured at the moment.
AP called?
I'm not sure about that. There was talk in the past few days of polls overestimating Trump and Harris picking up a lot of momentum. However in some states where we might be able to see some evidence of this (Georgia, Florida) we simply aren't, if anything going the other way. Seen a lot of positive numbers and indications for Trump, not a lot of good news for Harris so far.
This doesn’t look good at all no matter which battleground state you look at
Can't believe this is actually happening
I said it on here before and plenty of articles have been written on it the last year: he has been tapping into the "poor straight men" who have to fight for their "right" to compete with women, LGBTQ folks, pet pandas and illegal immigrants under the guise of testosterone raaaawwwr! Making the privileged feel oppressed. Where have I heard that before...
Yep it shouldn't be this close. Hopeless country. They deserve what happens next. I'm so tired of the bullshit.
CNN hasn’t called it. Only 50% of the vote is in.
No. Only 47% reported so far.
@Morty_ , if you're going to say something was called, say by who.
DecisiondeskHQ called it, works for me, state is not going red.
Indeed. The Seltzer poll and subsequent theory that herding/ pollsters scared of underestimating Trump for a third election in a row had pivoted too far.... is not looking likely. And that was the driver of a lot of the excitement on here and in Dem circles over recent days. Ex that, prospects are clearly leaning Trump.
Does anyone remember if 2020 was like this or a clear lead for Biden throughout?
Is Trump doing better than 2020?
Is Trump doing better than 2020?
not from what I see.
I said it on here before and plenty of articles have been written on it the last year: he has been tapping into the "poor straight men" who have to fight for their "right" to compete with women, LGBTQ folks, pet pandas and illegal immigrants under the guise of testosterone raaaawwwr! Making the privileged feel oppressed. Where have I heard that before...
Latino men being reluctant to vote for a woman should come as no surprise. Trump has cultivated a macho image (without actually being macho) with various male groups, so I suspect that is paying off here.
Who? I'm seeing red for Virginia
Imagine reelecting this guy. Actually watching it happening live again. Feels like 2016 over again although not quite as shocking this time around.
Trump is doing better with Hispanics and white men in exurbs. Harris with younger college educated men. More of the former vote than the latter.
If it gives anyone hope, that Brannon guy has already said they are preparing to challenge the result of Trump loses
So they're at least considering defeat
So they're at least considering defeat
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