2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress

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RCP numbers

Despite leading, Biden's not been able to build any sort of + momentum
Warren is doing well
Sanders tapering off
The rest of the field seems weak
 
@Sweet Square love the smell of fresh polling in the morning


Looking at the disagrees on qs. 1, the highest is from young minorities (20/24% hispanic/aa 18-34) and worst is from older african americans (2%). Also as expected, Republican voters (especially men) disagree a fair bit (17%) compared to the other extreme of female Dems/Inds (8/5%) or just older Dems as a whole (4%). By ideology, the strongest agree comes from moderate Dems (94%). Very small class differences (more disagrees for working class), more unsures for unemployed.

For the 2nd qs., best support (>90%) comes from Latinos, and minority millenials. 100% from Hispanic men, btw! More from Republican than Dem voters (cry laugh emoji etc). Especially conservative non-whites. Also divorced dads, for some reason. And working class and unemployed.
 
The Tulsi and Yang numbers hurt Bernie. Yang in particular has similar demographics (young), and I can't imagine a single Tulsi voter who wasn't a 2016 Bernie voter.
He has a -76 net fav among her supporters.

We can of course choose to disbelieve that, but her voters do seem to be made up of 4chan edgelords who got disappointed with Trump on vape/games/war.
 
Where would hillary be if Biden dropped out and she entered?
No doubt with a lot of donations to find her?

She is a more articulate candidate.
And she is known.
Biden's baggage is new.

Just my thoughts.
I think the Dems must think people will have second thoughts this time round and give Hillary a second chance.

But whatever, they do not seem confident of Biden in the GE.
 
He has a -76 net fav among her supporters.

We can of course choose to disbelieve that, but her voters do seem to be made up of 4chan edgelords who got disappointed with Trump on vape/games/war.

Wow. Do you have a poll with that (hopefully more than one)? It contrdicts what I've seen on certain subreddits (wayofthebern in particular is in love with her, and has been since 16)
 
Wow. Do you have a poll with that (hopefully more than one)? It contrdicts what I've seen on certain subreddits (wayofthebern in particular is in love with her, and has been since 16)
I made a mistake, it is actually -30 (-76 is for Biden, which makes way more sense now)

So basically 1 in 3 of her voters definitely wasn’t there in 16, rest is up for debate.

 
Eboue I gotta say I clearly wasn't convinced before that we need Bernie but after seeing even more of what local and state politics have been reduced to these past two+ years- I think I may be coming to grips with the idea that there simply is no alternative if we want to restore some sanity to this country.
 
The one without Russian interference...


only we will have even more so this cycle.
But she is a better candidate than Biden.

People in the important areas don’t like her.
No amount of campaigning is going to fix that.

if the Democrats put her forward, they deserve to lose.
 


She must be so damn insulated.

How on earth has she not heard the message “Nobody will vote for you because you’re a cnut”

She is an awful human being. She’s principled. Has a moral code that she sticks to. But her principles don’t help people, and her moral code is deplorable.

She is an awful person. It’s not because she’s female. Or black. She unelectable because she has a documented past of shitty behaviour that has punished the needy, and never shown any contrition for that. She is a garbage person and every single word written about her is a wasted one.

Everyone else in the Democratic race has a better position on everything she stands for.
 
Looking at the disagrees on qs. 1, the highest is from young minorities (20/24% hispanic/aa 18-34) and worst is from older african americans (2%). Also as expected, Republican voters (especially men) disagree a fair bit (17%) compared to the other extreme of female Dems/Inds (8/5%) or just older Dems as a whole (4%). By ideology, the strongest agree comes from moderate Dems (94%). Very small class differences (more disagrees for working class), more unsures for unemployed.

For the 2nd qs., best support (>90%) comes from Latinos, and minority millenials. 100% from Hispanic men, btw! More from Republican than Dem voters (cry laugh emoji etc). Especially conservative non-whites. Also divorced dads, for some reason. And working class and unemployed.
Is there any reason why older african americans are more conservative than others ? I'm guessing the church still plays something of a role and in the end they are still boomers but it seems a real sticking point. Biden is still doing great with older african americans, right ? I'm sort of surprised why Harris isn't doing well with these voters considering her politics.

Also hot take - Americans are too nice for class politics.
 
Is there any reason why older african americans are more conservative than others ? I'm guessing the church still plays something of a role and in the end they are still boomers but it seems a real sticking point. Biden is still doing great with older african americans, right ? I'm sort of surprised why Harris isn't doing well with these voters considering her politics.

Also hot take - Americans are too nice for class politics.

Are they really more conservative, though? Compare them to old white people, not just other Democrats. The black vote leans heavily Democratic in the first place, much more so than the white vote.
 
This seems significant, especially if it puts pressure on Facebook to follow suit.

 
A final note. This isn’t about free expression. This is about paying for reach. And paying to increase the reach of political speech has significant ramifications that today’s democratic infrastructure may not be prepared to handle.

Anyone else feel this isn't likely to hold up? (As in Superpacs etc. will sue that it limits their freedom of speech).
 
Anyone else feel this isn't likely to hold up? (As in Superpacs etc. will sue that it limits their freedom of speech).

Twitter is a private company. They don’t have to allow anyone you use their platform, less still be forced to accept their money so that can.
 
Twitter is a private company. They don’t have to allow anyone you use their platform, less still be forced to accept their money so that can.
Aren't private TV stations forced to do some things though? Hope you're right for what it's worth.
 
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