It's early. This is all why I miss the needle, because it's all about how they're doing relative to expectations/past performance by county.
2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed
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Greatest country on earth. And I mean it.
Notice how it's statistically true that most dogs look like their owners.
Also, have I only went to make a cup of tea, did I stumble in to the Election Match Day Thread by accident?
way too early
The margin is all I'm talking about. Now it's 11% in favour of Harris. I'm just looking at that. Obviously it's early. But this is all there is to go by. These things go on for about a day. Not my first rodeo. Just going by past six or so elections and looking at change in state margins.
He needs North Carolina as well for that to be the case.
You’re talking about a woman who has had Donald Trumps lad in her mouth.
I reckon she can handle a couple of hours sat next to Boris.
Georgia is looking fairly red on the markets that must not be named.
This thread is absolutely bipolar.
You can't just post a random update for votes and then say "omg 2% counted and he's winning by 50" and then claim the election is over.
If you're going to doom post. Actually post confirmed doom results and information. Stop fecking posting that a minor change in votes is the election being over.
fecking hell.
You can't just post a random update for votes and then say "omg 2% counted and he's winning by 50" and then claim the election is over.
If you're going to doom post. Actually post confirmed doom results and information. Stop fecking posting that a minor change in votes is the election being over.
fecking hell.
Same thing happened. The Red Mirage is because mail-in ballots are counted later, and the red districts have fewer people so are easier to finish counting than blue, metropolitan areas.
Huge Taiwanese communities in VA. These people know what’s on the line so I’m not stressed.
Suspect we have a few first timers in here who don't know how the game works.
Yeah, surprised how little of this there's been on CNN. There's been too much of their intense music, reading numbers and John King playing with his map without saying anything, or making actual comparisons to last year. Where's the bloody needle
Why is VA not called yet? NOVA hasn't even come in and she's already leading
No, this is as expected. No one thought Dems were winning Florida.
yup, it's at about 10% now i think. cnn could be behind for me howard nurse style tbf.
There was some sort of correlation between the two groups as I recall. I’ve no idea how that was arrived at mind you.
To be fair if anyone else claims Skybet or any of the sportsbooks knows anything then I am all for banning all betting chat.
Big for Trump then #feckcommies
Nice! Fox News already calling NC Gov for Stein
Polymarket's had a big move as well, though they've always been much more pro Trump than the consensus. Assuming it doesn't mean much, but the move is noteworthy
No.
Laurens County is one of the reddest places in South Carolina. But it’s also the former home of the head of SC’s KKK, and David Dukes did endorse Jill Stein, so… maybe?
Better exit polls in Pennsylvania for Harris I think.
DecisionDeskHQ leaning Trump now
Weren’t they leaning Trump all day?
that and Robinson’s shit tails.
I'm a first timer and am leaving all the info posting to the vets. Not gonna lie, I'm lost on most of it anyway!
Georgia swung back to Biden pretty late last time didn't it?
Early numbers look grim
Early numbers look grim
Dems won it by 10% in 2020, so the margin is about the same with 1/5 of the ballots counted so far.
Ohio numbers look odd
Just for the noobies, the only thing that matters right now is these 7 states:
-GA (Trump now winning with 19% of votes in)
-NC (Harris winning with 2% in)
-PA (closes now)
-MI (hasn't closed yet)
-WI (same)
-AZ (same)
-NV (same)
Maaaybe Iowa will be a thing too. All of the rest is white noise. If you try to interpret it you would probably get it wrong. Keep calm.
-GA (Trump now winning with 19% of votes in)
-NC (Harris winning with 2% in)
-PA (closes now)
-MI (hasn't closed yet)
-WI (same)
-AZ (same)
-NV (same)
Maaaybe Iowa will be a thing too. All of the rest is white noise. If you try to interpret it you would probably get it wrong. Keep calm.
Because the rurals report first.
The whole ball game is in Metro Atlanta and Chatham (Savannah)
Huge turnout in Philadelphia apparently
We'll have half the mail in votes in PA in a few mins.
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