UK General Election 2015 | Conservatives win with an overall majority

How did you vote in the 2015 General Election?

  • Conservatives

    Votes: 67 20.0%
  • Labour

    Votes: 152 45.4%
  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 15 4.5%
  • Green

    Votes: 23 6.9%
  • SNP

    Votes: 9 2.7%
  • UKIP

    Votes: 11 3.3%
  • Independent

    Votes: 1 0.3%
  • Did not vote

    Votes: 43 12.8%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 1 0.3%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 4 1.2%
  • Other (UUP, DUP, BNP, and anyone else I have forgotten)

    Votes: 9 2.7%

  • Total voters
    335
  • Poll closed .
Right, I know how it works. I've been following him since he wrote about baseball. But he did tons of stuff about the polling firms themselves. Off the top of my head, I remember Rasmussen generally overstates conservative votes and so on. But has he done that research to the same extent in the UK is what I'm asking.

He would have to, otherwise attempting to make predictions about the outcome would be pointless without weighting the perceived bias of each polling source.
 
No surprise in the revelation that UKIP are popular in places where degrees are few and far between :lol:
 
If the original exit poll does prove to be accurate, the coming years will be a test of Cameron's claims as a moderate leader. Whilst i would be glad if it finally enabled us to have an EU referendum, i also believe that the Living Wage should be something which the pubic sector should take a lead on as an employer. There were also those pledges about childcare and the NHS (albeit with the latter having a 2020 deadline).
 
That looks like a school project.

That's really where we trail behind you politically (well that, and interesting politicians) Where your fringe lunatics can get glossy, Rick Perry-esque campaign videos, ours have to do it on Adobe Premiere in an abandonned warehouse space with their mate Steve from Carphone Warehouse on camera duty.

This is my personal favorite.



Because every Party Political Broadcast needs an introductionary production logo from a teenage iMovie user.
 
They always declare first, don't remember how but they're set up with lots of volunteers powering through the counting.

...not sure I'd want my votes counted like that, mind.

Yep. I thought it was good fun when it was just determining a mathematical winner (which was a given anyway), but I'd hope there aren't corners cut just for this.
 
Maybe the exit polls have got it wrong on the 2 seat prediction for UKIP.

Possibly. Although a lot of the forecasts do seem to suggest that UKIP will get a lot of 2nd placed finishes in the north. It's that problem they've had for ages: lots of votes, but hardly any seats.
 
He doesn't do any polling himself though, so he's dependent on others. Not sure the extent of his involvement in this election.

Yeah, as long as the polls are weighted properly, it's not necessarily difficult for him to be 100% right. I managed as an 18 year old in 2004 for an AP government project. The other group had Kerry winning. :lol:

Several polls in 2014 missed in the Senate races by a lot, which affected his accuracy.
 
Absolutely, I probably would, but that's not what I am getting at. Our MP is Teresa May for a reason.
I'm not advocating a Berlusconi-esque selection policy, but nice to have someone who isn't white, male and middle-aged.
 
John Curtice, the psephologist in charge of the BBC/Sky/ITV exit poll, says 22,000 people have been interviewed for it.

The SNP has done at least as well as the poll suggests, he says.

The Lib Dems are due to get around 8% of the vote, he says. So, although they have collapsed in terms of seats, they have not collapsed so much in terms of votes.

He says it looks as if the Greens will gain at least one seat. But they are not saying which.

And they will not say which seats Ukip will win.

Labour has held Houghton & Sunderland South. Ukip has come second.

Labour is on 55%, up 5 percentage points. Ukip was on 22%, up 19%.

John Curtice says this result is in line with what his exit poll suggested.

 
If the original exit poll does prove to be accurate, the coming years will be a test of Cameron's claims as a moderate leader. Whilst i would be glad if it enabled us to finally have an EU referendum, i also believe that the Living Wage should be something which the pubic sector should take a lead on as an employer. There were also those pledges about childcare and the NHS (albeit with the latter having a 2020 deadline).

Great post all-round mate.
 
Expect to see figures like that in many places in the north. Seen a surge in popularity for them which might go some way to explaining the exit poll.

Wonder how many people admit to voting UKIP?
 
That's where we trail behind you politically (well that, and interesting politicians) Where your fringe lunatics can get a glossy, Rick Perry-type campaign videos, ours have to do it on Adobe Premiere in an abandonned warehouse space with their make Steve from Carphone Warehouse on camera duty.

This is my personal favorite.



Because every Party Political Broadcast needs an introductionary production logo from a teenage iMovie user.


He is literally standing in 100% of English constituencies in that freeze frame? He's got my vote.
 
Wonder how many people admit to voting UKIP?

There does seem to be a bit of a shy-UKIP factor with people kinda embarrassed to admit they vote for them.
 
Would love to see Balls getting teste if he loses his seat.
Ba dum tish.
 
Andrew Neill is great. Better than Paxo in the acerbic stakes.
 
to simplify everything, labour ruin the country by spending too much and giving too much to too many people who don't give enough back, they try to make everyone well off and comfortable and that just doesn't work in a capitalist society. the tories come in and balance the books by penalising pretty much everyone, but hitting the poor the hardest. they then ruin the country by making the poor too poor and the rich too rich, then labour comes in and the cycle repeats.

i really don't like a lot of what the conservatives stand for but i voted for them his year as i think they're the hero gotham deserves but not the one they want blah blah blah.
 
That's really where we trail behind you politically (well that, and interesting politicians) Where your fringe lunatics can get glossy, Rick Perry-esque campaign videos, ours have to do it on Adobe Premiere in an abandonned warehouse space with their mate Steve from Carphone Warehouse on camera duty.

This is my personal favorite.



Because every Party Political Broadcast needs an introductionary production logo from a teenage iMovie user.


That is just beyond words.

I especially love the efficiently altered MS Paint placards.
 
I'm not advocating a Berlusconi-esque selection policy, but nice to have someone who isn't white, male and middle-aged.

Maybe I'm not making myself clear. Ed Balls should be standing in that seat, it's safe as houses. They were saying he's in danger of losing his seat. The hottie shouldn't be in such a safe seat, more's the pity.
 
This isn't likely be the case irrespective of the winner, however i dearly hope that cuts to the science and research are kept to a minimum.


I'm glad you picked up the key point in a post about ripping animals apart for a laugh.

It seemed a tad hypocritical i thought; more importantly though, the fox hunting debate has ever been an oversimplified one, with claims about its participants made from an ideological standpoint.
 
There does seem to be a bit of a shy-UKIP factor with people kinda embarrassed to admit they vote for them.

In the previous poll in the this thread we had more than 20 didn't we? And nobody posted in the thread that they had or showed their support.
 
to simplify everything, labour ruin the country by spending too much and giving too much to too many people who don't give enough back, they try to make everyone well off and comfortable and that just doesn't work in a capitalist society. the tories come in and balance the books by penalising pretty much everyone, but hitting the poor the hardest. they then ruin the country by making the poor too poor and the rich too rich, then labour comes in and the cycle repeats.

i really don't like a lot of what the conservatives stand for but i voted for them his year as i think they're the hero gotham deserves but not the one they want blah blah blah.
Didn't Batman feck off off a few years and only came back when the City went to shit ?

So yeah......
 
In the previous poll in the this thread we had more than 20 didn't we? And nobody posted in the thread that they had or showed their support.

MajorTom posted. I screenshotted the poll right before I reset. Here it is:

kM05NU0.png
 
In the previous poll in the this thread we had more than 20 didn't we? And nobody posted in the thread that they had or showed their support.

@MajorTom was fairly vocal about his support for UKIP, but yeah, he was pretty much the only one.
 
to simplify everything, labour ruin the country by spending too much and giving too much to too many people who don't give enough back, they try to make everyone well off and comfortable and that just doesn't work in a capitalist society. the tories come in and balance the books by penalising pretty much everyone, but hitting the poor the hardest. they then ruin the country by making the poor too poor and the rich too rich, then labour comes in and the cycle repeats.

i really don't like a lot of what the conservatives stand for but i voted for them his year as i think they're the hero gotham deserves but not the one they want blah blah blah.

Which is a disgrace
 
He is literally standing in 100% of English constituencies in that freeze frame? He's got my vote.

That is just beyond words.

I especially love the efficiently altered MS Paint placards.


:lol:

Best to cover all the bases. Especially when you've paid for a nationally televised advert with the same production values as me & Mike's "God's a cnut" gif.
 
What channel are we all watching?