I think this is the key disagreement between Ole out and Ole inn camps, and i dont mean you specifically, but a lot of people in the former camp seem to ascribe any bad performance to coaching or lack thereof. It also seems that a lot of people gloss over any positives and solely focus on the negatives. We did in fact end up in 3rd place just a few months ago, beating City and Chelsea x3 along the way, but two bad matches at the start of the new season all that is forgotten and all the old criticisms pop up again right away. Some people claim 3rd was just par for the course because we have the 3rd best squad in the league, and i'd say thats highly debatable.
One thing is making a plan, another one is actually carrying it out on the pitch. I think everyone agrees we looked like a bunch of headless chickens both vs Brighton and Palace, but if you look at our last 20 games or so it becomes clear that is the exception rather than the rule. Regarding our system, its there, its just not what people (think) they want.
I read a lot on here about getting a "progressive" manager and i assume then people mean someone who plays high press, possession football like all the best teams. We have played high press at times though and it has worked very well. For example post lockdown we had several games where we pressed high with good results. So its not like Ole is completely opposed to it, its just that we dont do it all the time. For a high press/possession tactic to work though you need a couple of key ingredients
1) You need to be better than your opponent in possession: This is absolutely vital. If you attempt to press high, but only have 40% of the ball, you are going to be completely shattered by early second half since you would have spent way to much energy chasing shadows. With a couple of notable exceptions like Bruno and Martial, i'd say we dont really have the squad to be playing an out and out possession style. When Ole faced Klopp and Pep, he knew that trying to beat them at their own game would be suicide so he opted for a more counter attacking style instead. The results were not bad and what made it even better was the sour grapes from Klopp and Pep afterwards about us playing defensive football.
2) You need CM's with a great engine, good tackling ability and preferably a bit of pace as well. Imo, we have just one who fits the bill in Fred. Maybe McTomminay. Pogba in 2019 and 2020 has mostly been injured or a complete liability and i honestly dont think he has it in his locker either. Matic who i think was probably our best midfielder last year does not fit that system at all. Hes good on the ball and is great at reading the game, but if you are asking him to chase players down in a high press he will look like a fish out of water. If we bought someone like Ndidi and played him and Fred as CM/DM partners behind Bruno it could work, but again, right now we dont have the player profiles for it
3) You need a back four who is comfortable on the ball and decent passers. This is also vital because the alternatives are to hoof it and hope for the best or lose possession and get attack instead. Its clear that Ole wants us to play out from the back, but its a mixed bag as we all know. Maguire is
alright at it on a good day, so is Shaw and AWB although they too can be pretty inconsistent. Lindelof, for allegedly being some kind of ball playing CB is absolutely terrible at it and regularly gets us into danger when hes put under pressure. Honestly i think Baily would be much better suited to the way we want to play, so maybe if he stays injury free and gets some game time to form a partnership with Maguire it could work
Brighton and Potter often gets used as an example of a relatively small team that plays high press/possession and yes they do, and on their day they are good to watch and its pretty refreshing to see a smaller team not parking the bus, so credit where its due. But: They ended up at 15th last season and only 7 points clear from relegation. Honestly i did not see a whole lot of Brigton games last year, but i saw a a few and every time they faced a side that was more comfortable at possession than them or great at counter attacking they ended up in a lot of trouble
Also its worth noting that Klopp who is seen as the master of this kind of philosophy took about three years + Van Dijk before it all clicked for them. Before that they were shipping goals left, right and center and the only reason they did not end up midtable in 16/17 and 17/18 was because they scored a lot of goals as well.
When we it comes to attacking play we do have "patterns", or signature moves but either people are not seeing them or they are ignoring them willfully.
1) Rashford/Greenwood makes a run into the box, Bruno then squares it to Martial who then hopefully has some space to operate in and can either pass it on or try to shoot
2) Martial pull back and Bruno makes a run, opens up space for Rashford/Greenwood who then receives the ball in a good position
3) Rashford/Greenwood takes it down to the byline and the hits a low cross for someone to get a toe on
Also, both
Martial and
Rashford have hugely improved under Ole compared to Jose so i hardly think its fair to say that we have no plan and are just making it up as we go along. Of course its not a cooking recipe and it will look slightly different from time to time, but there clearly is a plan, its not just as super structured as say Van Gaal would have it. Also, regarding Van Gaal: Hes living proof that extreme amounts of coaching and instructions does not necessarily produce results or even good football.
It also seems people have forgotten we are still in transition and right now the whole rebuild process has grinded to a complete halt because of the ineptitude of Ed and the board. Under Ole we have shifted a lot of deadwood, but somehow that process has stopped completely. Players like Jones, Rojo, Mata, Lindgard and Pereria should obviously have been shifted a long time ago, but the club has showed they are either completely unable and/or unwilling to find any buyers for them. Then you add the whole Sancho disaster and it very much feels like Ole has been hung out to dry by the board because it seems their ambition is merely securing a positive cash flow. Our first XI is good enough to get top 4, but our back ups can not be trusted at all in the league or the CL, which is pretty fecking disasterous in such a compact season as this one.
So regarding Ole, it seems to me no matter what he does hes never going to earn the trust or even the benefit of the doubt from some fans. So far hes got rid of deadwood, bought fairly well and ended up 3rd in his first full season in the midst of a transition. I'd say thats a passing grade. Still though, for some fans hes constantly one bad game away from the knives being out again and desperate calls for him to be replaced, even though these calls for other managers are utterly unrealistic and only based on "they did well in another club under completely different circumstances".
tl;dr: Maybe but Ole some slack