2018 US Elections

One of the best part of the Dems taking the house is Schiff will replace Nunes as committee chair and reopen all the investigations Nunes squashed to protect Trump. People will be subpoenaed, meetings will be in public.
Maxine Waters will also subpoena trump's tax returns.
 
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/

Nate forecasting 6 out 7 chance Dems take the house.

Beto is going to every district, even Deep Red districts getting out people who have not even voted before.

Of course he is also facing the dirty tricks of the Republicans.
Changing the votes.

Reminds me of a Homer Simpson episode.

We are a true Banana Republic now.
 
If Beto can keep within +5 on the day, I say he will have a decent chance.

Trump's bump would be annoying this close to the day though.
 
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/

Nate forecasting 6 out 7 chance Dems take the house.

Beto is going to every district, even Deep Red districts getting out people who have not even voted before.

Of course he is also facing the dirty tricks of the Republicans.
Changing the votes.

Reminds me of a Homer Simpson episode.

We are a true Banana Republic now.

5 out of 6 they keep the senate though... therefore trump will be safe and will tweet non stop about the dems obstructing things and blaming everything on them... at least his twitter tantrums will be entertaining
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=irpromo
 
Still fearful after Brexit and Trump (and now Brazil) but have to have some faith that the masses aren't this bad.

Could be a very depressing wake up next week!
 
Why is Gillum a thief?

Its Trump's desperate attempt at conflating the fact that some of Gillum's associates are allegedly under FBI investigation with the reality that Gillum seems to be on his way to becoming Governor.
 
I just saw an interview where he said he was 'a stone cold thief'. There's nothing behind that accusation it seems. I can't believe he can get away with that.
 
I just saw an interview where he said he was 'a stone cold thief'. There's nothing behind that accusation it seems. I can't believe he can get away with that.

We're talking about a guy who got away with announcing Ted Cruz's dad was involved with the JFK assassination. This seems comparably mild in its absurdity.
 


He's going to need a clear lead if he's got any hope of winning. Voting intention and voter suppression / vote flipping are two very different things.
 

I don't know how reliable that poll is. But I would be delighted that less than 50% wanted to vote him now than the previous polls. It was at 51% and it was absurd.

Beto will have some out of undecided % and it will give him a decent chance.
 
I don't know how reliable that poll is. But I would be delighted that less than 50% wanted to vote him now than the previous polls. It was at 51% and it was absurd.

Beto will have some out of undecided % and it will give him a decent chance.

Just based on the polling variances I've seen, I'd have to guess that Cruz is up by about 5-6 points at this stage. If Beto winds up finishing less than 3 percent (or better) behind Cruz then that will be viewed as a sign that Texas may be in play in 2020.
 
I would take anything Jolly says with a huge pinch of salt as he's probably closer to being a centrist Dem than a Republican these days.

He changed party affiliation from R to Indy a few weeks back. Besides Trump, it was his young daughter’s health scare & potentially her not receiving pre-existing care for her that helped sway his decision.