MI,WI,PA are the key states where he had no business winning in the first place.
FL is interesting.
2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress
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MI,WI,PA are the key states where he had no business winning in the first place.
FL is interesting.
Schultz 2020
Wow that was painful to watch
Yeah. we need a billionaire to tell us what the average American family needs and we can trust him to fight for them.
The full 10 minutes is even more painful
Trump approval tanks in 5 swing states he won in 2016
Beyond the "4 decades old article" point, that interpretation of the title is unfair. I don't think Sanders would object to the idea that he had/has a bias toward the poor.
Seems like none of the Democratic candidates are running away with it.
Bernie is chugging along while Biden is not going to shake off all his touch and feel stuff.
Can see him having his hands behind his back when he talks to a female in future.
Bernie is chugging along while Biden is not going to shake off all his touch and feel stuff.
Can see him having his hands behind his back when he talks to a female in future.
A bit of light hearted fun ?
The flap about Biden putting his hands on shoulders looks to have come and gone with no damage, which was probably down to a good number of women coming to Biden’s defense. If they want to topple him it will have to be on policy.
Say what? I kept hearing about Biden being creepy all weekend. Its not going to topple him obviously (it didn't topple Trump or Bill Clinton either) but it definitely weakens his position as the establishment media's chosen one. Also surprised to see you mention policy when usually you are pointing out how its personality that will be more important. That's where I think Biden sinks. The guy really isn't charismatic and is a bit of a entitled elitist when he speaks so once the real campaigning starts his Boring Joe Biden personality is going to hold him back as well as policy.
The initial uproar has clearly subsided and unless something far worse comes out there wont be any damage.
There wasn't any "damage" to Trump either if you put it that way but it definitely hurts him in the primary by weakening his position. By what standard are you judging it has "clearly subsided"? Just because MSNBC hosts are trying to ignore it?
I'd say the perception of Biden has definitely veered away from friendly and affable old veteran politician - he'd be a dreadful pick from the party at this point.
Biden's weakness besides his lack of policies are his speeches and votes that were definitely anti African American.
People voted for Obama. Now Biden does not have him for cover.
But you can see the MSM getting behind him because they think he has the best chance of beating Trump.
There are far more credible candidates running.
Tim Ryan is interesting.
People voted for Obama. Now Biden does not have him for cover.
But you can see the MSM getting behind him because they think he has the best chance of beating Trump.
There are far more credible candidates running.
Tim Ryan is interesting.
These sorts of things tend to grow or subside. This one looks to be winding down, thus the gleeful exuberance of the Sanders bubble getting excited that Biden's numbers may take a hit may be best replaced by an actual policy debate to take him down.
That's a possibility, another is that he will be widely regarded as the best person to take Trump on. Another is that the public are generally uncomfortable with a near octogenarian being President and would instead go for someone who in their 40s or 50s.
It weakens him tactically because in the general a Biden candidate doesn't have the moral high ground on that issue. Just like with HRC, 'pussy grabber' is going to ring hollow as all feck to any undecided if Biden is the one saying it.
You can also bet someone is going to use it against him in the debates because in that non-apology video he sounded like someone who would give a eulogy for Strom Thurmond. I think its Biden's past that is eventually going to sink him not a policy debate about 2020.
If the Dem establishment still tries to ram this jerk down the people's throats they are handing another term to Trump IMO. The sooner this Republican-lite is out of the race the better for the Dems chances.
We will soon know how things are going to go down since Biden is supposed to announce in the coming weeks and the Dems are going to start debating eachother in June. If come late summer Biden's numbers continue to be what they are now then he will likely be the front runner for much of the primaries.
The odds that the polling numbers will be unchanged after the summer are slim to none. I also doubt this primary cycle develops in such a linear and predictable fashion as your posts indicate.
I think as much of a folly it is in predicting an election in the post 2016 world and despite the number of competitors, the reality of how it will progress is rather straightforward.
You have an elder statesman for both the establishment and progressive wings, and 2 younger candidates that (at least in appearance) represent a mix of the two as competition. Then Warren who unfortunately doesn't stand much of a chance given her credentials and Buttigieg who is lining himself up as the most attractive VP pick.
It's a shame Warren doesn't seem charismatic and skilled enough to mount a proper challenge, in an ideal world she'd potentially serve as a good bridge between the two competing wings of the party. Ultimately can't see her going too far, although she could serve as a key player in regards to who she endorses afterwards.
Could she even end up as a VP to add experience to a ticket?... Beto?, Harris? The butt guy?
Unlikely since Mass has a Republican Governor
If a younger candidate does win then suppose it's a possibility.
Beto would be well served to have her by his side, but unfortunately replacing a Senator in Massachusetts with a Dem isn't as easy as you'd think.
Probably not as hard as replacing Brown should you tag him to try and flip Ohio, but still not a slam-dunk as history has shown us.
Agreed, she would be ideal with him, although the Dems won't want to give up a Senate seat to the other side for it.
warren is finished
Its all just name recognition at this point. Also, Emerson is a landline poll IIRC.
Amazing for Pete to be at 11%
no love for Gililbrand
Its her home state.
And Sanders is from right next door and is an established Presidential candidate. He also happens to be the leading progressive candidate so its expected he will lead progressives in every state.
Four potential front runners after the debates is pretty unpredictable for me. Especially when you throw in two wild cards that are getting buzz. This isn't the best futures market but its good to get a different perspective than polling and polling
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