Just noticed that 538 give Google Consumer Surveys a "B" rating. That's a little odd.
2016 US Presidential Elections | Trump Wins
- Thread starter Raoul
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I still think this is because discouraged Republicans are just finally coming to terms with the fact that they have to vote for Trump rather than a fundamental shift towards him.
I guess we'll know in a week.
Hopefully these narrowing numbers will make sure that Dems don't get complacent and turn up in large numbers.
The equity market now trades entirely based on 538's election model. 
Fair enough. I agree that it is clear who has the advantage as of today but this election is moving quickly. I preferred it the way it was a week ago
Tell me he isn't actually going to do it
He isn't going to do it.
He could do it.
He will do it.
He's only gone and done it.
Too late. The grope has been executed.
He's Trumped us all
What's the best odds on Trump at the moment? Might stick a cheeky £100 on him to win the bloody thing.
How is a hundred quid ever cheeky?
He won't. The odds are too stacked against him in several different ways, ranging from the electoral college system and his narrow path to victory, to early voting patterns, the average of polls and more.
Hillary is like Spurs last season, she will fold like a house of cards at the last hurdle.
Trump will win Florida, Nevada, North Carolina, NH and Colarado/Michigan.
There is one more big hit coming for Hillary this week.
Source? The only thing I've seen on Twitter is 2 big hits against Trump, not Clinton.
Do we have any reason whatsoever to find any of these anything but very unlikely to go to Trump?
Question to anyone with input.
He hasn't led a poll of Michigan and New Hampshire, according to RCP. More chance in CO but early vote looks to be going okay there for Dems and latino anti-Trump sentiment is huge. So based on evidence, chalk it up to wishful thinking.
Trump is like LvG last season - out of date, out of time, talks big but fills his balloon with so much hot air. It will pop more bigly than Fellaini emerging from the tunnel with a shaven head.
feck, it's like a bat signal
Big question is if Johnson will remain at 8 or 9 % or weather he will end up falling down and where his votes go.
At the moment Hillary has about 46% but I feel her room to grow is higher than Trumps should Johnson go away.
At the moment Hillary has about 46% but I feel her room to grow is higher than Trumps should Johnson go away.
These 3 she should win. Perhaps North Carolina as well.
That was my question about 100 pages back!
Polling data suggesting Trump is recovering. How?
Cause bizarre FBI decisions?
Trump supporters are voting twice apparently.
That wasn't funny at all. Oh well.
It's only not funny because I don't understand how Trump can be gaining momentum. Is this the Comey effect? Wasn't that completely debunked as a political statement without any actual fact? I haven't been following this for a few days.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-china-idUSKBN12W349
Gyna gets in on the pussy grabbing
Gyna gets in on the pussy grabbing
Yes, of course, but politics cares little for facts.
It's only not funny because I don't understand how Trump can be gaining momentum. Is this the Comey effect? Wasn't that completely debunked as a political statement without any actual fact? I haven't been following this for a few days.
It's become alarmingly close.
The average voter doesn't read much more than the headlines. That's democracy's biggest flaw.
OK. Clinton still the projected winner on 538, but it's gone from 85-15 (or thereabouts) to 70-30. Maybe those Republicans put off by Trump have just conceded that they have to vote for him based on party lines and are moving the polls somewhat as the day looms nearer. I don't see Clinton supporters switching, and she has a bigger base.
We worked pretty hard to tear down walls in this country & across seas as well. Example: The wall of Berlin. You can see the Great Wall of China from outer space. It has stopped no one. So why bother a wall is NO answer to our problems come on now!?.
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