2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed
- Thread starter Raoul
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Would be interesting given he's Jewish.
Nightmare blunt rotation.
Wow, economy far more important in Georgia. Thats not good.
Oh god. Them Georgia exit polls
Also look how low foreign policy matters (not at all)
Also look how low foreign policy matters (not at all)
Those exit polls not so great in Georgia it seems.
They do it all the time. It makes perfect sense.
Trump 1/3 on for Georgia. Not looking good at all. Shocking.
Channel 4 is an absolute mess.
Betfair has Trump at 7/10 and no Vegas facility is manipulating that with the sheer depth of liquidity. Not saying Trump will win but to say people are being manipulated to bet on the favourite doesn’t make any sense as the money it would take to move the market is astronomical.
They would be betting themselves on Trump to move the market more favourable to him and losing their own money to manipulate punters to hop on the Trump bet moving the price lower which doesn’t give them the exit unless they know the result of the election (which they don’t)
you'd get absolutely slaughtered by betfair traders if you did this and your business would go bust very quickly
Oh feck off Elon.
The betting market discussion again? Yay…
TRIP podcast announced some sourced exit poll, didn’t catch it all but it wasn’t good for Harris.
Well, I said this:
and after that schooling from Amorim, I am all out, so I'll do something very British whilst investing my time in America's future and have some pie with gravy.
Again, I catch flac because no one (understandably) wants to hear it, but I think Trump will win.
The caveat though is that I gave him GA at a far higher likelihood than 1/3 in my own calculus. That's not how he wins, if he does win. It's the three northern states. And that pathway is almost certain now if NC repeats the GA exit polls. I.e., the road to the presidency is through those three states.
One thing: early days but Trump is outperforming his KY run in 2016 and 2020 by about 4%-5%. This could narrow. If not, it makes things interesting in other states.
I expect to wake up to a trump victory.
Yikes. Trump to win
Y u like this, 'murica?
Given how bad Trump is, what would it say about the Democrats over the past 4 years if he actually wins?
Has Stormy compared Trumps hand size to Noel Gallaghers yet?
I’m on a polling line to vote in New Jersey for more than 2 hours so far, that’s crazy.
The return to office of a serial sexual offender and fascist traitor, is that what you are celebrating?
I think it says a lot more about America and just how broken their political system is
Relax guys. Trump was favorite on betting websites against Biden until about 10 pm EST. Then magic started happening. The dead rose and red mirage was replaced by the blue sky.
Fecking Kentucky... I'm boycotting KFC for the next 4 years.
Why, exactly?
Why is everyone dooming suddenly?
8-3 to Trump, Harris with it all to do to turn this game around.
Hmmm, Amy is as confident too. Not quite sure where that confidence is coming from at the moment as from what I'm seeing, it's looking exactly as the polls have been saying... An absolute coin toss.
Not much.
What's making you say that?
The good news is that we can make that happen. The bad news is that it's Finn Wolfhard from Stranger Things.
I hope you are right! I am getting worried now
Economy. People are surprised here - not all tbf - but think about the last four years.
Covid, Russia, Inflation, cost of living, etc. The economy was clearly better four years ago if only because of the cost of living crisis. Now, this isn't to say Biden/Harris are to blame but that is typically what we do in elections: blame the incumbent if our lives are worse off (economically) than they were before we elected them. This is why Harris has tried to stay completely away from Biden. The question is whether it works in the northern states.
Betting market?
Florida hasn't even reported yet, they are dooming earlier than 2020
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