2018 US Elections

Red Dreams said:
Senate.

Most likely is 50 seats each I think.
Worst as is.

But if Beto defeats Lyin Ted....

:)
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Heidtkamp and McCaskill are definitely going down. Heller may hold serve in NV (too close to call at this point). Sinema looks likely to win. The four other Dems who may have been in danger (Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and Nelson) look like they will hold serve. Bredesen looks like he will lose so the Rs will hold serve in TN. That would be a 1 seat net loss (52-48)
 
Raoul said:
Heidtkamp and McCaskill are definitely going down. Heller may hold serve in NV (too close to call at this point). Sinema looks likely to win. The four other Dems who may have been in danger (Tester, Donnelly, Manchin, and Nelson) look like they will hold serve. Bredesen looks like he will lose so the Rs will hold serve in TN. That would be a 1 seat net loss (52-48)
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I feel good about Nevada.

McCaskill. if The Democrats don't do their job Tuesday. Yes. she goes down.
 
Ubik said:
Friends don't let friends get too involved with early voting numbers.
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Yeah in typical Nate fashion , 538 demolished using early voting as indicative of anything, deliberately not including them in the model .
 
Red Dreams said:
I feel good about Nevada.

McCaskill. if The Democrats don't do their job Tuesday. Yes. she goes down.
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Pretty interesting the only 2 incumbent Democrats that are going to lose are women.
 
Drifter said:
Good news in Georgia regarding non citizens and voting.
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It only affects 3100 of the 53,000.

The rest can vote provisional ballot.

If the difference is between that range on Tuesday, this will end up in court.

It is therefore important to get the vote out.

The voter suppression by the Republicans is just blatant now in so many states.
 
Red Dreams said:
Senate.

Most likely is 50 seats each I think.
Worst as is.

But if Beto defeats Lyin Ted....

:)
Click to expand...
538 predicts 52-48, essentially the two main toss up races to get split. Which to some degree is a good result for Democrats.
 
Red Dreams said:
It does not really change the dynamics that much, especially if the Dems take the house.
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The biggest problem is if one of the old Democrat judges die. While if somehow they get the senate (looks as unlikely as them not winning the house) they could block Trump judges.

Getting the house could stop Trump's plans on building walls and making wars though. No money for him.
 
"He can't even fly our invisible planes."
 
How are people feeling about their respective state level elections? I know people pay more attention to federal (fair enough).

I vote in Maryland. Hogan is surely going to get re-elected Governor . Jealous performing well in defeat could still be good for the Democrat party if it shows the ‘our revolution’ wing is politically viable (not that the corporate dems would admit that).

Sadly I think Gail Bates is going to get re-elected.
 
Live in Minnesota.

Walz (Gov)
(Senators) Klobachar and Smith (Special Election) Franken's seat.

All will come in for Democrats.

Ellison has taken some hits because of made up claims by his ex girlfriend about a physical abuse claim.
But ads are running against a Republican corporate stooge for the AG position.
Ellison should get through.

Walz is pushing a Public Option in Health Care and in fact 2019 premiums will be lower in any case if going through MNSure which anyone can buy through.

MN is moving left and will come in for Bernie in the 2020 caucuses. ;)
 
The great state of California:
11 propositions to vote on alongside the US and State level, county level and city level positions.
Three full pages of ballot that took about 3 hours to research.

On the state: Newsom (D) will win CA governor.
Di-Fi (D) will probably get the US Senate; US Rep will probably go to Rouda (D).
I figure the rest of the CA state govmnt positions will go to the Dems.
 
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