2016 US Presidential Elections | Trump Wins

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I don't give two shits on who wins but my investment portfolio is taking a hit everytime Trump sees daylight in the polling. Infact its been negative return since the primaries started and if this continues, I might as well pull out and put everything in a fixed deposit account even for the paltry interest rate I'd get from a bank.
 
Hilary going abit batshit crazy in her latest podium outing.

Its a far cry from 'yes we can' :(
 
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Wednesday at Stoke said:
I don't give two shits on who wins but my investment portfolio is taking a hit everytime Trump sees daylight in the polling
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I'd say you definitely should give a shit then because you have a vested interest. If Trump wins your portfolio will tank, I reckon it will drop so bigly your head will spin. It will take months to recover and possibly years, as you probably know, the markets like stability and Trump certainly doesn't offer any of that.
 
langster said:
I'd say you definitely should give a shit then because you have a vested interest. If Trump wins your portfolio will tank, I reckon it will drop so bigly your head will spin. It will take months to recover and possibly years, as you probably know, the markets like stability and Trump certainly doesn't offer any of that.
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This is my silver lining should the worst happen, the £ to $ rate will go back up :lol:
 
I need the £ to $ to recover bigly.

I have £2500 to spend, and that will only get me $3000.

This time last year that same amount would get me $4000 at least. :(
 
538 just updated.. Trump continues to gain.. up 68-32 on polls plus.. It's a good think he is running out of days
 
MDFC Manager said:
May be.

But I think there's a sizable 'hidden' Trump vote base. If for example, I wanted Trump to win, I wouldn't be very vocal or public about my choice at all. Not sure if it will make a difference everyday but it's America... Anything can happen!
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You have to distance yourself from European thinking here. The US is far less internally divided then Europe ever has been on such matters. The reason we have swing states in the US is the fact that most counties and states are so homogeneously either democratic or republican, you can't break in there. That's goes down to county level even in the swing states. These people live in environments where now likely, they only have people sorrounding them sharing their views. This is also why Trumpists tend to not believe polls: how can they show Drumpf down when everyone sorrounding them is voting for him?
Because of this, the "shame" factor is considerably smaller in the US. Living in rural Florida, there is no stigma connected to declaring for Trump. That's the difference to radical parties in Europe, where their voters most likely are in the minority no matter where they live.
 
fcbforever said:
You have to distance yourself from European thinking here. The US is far less internally divided then Europe ever has been on such matters. The reason we have swing states in the US is the fact that most counties and states are so homogeneously either democratic or republican, you can't break in there. That's goes down to county level even in the swing states. These people live in environments where now likely, they only have people sorrounding them sharing their views. This is also why Trumpists tend to not believe polls: how can they show Drumpf down when everyone sorrounding them is voting for him?
Because of this, the "shame" factor is considerably smaller in the US. Living in rural Florida, there is no stigma connected to declaring for Trump. That's the difference to radical parties in Europe, where their voters most likely are in the minority no matter where they live.
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In fact in some areas of the US if you are supporting Hillary you would not admit it because of all the Trump supporters around you.
 
Kaos said:
Excellent journalism from TYT, exposing the shadiness of the CGI and the huge amounts of money that pass hands:

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Wow, almost as bad as Jill Stein putting her million dollar in some investing fund. :lol:

Feel sorry for those voting Clinton when they have access to this information.

They are nothing but sheep.
 
Monmouth poll of PA and Marquette of Wisconsin coming in a few hours, he realistically needs to win one of those.
 
sammsky1 said:
Interesting exercise .... Thank God I got Hilary and am not a closet Trump sympathiser!

http://edition.cnn.com/interactive/2016/politics/candidates-general-election-matchmaker/
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Which resume is the most appealing to you?
A Washington outsider with leadership experience in other industries who could shake up the system.
Barf
A political insider with years of experience in Washington who could get things done.
Yuck
A crusader against big government and taxes whose experience is in between the two.
Apocalypse now
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And there is no way to not answer :/
 
I matched Trump on pot. Reminds me that he doesn't drink... can't trust people that don't drink.
 
1) Clinton
2) Johnson
3) Trump

I got a few that were Clinton and Johnson but pretty much Hillary all the way through.
 
langster said:
I'd say you definitely should give a shit then because you have a vested interest. If Trump wins your portfolio will tank, I reckon it will drop so bigly your head will spin. It will take months to recover and possibly years, as you probably know, the markets like stability and Trump certainly doesn't offer any of that.
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Yeah that's pretty much what I meant. If he gets elected, I can see the S&P drop everytime he opens his mouth, which would not be good for my measly pockets, let alone people nearing their retirements and looking to cash in on theirs.
 
Rado_N said:
Matched with Hillary on all except legalising weed :lol:
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berbatrick said:
And there is no way to not answer :/
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Nick 0208 Ldn said:
1) Hillary
2) Johnson
3) Trump

According to the answer key, i had two questions which didn't correspond with Hillary...

Legalisation of marijuana and that question on their resume., both went to Johnson.
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Edgar Allan Pillow said:
All Hillary except one. The only best match to Trump was on Minimum Wages. I chose "is something to be open to, but we have to make sure America can compete globally"
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Charlie Foley said:
1) Clinton
2) Johnson
3) Trump

I got a few that were Clinton and Johnson but pretty much Hillary all the way through.
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Its a potential way to do an election: vote on where candidates stand on issues as opposed to voting for personalities which is how most people vote.
 
JustAFan said:
1) Hillary
2) Johnson
3) Trump

Though in many cases the choices of answers did not fit what I really think on the issue, so I just picked the one closest.
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Yeah exact same for me.
 


Nevada continues to confound, doesn't really match with early voting patterns.
 
InfiniteBoredom said:
Large Hispanics population in culinary unions/hotel workers. Can't be polled.

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Think the bigger red flag is Trump leading in Clark. There was a reasonably large error in 2012 there but they still all showed Obama at worst tied in the last few months, and that was only a couple of times. Could be symptomatic of heavily increased hispanic turnout, I suppose.
 
Ubik said:
Think the bigger red flag is Trump leading in Clark. There was a reasonably large error in 2012 there but they still all showed Obama at worst tied in the last few months, and that was only a couple of times. Could be symptomatic of heavily increased hispanic turnout, I suppose.
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Yes, the bigger red flag is that their Latino samples isn't big enough to be broken up in the crosstabs. Takes ~ 300 calls to reach a young Hispanic man-> lots of money and that's not taking into account the English/Spanish barrier. CNN is stingy. Plenty of their natl polls in the past had the same problem with young voters, which leads to a house R effect.
 


Down from their last result which was +10, but at least a solid lead of Obama 2012 levels and McGinty ahead as well. Still, expect 538's % to start plummeting a bit.
 
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