2016 US Presidential Elections | Trump Wins

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The Guardian has got leaked documents about campaign finance for union-buster Scott Walker. In the DNC leaks, it was interesting how they had a playbook to subtly direct big donors to give to the SuperPAC once they cross their $2700 limit. Here Walker's lawyers weren't quite as vigilant. However the GOP-majority Wisconsin SC stopped this investigation and ordered the gathered evidence to be burned. Files were leaked after that and that decision is now appealed at SCOTUS.
Btw, Trump was one of his donors: $15,000.

He asked his main fundraiser, Kate Doner, to write him a briefing noteon how they could raise enough money to win the election. At 6.39am on a Wednesday, she fired off an email to Walker and his top advisers flagged “red”.

“Gentlemen,” she began. “Here are my quick thoughts on raising money for Walker’s possible recall efforts.”

Her advice was bold and to the point. “Corporations,” she said. “Go heavy after them to give.” She continued: “Take Koch’s money. Get on a plane to Vegas and sit down with Sheldon Adelson. Ask for $1m now.”

Her advice must have hit a sweet spot, because money was soon pouring in from big corporations and mega-wealthy individuals from across the nation. A few months after the memo, Adelson, a Las Vegas casino magnate who Forbes estimates has a personal fortune of $26bn, was to wire a donation of $200,000 for the cause.

Adelson’s generosity, like that of most of the other major donors solicited by Walker and crew, was made out not to the governor’s own personal campaign committee but to a third-party group that did not have to disclose its donors. In the world of campaign finance, the group was known as a “dark money” organisation, as it was the recipient of a secret flow of funds that the public knew nothing about.

One of the checks made out to the group, for $10,000, came from a financier called G Frederick Kasten Jr. In the subject line of the check, Kasten had written in his own hand: “Because Scott Walker asked”.
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In July 2015 the state's highest court, the supreme court of Wisconsin, terminated the John Doe investigation before any charges were brought. The conservative majority of the court ruled that the prosecutors had made a basic misreading of campaign finance law and targeted individuals who were “wholly innocent of any wrongdoing”.

In a contentious twist to the ruling, the justices ordered the prosecutors to “permanently destroy all copies of information and other materials obtained through the investigation”.

This latter-day equivalent of a book burning could have condemned the John Doe investigation into permanent oblivion, leaving voters none the wiser. But at least one copy of the evidence gathered by the prosecutors survived the bonfire, and have now been leaked to the Guardian.
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Another example of the pattern is the casual comment Walker dropped into an email to his fundraiser dated 14 June 2011:“Also, I got $1m from John Menard today”. Eight days later a check for $1m is cut on a corporate check of Menard Inc, the billionaire John Menard's home improvement chain Menards, and made out not to the governor's campaign committee but to Wisconsin Club for Growth. There the donation remained a secret until the publication of the Guardian's leaked files.
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In the course of the John Doe investigation, the prosecutors obtained hundreds of emails and bank records under subpoena. An email sent by Kate Doner, Walker’s fundraiser, in April 2011, summed up the strategy. She said the aim was to raise $9m in six weeks, to pay for political advertising – she called it “issue advocacy efforts” – in the senatorial recall races.

Walker, she said, wants all the ads “run thru one group to ensure correct messaging”, and that group, the governor declared, should be Wisconsin Club for Growth. “The Governor is encouraging all to invest in the Wisconsin Club for Growth [which] can accept Corporate and Personal donations without limitations and no donors disclosure.

TL;DR: bears shit in woods and Citizens United means unlimited campaign money not just vague political contributions.
 
More from the same leak: The judiciary is supposed to be independent of the executive.

The Wisconsin supreme court was firm on the issue: in its July 2015 ruling, the court castigated Schmitz for instigating a “perfect storm of wrongs that was visited upon the innocent Unnamed Movants and those who dared to associate with them.”

In colorful language, the state's highest court praised Walker, WCfG and other movants in the investigation (it didn't name them, but their identities are self-evident from the John Doe files as “brave individuals”. It said they had “played a crucial role in presenting this court with an opportunity to re-endorse its commitment to upholding the fundamental right of each and every citizen to engage in lawful political activity and to do so free from the fear of the tyrannical retribution of arbitrary or capricious governmental prosecution.”

For good measure, the court added: “Let one point be clear: our conclusion today ends this unconstitutional John Doe investigation.”

Let's just officially switch to one-dollar one-vote :mad:

Among the leaked John Doe files that the Wisconsin supreme court ordered to be suppressed are documents that underline how anxious Walker's circle were about the threat, as they saw it, to the court's conservative majority.
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Hendricks was right to be concerned about the state supreme court. Were Prosser to lose the vote, the consequences for Walker and his entire rightwing union-bashing agenda would have been devastating. The four-to-three, conservative-to-liberal, balance of the state's top court would have been reversed, allowing progressive groups to overturn the reforms through legal challenges.

The correspondence reveals how Walker's network of associates vowed to go to work to keep Prosser in his job, and thus preserve (or “maintain”) the court's conservative upper hand. “It would be good for [Hendricks] to talk with us or have her see our plan,”writes RJ Johnson, the then “general consultant” to Governor Walker's campaign committee. He says that WCfG “is leading the coalition to maintain the court. Thus far I have raised 450kand am looking to raise an additional 409k.”
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“David Prosser is in trouble,” Fraley begins. “And if we lose him, the Walker agenda is toast, as could be the Senate GOP majority and any successes creating a new redistricted map. That's not hyperbole.”

By the end of the bitter campaign, some $3.5m was spent by outside lobby groups channeling undisclosed corporate money to support Prosser's re-election – more than eight times the $400,000 the judge was allowed to spend himself. That included $1.5m from WCfG and its offshoot Citizens for a Strong America, and $2m from Wisconsin Manufacturers & Commerce (WMC), all of it in unaccountable “dark money”.

It worked. Prosser was re-elected, with a squeaky-tight margin of just 7,000 votes and after a fraught recount. The following month, Walker boasted to the Republican kingmaker, Karl Rove, “Club for Growth–Wisconsin was the key to retaining Justice Prosser.
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In their petition to the US supreme court, the prosecutors challenge that refusal, arguing that “the special prosecutor did not receive a fair and impartial hearing”. The petitioners go on to discuss Prosser in detail, but the passage is so heavily redacted that their argument is obscured. They do say at one point, quoting constitutional law, that “No jurist 'can be a judge in his own case or be permitted to try cases where he has an interest in the outcome'.”

Prosser declined to step aside citing a rule change that had been suggested and partially written by WMC itself.
The change removed the obligation of supreme court judges in Wisconsin to recuse themselves in cases involving groups that had helped them secure their own elections.
 
Colin Powell is no Trump fan...

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/15/u...ls-hack-donald-trump.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

In the emails, reported by BuzzFeed News, Mr. Powell also accuses Mr. Trump, the Republican nominee for president, of having embraced what Mr. Powell called a “racist” movement when he questioned the validity of President Obama’s birth certificate.

An aide to Mr. Powell confirmed the hack and said, “They are his emails.”

“Yup, the whole birther movement was racist,” Mr. Powell wrote in an email to a former aide, according to BuzzFeed. “That’s what the 99% believe. When Trump couldn’t keep that up he said he also wanted to see if the certificate noted that he was a Muslim. As I have said before, ‘What if he was?’ Muslims are born as Americans everyday.”
 
Colin Powell is no Trump fan...

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/15/u...ls-hack-donald-trump.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

In the emails, reported by BuzzFeed News, Mr. Powell also accuses Mr. Trump, the Republican nominee for president, of having embraced what Mr. Powell called a “racist” movement when he questioned the validity of President Obama’s birth certificate.

An aide to Mr. Powell confirmed the hack and said, “They are his emails.”

“Yup, the whole birther movement was racist,” Mr. Powell wrote in an email to a former aide, according to BuzzFeed. “That’s what the 99% believe. When Trump couldn’t keep that up he said he also wanted to see if the certificate noted that he was a Muslim. As I have said before, ‘What if he was?’ Muslims are born as Americans everyday.”

He's gone after her too, heavily, despite the clear undertone of support.


“They are going to dick up the legitimate and necessary use of emails with friggin record rules. I saw email more like a telephone than a cable machine,” Powell wrote last year to his business partner Jeffrey Leeds. “As long as the stuff is unclassified. I had a secure State.gov machine. Everything HRC touches she kind of screws up with hubris.”
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“Dumb. She should have done a ‘Full Monty’ at the beginning,” Powellwrote. He added: “I warned her staff three times over the past two years not to try to connect it to me. I am not sure HRC even knew or understood what was going on in the basement.”
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“Sad thing,” Powell wrote to one confidant, “HRC could have killed this two years ago by merely telling everyone honestly what she had done and not tie me to it.”

“I told her staff three times not to try that gambit. I had to throw a mini tantrum at a Hampton’s party to get their attention. She keeps tripping into these ‘character’ minefields,” Powell lamented. He noted that he had tried to settle the matter by meeting with Clinton aide Cheryl Mills in August.

Also, poor man lost some money :lol:

Powell added in a tangential complaint: “I told you about the gig I lost at a University because she so overcharged them they came under heat and couldn’t any fees for awhile. I should send her a bill.”
 
No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public etc etc...

Half of the country believe still in creationism. That's why it's a really terrible idea to let them choose who in charge of the nukes, alas.

One day everyone will come around to my belief in a benelovent dictatorship. Sure we'll chuck the tea partiers into the Gulf of Mexico but it's all for the greater good
 
ewww

Yet on his site Hillary as 2/3 shot of winning. He seems to be hedging his bet here. If Trump does end up winning, he could always point and say I told you it could happen.

I think the numbers are still on her side: she's leading, and his model reflects that. The narrowing that happened with Brexit might not happen here (or might not make much difference) because of how set-in-stone most US voters/states are...but I guess he's saying the trend of a narrowing lead is similar.
 
Colin Powell:

"Trump is a national disgrace and an international pariah," Powell writes in one email from this summer. "He appeals to the worst angels of the GOP nature and poor white folks," reads another.

"For him to say yesterday that within four years he would have 95 percent of blacks voting for him is schizo fantasy," he writes, before taking a shot at disgraced ex-Fox News chief Roger Ailes. "[Him] as an adviser won't heal with women."
 
Swing state polls have a strong Trump trend and decent leads, HC still holding nationally. But that maybe because national polls are conducted over a longer period and don't take the concentrated blast that she must be receiving for her deplorable comment and for fainting.
 
Obviously Clinton can't be blamed for any of her health issues, barring the small possibility she's a lot worse and has been lying, but in general I don't think it bodes well that with two months to go she's having to have her doctor say she's fit to stand. It's coming into the final stretch and Americans want someone they can view as being a strong, dedicated leader. It sounds silly considering all that's happened before...but perception is key in elections, and this incident hasn't helped Clinton, even if it's not her fault. At a time when she's up against an arse like Trump, she's got to come across as quite human and down to earth while possessing strength and leadership, and even basic shite like the doubts over whether she's lying, and the initial mystery around it aren't helping.

The Brexit 2.0 stuff is feeling strangely apt. A populist campaign that should've been defeated soundly by the status quo, but the status quo just isn't having the intended effect and isn't gaining as it should. A month or so back it felt like Clinton was gaining ground and breaking away from Trump after the convention. But now she's not...and that's worrying. It's getting close, and it's becoming clear that people aren't really giving a shite when it comes to actual policies and plans. They're listening to rhetoric, and Trump is succeeding. He's emerged well against every obstacle in the primary, always gaining ground...whereas Clinton lost out to Obama despite being frontrunner in 2008, and won in 2016 but arguably let it go closer than it should have with Sanders.
 
The other similarlity between the Brexit and Trump crowds is their eagerness to listen to idiots over experts. Feelings over facts, and so on. It doesn't help that the faces of the remain camp/Clinton camp were/are hypocrites who are doing quite well out of the status quo and are unwilling to make wholesale changes that might help those struggling most.
 
The other similarlity between the Brexit and Trump crowds is their eagerness to listen to idiots over experts. Feelings over facts, and so on. It doesn't help that the faces of the remain camp/Clinton camp were/are hypocrites who are doing quite well out of the status quo and are unwilling to make wholesale changes that might help those struggling most.


THIS! This is what worries me the most.

I was a fisherman for over 10 years, and I have lots of friends who were or still are fishermen. There has been a massive issue with the EU for years. All this BS that the French, Belgian and Spanish boats are coming here and fishing our waters, which is partly true, as is them having different laws on the size of their catch. BUT! A lot of it is blown out of proportion and it doesn't take in to account that an awful lot of British fishermen spend most of their time fishing French waters. Now there was a huge campaign from fishermen to leave the EU because they thought they could then get their own way with British officials. However, it has backfired drastically as all the promises the fishermen were given on bigger quotas of catch haven't come true, and now they face the realism that they won't be able to fish foreign waters. It's also unclear if foreign vessels will be able to fish here or not.

Quite simply, it's a massive clusterfeck and they would have been far better off leaving it as it was, but due to sheer greed, ignorance and a bullshit false sense of patriotism that doesn't really exist, they have shot themselves in the foot and are now in the position where they could be far worse off than they previously were.

Now that is so strikingly similar to what I hear from many people in the USA. They want change, BUT they don't know how or why, and many are just so pissed off with everything they think that any change is good and will be better, so they ignore the fact that the change they could get might actually be far worse than what they already have. Too many people are disillusioned with the way things are at the moment and are believing anything they are told. The media in the USA really isn't helping things at all, and a BS artist like Trump is just playing everyone for fools. Just the same as Farage did here. The similarities are striking, and very, very fecking scary.
 
538 now showing Trump now leading in both Iowa and Ohio. Gap closed in Florida.
 
The most powerful nation on earth electing a clown as its president just shows, the world has tuned on its head.
We live in a world where the likes of Boris and Farge are taken seriously.
America will elect this fool. It's looking inevitable
 
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