It's hard to rate us right now. Results have been disappointing but its still very early days. Performances on the other hand have warranted a lot more points then how much we have. Not once have I felt we deserved a loss this season, or felt we were 2nd best on the day. Yesterday you could see Chelsea are a better, and more confident team overall, but I felt on the balance of chances we could have won it, despite it being a very even game overall.
We've also had a terrible run of injuries especially at the start before we made any signings, and those first 3 games is where we dropped the majority of our points and what makes it seem like we're doing so poorly. We had to start Cleverley, Fletcher, Young, Valencia as the midfield 4, and had no fullbacks so couldn't do anything other then Smalling, Jones and Blackett (or Evans in there) as a back 3. We just didn't have the options because of the injuries. That's why when judging us, I don't think you can look at those first 3 games with any meaning. They were essentially a completely different team/squad to the one we have now and a different formation. Had we got the luck (or rather, had the referee's made the correct decisions at least 60% of the time) we would have had 3 penalties in those games (we really had 5 clear cut pens not called) and would have had 5 points more at this point. Obviously We weren't very good in those first few games, but on the balance of play we should have won them with the possession and some chances, just didn't have the luck. Since the transfer window ended though, I think we have been a clearly different team. We beat QPR comfortably, were comfortable against Leicester for an hour before Clattenburg gifted them a penalty and a way back into the game (after which we collapsed of course), held on for 2 tight wins against West Ham and Everton after playing well for an hour but then sitting back for the last 30 mins because of a lack of confidence or whatever else. Then we've had this week with the west brom game, which again, we completely dominated bar the opening 10 minutes, just had 2 brain farts with Jones and Shaw which kept setting us back in that game so we had to constantly chase the game. In the end, we had about 65% possession and like 22 shots I think, but only drew.
With a few very small but key changes in our luck (like getting the late penalties we should have had in the first 3 games, giving us 5 points more ), our team and progress would be looked at a lot differently so far (that's even ignoring the Leicester game as we collapsed afterwards). It might sound like excuses or what not, but we genuinely have been better then our current position shows. The performances have been encouraging even if the results haven't been so. Eventually the luck will change if we keep dominating games like we have (most of them, not all) and we'll start picking up results consistently. We just need our strikers to get in form to actually put their chances away when they get them. We were always going to be inconsistent results wise and even during the games, going through moments of dominating games and then having small periods here and there where we look out of sorts.
You can't expect much different when we have 20 ins and outs over the summer, as well as a change in manager to someone who's teams generally do take a while to get used to his style of play. The second half of the season I think you'll see a lot more consistency from us. Looking at our starting 11 as well, the only things you can really say we could or need to improve upon is have a bigger, stronger midfielder who is more defensive minded, and Van Gaal has not exactly kept it a secret that he's going after Strootman, and then obviously a center back. Jones, Smalling, Evans and Rojo are all in the same boat. The first 3 are decent enough (evans less so), but ridiculously injury prone so they can never get a run of form going, build up a partnership and understanding at the back. If they get over that, then all the better for us, but I'm not sure that they will so we'd be best off buying one center who has a reliable injury record. Once we get that, along with a midfielder like Strootman in, I think we'll have a team who can potentially challenge for the champions league, let alone the premier league. The current team is very young eveywhere on the pitch apart from the strikers. Plenty of reasons to be optimistic about the future, and Van Gaal has us building up a top quality team so far, and with time it will only get better.