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Trump is extremely unpopular. I think The Democratic nominee will win.
But the key is he or she must deliver. 4 more years of lip service will bring forward another crazy.
The country is at the brink.
the sad thing is people on either side want the same thing and neither party is honest enough to deliver.
Both parties are owned by corporations.
Liz Warren drawing unusually big crowds these days
Hasn't that pretty much become a standard thing to do for every presidential hopeful?
I don't give much credence to this. They assume centrists don't speak about class issues, which is incorrect. Biden is popular because he can swing the working class votes from Midwest away from Trump.There is hard data that shows that a centrist Democrat would be a losing candidate
https://www.rawstory.com/2019/06/th...entrist-democrat-would-be-a-losing-candidate/
There was a yougov poll within the last week showing Bernie beating Biden.I'm a sucker. I actually thought Bernie had a shot this time around, but yet again Americans flock to the corporate Dem because gee he's just so relatable and exactly the kind of guy you'd want to have a beer with. For fecks sake..
I'm a sucker. I actually thought Bernie had a shot this time around, but yet again Americans flock to the corporate Dem because gee he's just so relatable and exactly the kind of guy you'd want to have a beer with. For fecks sake..
They perceive Biden as the guy who can beat Trump. It’s as simple as that. Also, a lot of Dems don’t view Presidential politics through the lens of class warfare, which Sanders relies on for much of his support. If he can sell his message beyond the us vs them construct then he will do very well. If on the other hand he continues to harp on “millionaires and billionaires”, and his candidacy is broadly framed as being only about class, then he won’t win.
They perceive Biden as the guy who can beat Trump. It’s as simple as that. Also, a lot of Dems don’t view Presidential politics through the lens of class warfare, which Sanders relies on for much of his support. If he can sell his message beyond the us vs them construct then he will do very well. If on the other hand he continues to harp on “millionaires and billionaires”, and his candidacy is broadly framed as being only about class, then he won’t win.
Shall we just replace Biden with Clinton in that post to see the inherent flaw in the argument?
Biden is actually a lot more personally popular than Clinton though who was highly disliked through her presidential campaign.
He's also got the benefit of close association with the Obama era - while there are plenty of Americans who view Obama as a missed opportunity and someone who was much closer to corporatism than a Dem should be, he remains popular in the eyes of many, an indication of what the country should return to. Biden gets a boost from being his right-hand man in that regard.
Yep, which is also borne out in the early numbers.
Yes but how much of that is people remembering smiley Joe, Obama's right hand man and buddy, and forgetting who Joe Biden actually is?
The creepiness angle won’t matter to a lot of voters other than millennials.Probably a lot, but if the creepiness thing isn't ruining his chances yet he may end up somehow getting through alright.
Yes but how much of that is people remembering smiley Joe, Obama's right hand man and buddy, and forgetting who Joe Biden actually is?
A few of you are ignoring about thousands of years of human politics that indicate that charisma is a significant factor in popular elections. I'm not saying Biden wins the nomination or the election because of it, but he is no Hillary Clinton in that aspect. Even if his policies are identical.
Who he really is aka former VP to Obama. He was never a frontrunner before 2008 was he?Biden has been on the political scene for decades, so it’s quite likely that “who he really is” is already baked into his numbers.
Biden has been on the political scene for decades, so it’s quite likely that “who he really is” is already baked into his numbers.
Biden has been on the political scene for decades, so it’s quite likely that “who he really is” is already baked into his numbers.
That's probably true to some degree, but "who he is" also includes someone who has tried and failed several times to become President. Right now he's the Obama guy, and the only people he has had to publicly in more than a decade the last decade are Sarah Palin and Paul Ryan. I think there's a good chance he ends up as the nominee, but I also think there's a very good chance his numbers start falling once the debates start and the campaign starts in earnest.
Like they were baked into Hillary’s when she was a highly popular SoS under Obama?