2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed

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Raoul said:
Suspect we have a few first timers in here who don't know how the game works.
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Seriously, this image keeps popping into my head…

James_Franco_First_Time.jpg
 
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Raoul said:
Because Cincinnati, Cleveland, and Columbus have already reported most of their votes, which tend to lean Dem in the larger cities. Many rural counties remain uncounted, which once that happens will slowly allow Trump to catch and pass her.
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Ah, thanks, that's what I feared.
 
Raoul said:
Because depending on the state, Democrats or Republicans are always expected to win because their voters consistently outnumber the opposition. The only 7 where that isn't the case are the 7 swing states.
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FortunaUtd said:
Not a daft question but an easy answer. Because they have one candidate as the certain winner.
The only interesting ones, and the ones who decide the election, are the ones where it is not clear who wins.
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Krakenzero said:
Because the difference between both candidates is too big to be realistically feasible for one to leapfrog the other. They are easy to predict and are therefore counted in advance for each candidate.

The exception might be Iowa, that was seen as safely red but a reliable late poll gave that state to Harris by a 3% margin.
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Ah, makes sense! Thanks folks
 
Given how close Georgia was last time, Harris is consistently running slightly behind Biden it seems in counties so I suspect GA is a lost cause. Which leaves NC as important but of course the most critical one as PA.
 
RoadTrip said:
Given how close Georgia was last time, Harris is consistently running slightly behind Biden it seems in counties so I suspect GA is a lost cause. Which leaves NC as important but of course the most critical one as PA.
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I wasn't counting on GA anyway (although its too early to write it off). She simply needs to win that blue wall, and snag NC as an insurance policy in case something goes wrong up north.
 
GA: Trump winning, 37% in.
NC: Harris winning, 8% in.
PA: Harris winning, 5% in.
MI: Harris winning, 2% in.

That's what matters so far. Still a long way to go.
 
Cheeky bet on Harris to win @ 2.70 (17/10) odds? Does that seem as good value or too much of a roulette bet?
 
Probably won't last, but Allred is leading by 1-2 points, with 17% reported in Texas.
 
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