2022 US Elections
- Thread starter calodo2003
- Start date
The youth vote were down from 2018. It’s not uniquely high this cycle.
It’s more the case that Dobbs and election denial really fecked the GOP wherever they are an issue and D have a chance (swing states), either in the form of ballot measures or MAGA candidates running. All Stop the Steal candidates running for Secretary of State positions in battleground states were defeated, for instance. D also seemed to successfully ratfecked the GOP this time for once by pushing that sort of candidates in R primaries.
There was more youth vote in 18 v 22? I could have sworn I read something to the contrary.
I would say we should wait till actual demographic data is released. Reaching conclusions of voting demographics based only on exit polls is a bit of a risk.
The CNN article I quoted earlier said it was average and in line with the past 20 years of midterms.
"A look at the data suggests there probably wasn’t a surge of youth participation relative to the rest of the electorate. But it does suggest that Democrats defied election expectations this year because of a historically large age gap that saw young voters overwhelmingly back Democratic candidates.
The lack of a youth surge becomes quickly apparent when you look at the exit polls. Voters under the age of 30 made up 12% of all voters. In every midterm in the last 20 years, this group has made up between 11% and 13% of the electorate." - CNN
According to NYTimes, 27% of youth turned out and 63% voted for Democrats in 2022 (data available for now) vs 31% of youth turned out and 67% voted for Democrats in 2018.
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Must....not.......allow.....hope......inside....
I don't wanna be that guy, but his prediction has changed. He said 220.
Someone's got to split hairs.
He adjusted after BoBo held on.
The "problem" is that you can vote in these states the day of the election by mail, and it can come in for some states even a week after postmark date. California for instance always takes long but it never used to matter as the race was called before they finished counting
And sometimes you actually, physically, cant count mail in ballots until after voting has closed on Election Day. The Republican legislature of PA passed a law dictating such, then their candidates went out and raised a stink about the legitimacy of those ballots. They can be received, signature verified and sorted, ready to go into the counting machine, but they aren’t allowed to be tabulated until the EDay votes come in.
A good point, poorly made. Bellend
Brutal. Not going to lie though, Hercules/Xena tv block was my jam back in the day.
I love that Xena hates his guts and destroys him on twitter too
She's not such a bad gal, for a cylon.
I hope everyone realizes this guy isn't actually some kind of genius who has finally figured out projecting election results in the US. He's done well this time, though.
He's a lot better than those overpaid so-called experts.
This time. Someone's right every time, it's just that next time they're Trafalgar this year instead.
Agreed, it's the law of large numbers.
Yes that's usually an issue for the day after election... The reason this is taking so long and always takes long is due to post marked ballots being given the chance to be counted even a week after the actual election.
If you’re really bored, go onto Facebook and go onto the 1776 Nation group page.
It’s full of thousands folks who think the US is currently under a military occupation led by Trump and that the current admin and elections are something like the curtain in the wizard of Oz.
It’s full of thousands folks who think the US is currently under a military occupation led by Trump and that the current admin and elections are something like the curtain in the wizard of Oz.
They (538) ARE the experts converting lite to deluxe, otherwise they might as well be a poll aggregator.
Remember in 2020 we had that guy who worked as a pollster, would love his thoughts right now. I think he shut down his account though
In English pleaseA .22lr Walther…? Wtf was the standard .380 ACP too much kick for him?
I tried to read some of the posts on there and got a headache.
He has little gun that go boom less than other gun goes boom.
And then a silencer on top? So it goes boom
A .380 ACP is also called a 9mm Short… it’s a 9mm projectile with less power than a normal 9mm. A 9mm is a pretty light cartridge already, so a .380 is very easy shooting.
A .22lr has so little recoil that you could just about hold it against your testicles and pull the trigger without hesitation.
And I know people who thinks those types are gonna fall in line and support DeSantis