They are a local pollster with a long track record of calling races in OH. Off by 0.8 percent in 08 and dead on the money in 12, considered the gold standard there.
The low rating comes from their methodology. It's conducted entirely by mail.
2016 US Presidential Elections | Trump Wins
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They are a local pollster with a long track record of calling races in OH. Off by 0.8 percent in 08 and dead on the money in 12, considered the gold standard there.
The low rating comes from their methodology. It's conducted entirely by mail.
The entire world is starting to have a sigh of relief I guess.
Until we realise that winner isn't all that good news either.
Until we realise that winner isn't all that good news either.
I find that impossible to believe! I sincerely doubt that any Drumpf supporter has opposable thumbs capable of holding a pen, let alone knowing what paper and a pen is. LOL!
ZOMG SHOCKING 100% PROOF VIDEO, PROTESTER INTRUPTION MADE TRUMP HAVE SEIZERE, LOOK HOW STIFF HIS BODY IS SECRET SEVICE HAD TO CARY HIM OFF STAGE TO GIVE HIM ADRENAMALIN SHOT STEEL PEN, ALEC JONES WUZ RIGHT!!!111
He's not leading in those states, you don't understand 538's model. The chance of him bucking all those states you mentioned is VERY small.
I wouldn't trust pollsters when it comes to Trump. They got it wrong during the Primaries too. His supporters are a demographic that have defied representative sampling before.
Where did you get that from? Polls showed him leading pretty much from the start, it was pundits that chose to ignore them or assume they'd change.
He would have his gang chasing you around the high school on prom night while he attempts to rape you're date (mom) in the parking lot. Donald Drumpf has ruined Biff Tannen for me.
Don't forget the suspicious smell of sulphur.
No, they didn't. They had him leading and even when he lost Utah, it was due to some late dodgy maneuvers pulled by the Cruz campaign. He was leading pretty much from the start.
How can you be wrong about every single little thing you post?
I was curious to see the spin on the protester and Obama. This is from hotair.com. pretty sickening how people spin things.
A rare flash of annoyance from President Spock, who sounds like a high-school coach on the bus trying to get the team’s attention. Can’t blame him for being short-tempered, though. It’s been a long campaign, and his legacy now rests on the ability of one of the worst retail politicians in modern American history to hold off a late charge by a guy who’d be down 10 points to Joe Biden or pretty much anyone else in the Democratic Party. With a better nominee, O would have spent his final months in office relaxing in the White House. Instead he’s out on the trail every day trying to drag dead-weight Hillary over the finish line. In fact, this clip is a microcosm of his problem with his most loyal supporters right now. He’s making the pitch. But too many aren’t listening.
Video: How white liberals really view black voters
Speaking of long campaigns, we’re really going with “devil worship” as our closing argument against the left, huh? Podesta apparently didn’t attend the “spirit cooking dinner, incidentally, and the host claims it was actually just a reward for donors to a Kickstarter campaign. But maybe the “occult” talking point will tip the balance in Pennsylvania.
A rare flash of annoyance from President Spock, who sounds like a high-school coach on the bus trying to get the team’s attention. Can’t blame him for being short-tempered, though. It’s been a long campaign, and his legacy now rests on the ability of one of the worst retail politicians in modern American history to hold off a late charge by a guy who’d be down 10 points to Joe Biden or pretty much anyone else in the Democratic Party. With a better nominee, O would have spent his final months in office relaxing in the White House. Instead he’s out on the trail every day trying to drag dead-weight Hillary over the finish line. In fact, this clip is a microcosm of his problem with his most loyal supporters right now. He’s making the pitch. But too many aren’t listening.
Video: How white liberals really view black voters
Speaking of long campaigns, we’re really going with “devil worship” as our closing argument against the left, huh? Podesta apparently didn’t attend the “spirit cooking dinner, incidentally, and the host claims it was actually just a reward for donors to a Kickstarter campaign. But maybe the “occult” talking point will tip the balance in Pennsylvania.
Of course, the elections are rigged Donald.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news...s-paid-18m-to-companies-mired-in-voter-claims
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news...s-paid-18m-to-companies-mired-in-voter-claims
The Final NBC poll for 2016
The final 2012 poll had Obama plus 1 (he wound up winning +4).
Not even apparently, verifiably didn't attend from those very same emails that some posters here have been saying we don't read
That's honestly a really powerful message, especially in light of the allegations of a couple weeks ago that Democratic operatives were instigating things... This guy held a sign and got mobbed. People have gone absolutely nuts.
That is a great video. He should be doing the rounds on TV today.
When you hear a Republican talk this way it makes it clear that the party is very divided. Time to leave the mob supporting Trump in the past and start a party that is more middle ground. There's a huge gap in the middle of the current GOP and dem parties.
This is classic throwing shit at the wall hoping it stick. And no OH. CBS have him up just 1 as well.
Gonna be a long, long night for them
This is classic throwing shit at the wall hoping it stick. And no OH. CBS have him up just 1 as well.
Gonna be a long, long night for them
MN instead of OH... Amazing
Absolute garbage. In the primaries he usually underperformed his polls if anything i.e. they had him winning by more than he ended up winning by.
I think that is what the party is headed for. If the Democrats keep moving left toward the Bernie-esque wing of the party but Americans stay centrist, they have a huge opportunity there.
I can kinda see the reasoning behind that, as in if he needs to shore up OH then he'd be losing somewhere else, but there's no reason to show his ugly mug in CO, IA and MN, all foregone conclusions.
So why ask if he is American? Other than to prove you don't have to like Trump to be an ignorant bigot?
Just saw this advert on stream after a 10-20 minute Humana Medicare advert.
Though at the bottom it said "Should Hillary Have Faced Criminal Charges?" call number followed by 1 for Yes or 2 for No.
American advertisements are weird.
Though at the bottom it said "Should Hillary Have Faced Criminal Charges?" call number followed by 1 for Yes or 2 for No.
American advertisements are weird.
Their polling method seems suspicious.
Ralston's Prediction
Is there some reason why Democrats are, apparently, more likely to vote early than Republicans?
If you ever hear the term ground game referenced, that's more or less why. They are more organized in going into local communities and turning out voters. They use analytics and smart phone apps these days to get volunteers to engage with local voters to make sure they vote.
Here's the flip side of the early voting numbers - GOP turn out more on election day.
Florida appears to be a tie when factoring in early voting and those who plan to vote on Tuesday.
Hopefully a massive storm on Tuesday in Florida and Ohio.
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