UK General Election - 12th December 2019 | Con 365, Lab 203, LD 11, SNP 48, Other 23 - Tory Majority of 80

How do you intend to vote in the 2019 General Election if eligible?

  • Brexit Party

    Votes: 30 4.3%
  • Conservatives

    Votes: 73 10.6%
  • DUP

    Votes: 5 0.7%
  • Green

    Votes: 23 3.3%
  • Labour

    Votes: 355 51.4%
  • Liberal Democrats

    Votes: 58 8.4%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 3 0.4%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 9 1.3%
  • SNP

    Votes: 19 2.8%
  • UKIP

    Votes: 6 0.9%
  • Independent

    Votes: 1 0.1%
  • Other (BNP, Change UK, UUP and anyone else that I have forgotten)

    Votes: 10 1.4%
  • Not voting

    Votes: 57 8.3%
  • Undecided

    Votes: 41 5.9%

  • Total voters
    690
  • Poll closed .
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Good grief, what a dreadful error by Channel 4:
Channel 4 has apologised, saying Boris Johnson said “people of talent” and not “people of colour”. They said he had been misquoted.
 
I'm all for Johnson being criticised justifiably but that's really unfair on him.
 
I used to think this but with the way things have gone i reckon if we managed to remain now with a second ref vote thats brexit done for the foreseeable.

Can you imagine any party actually standing on a platform of lets try brexit again? People are fed up with it

It will depend on the deal. Lots of Leavers don't want a second referendum, but if they see it as offering a genuine choice because there's an option on the ballot paper they actually want then they may at least see it as legitimate. If Remain then wins, they may want to have another go some point down the line, but not straight away.

However if Labour put a deal on the ballot that has no credibility among Leavers, I think the opposite is true, it'll inflame the situation. It'd be not dissimilar to asking Remainers to vote in a referendum where Johnson's deal or May's deal were the only choices, and then claiming everyone supported Brexit because they voted for one of them. Indeed, I'd expect the referendum to be boycotted by Farage, the Brexit Party et al. If that idea gains traction then the referendum will have no perceived legitimacy and the arguments just get worse and worse.
 
It will depend on the deal. Lots of Leavers don't want a second referendum, but if they see it as offering a genuine choice because there's an option on the ballot paper they actually want then they may at least see it as legitimate. If Remain then wins, they may want to have another go some point down the line, but not straight away.

However if Labour put a deal on the ballot that has no credibility among Leavers, I think the opposite is true, it'll inflame the situation. It'd be not dissimilar to asking Remainers to vote in a referendum where Johnson's deal or May's deal were the only choices, and then claiming everyone supported Brexit because they voted for one of them. Indeed, I'd expect the referendum to be boycotted by Farage, the Brexit Party et al. If that idea gains traction then the referendum will have no perceived legitimacy and the arguments just get worse and worse.

i actually think the libs have opened up a can of worms with this revoke policy

If there was a second referendum and as you say leave did not feel properly represented in it then not only do I think it would make the atmosphere worse I think the conservatives /Brexit party would probably simply campaign on a leave manifesto with no second referendum - using the justification that the libs said if they won a majority they had the right to revoke
 
Boris Johnson has insisted it is “complete nonsense” to suggest his Brexit deal would lead to customs checks between Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

He said:

"I haven’t seen the document you’re referring to but that’s complete nonsense, and what I can tell you is that with the deal that we have we can come out as one whole UK."
 
He should have just said he’s happy for piccaninnies with watermelon smiles to come to the country just so long as we can control the numbers.
Fair point, mate.
 
Smart move... But certainly not one beneficial to the public discourse

He will probably show up for a kicking from Andrew Niel once he has passed his brexit bill

He will get slaughtered but by that point it's too late to matter

I genuinely believe there should be a cross party commission formed that sets out a debate and interview format that parties have to make their leaders available for... I think this should be done at the start of the new parliament so that by the time of the election there is no debate about debates ... The format is agreed and it's as Boris would say oven ready (to microwave at gas mark 4)

In this instance it's the right play from a spin / advice point of view to take the flack for not showing up Vs risking a car crash of an interview a few days before the election... But that option shouldn't exist as all this should have been agreed years ago

Oh no, that would take the fun out of it!

General Elections are 'put up jobs'; or were until the 5 year fixed term rule came about. In the past General Elections only tended to be called when the PM/Government was in trouble, or after votes of no-confidence were passed, or sometimes when the Government was riding high and thought the public wanted more of the same, etc. which generally speaking tended to be around 5 years, or so.

Its not the discourse that's important its the rules that govern the nation, and the Parliament, the Constitution etc. Until that is 'battened-down' then a lead up to a GE will always be akin to watching a 'three-ringed Circus', with entertaining TV shows, especially when you have entertainers like Boris, Farage, even in his way Jeremy, on the Bill. Every TV interviewer trying to out do their rivals, embarrass politicians and the very best 'inquisitors' playing 'cat and mouse' with the Party Leader that's heading the latest polls.

I want my country's leaders to be light on their feet outside Parliament, dealing with the press, etc but straight speaking and honest inside the House of Commons. Of course this rarely happens, the last PM to actually do virtually everything they promised to do was Margaret Thatcher and she had a reputation as both the Iron Lady and the Lady not for Turning and in many ways she 'took no prisoners'... so be careful what you wish for!
 
More from Johnson:
“I think most people would say I’m the only prime minister to have done not one but tonight two head to head debates, I’ve done 118 sit down interviews with journalists, fielded innumerable questions at press conferences,” he said.

“We cannot accommodate everyone. There’s a guy called Lord Buckethead who wants to have a head to head debate . Unfortunately I am not able to fit him in. We can’t do absolutely everything.”
 
Boris and his empty chair!

"He who runs away lives to fight another day, he who stays and stands his ground stands to get his clock knocked round"
...Old (Lancashire )saying!

Discretion is the better part of Valour, or so they say! Boris is, according to the polls way out in front, so why would he risk a 'grilling' from the ' Inquisitor General'?
Both Boris and Jeremy are 'marmite men', those who like them vote for them, those who don't won't and for the vast majority of the public who have no particular political leaning, but will still bother to vote, that will be the deciding factor.

Jeremy through his own 'grilling' with Neil simply confirmed for many people the 'baggage' he carries with him and it seems didn't even impress many of his acolytes. Boris has perhaps learned from his rivals experience and he (or perhaps Cummings) has skilfully used the question 'will he or wont' he' turn up for an interview with Andrew Neill, to eat up the exposure time available leading to the Election.

Whether you like him or not, its a smart move!

You can’t repackage his behaviour into the realms of ‘Smart’. It’s wholly unethical.
 
More from Johnson:
“I think most people would say I’m the only prime minister to have done not one but tonight two head to head debates, I’ve done 118 sit down interviews with journalists, fielded innumerable questions at press conferences,” he said.

“We cannot accommodate everyone. There’s a guy called Lord Buckethead who wants to have a head to head debate . Unfortunately I am not able to fit him in. We can’t do absolutely everything.”
This basically confirms that he's our very own version of Trump - that delicate balance of coward and bully.

Oh well, back in the caravan Steve.

Edit: ffs Lord Buckethead is an actual person and not Andrew Neil. Still, back in the caravan I go.
 
It's a caravan of love, chiefo.
 
Revelations coming out that the serial rapist and murderer McCann was wrongly released from prison by the probation service.

Not good news for Johnson ahead of the final debate tonight.
 
Revelations coming out that the serial rapist and murderer McCann was wrongly released from prison by the probation service.

Not good news for Johnson ahead of the final debate tonight.

Bit of extra info / background

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news...ph-mccann-case-the-error-and-its-implications

Why have there been calls for an inquiry after Joseph McCann was found guilty of a series of rapes and kidnaps?
After the verdicts against McCann – in a case where the horrific nature of the evidence against him frequently distressed jurors and members of the court – it was revealed that he should have been in jail over a previous violent offence in 2008, but that he had instead been freed in error. Some experts have suggested that this failure may be evidence of the impact of austerity on the justice system.

What was the previous offence and what was his sentence?
McCann was jailed for aggravated burglary, which he carried out armed with a knife, in 2008. He was jailed for a minimum of two and a half years under an imprisonment for public protection (IPP) sentence.

What is an IPP?

IPP sentences were introduced by the Labour government in the mid-2000s. The idea behind IPPs was to protect the public from serious offenders whose crimes did not merit a life sentence.

Offenders sentenced to an IPP are set a minimum term referred to as a tariff, which they must spend in prison. But there was no maximum cap put on the tariff. Instead, after they completed their minimum tariff they could apply to the Parole Board for release. If the board refused, they could not reapply for another year.

The Parole Board will release an offender only if it is satisfied that it is no longer necessary for the protection of the public for the offender to be confined.

Crucially with regard to the McCann case, when offenders are given parole in IPP cases they will be on supervised licence for at least 10 years.

IPPs sound familiar – why?
The sentencing regime featured in coverage of the London Bridge terrorist attack as the attacker, Usman Khan, had previously been sentenced to an IPP for an earlier terrorism offence. At an appeal hearing, his IPP sentence was replaced with a type of sentence with a maximum period. Khan was automatically released, without Parole Board involvement, at the midway point and was on licence when he fatally attacked near London Bridge.

But IPPs have also made headlines in the last few years because of the wide range of cases in which they appear to have been incorrectly applied. This led to the sentencing regime being abolished in 2012 by the Conservative-led coalition government.

Was McCann released on licence?
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Yes. He far exceeded his minimum tariff and ultimately served eight years in prison. At this point he was released and the 10-year licence period kicked in.

What would happen to McCann on licence?
He would have had to adhere to strict licence conditions, supervised by the probation service.

Did McCann reoffend while on licence?
Yes, and this is when something went wrong. McCann was convicted of another offence of burglary in 2017 while on licence.

Was he recalled to prison?
No. Instead of being recalled under the terms of his IPP sentence to prison he was jailed under the terms of a fresh sentence. This was a more commonplace determinate sentence with a fixed period and an automatic release at the midway point, with the remainder of the sentence to be served on licence, under supervision by probation in the community.

Was he released again?
Yes. Under the terms of the determinate sentence, McCann was released on licence at the midway point. It was while out on licence that he committed the string of sexual offences for which he has been convicted.

What went wrong?
Ultimately, McCann should have been recalled to prison on the terms of his IPP sentence, rather than sentenced anew for the burglary offence.

If this had happened, he would have returned to prison on the terms of the IPP and would have been required to complete a Parole Board assessment before release.

But as he was re-sentenced on a determinate sentence, he was released at the midway point on licence automatically without Parole Board intervention.

If this had happened would he still have been in prison and as a result not been able to commit any of the most recent sexual offences?
Possibly. If he had been recalled under the IPP terms, he might have failed future Parole Board assessments and stayed in prison indefinitely.

However, he could have gone on to pass Parole Board assessments as he had done in the past. At this stage in McCann’s life he had no convictions for sexual offending.

In all likelihood, McCann would have been released again at some point.

How did this come to light and who is to blame?
McCann committed sexual offences while on licence for the burglary. Rape is classed as a serious further offence and as a result a “serious further offence review” was undertaken. It appears the error was uncovered by the review.

As for blame, a number of parties should have been aware that McCann had been released on licence under the terms of an IPP and therefore should have been recalled rather than re-sentenced. Primarily, the probation service should have been aware. But police, prison authorities and the courts could all have had knowledge of these circumstances.

The probation service has been under significant pressure since 2014 due to budget cuts and a major restructuring. It suffers from staff shortages and overwhelming workloads. The case will raise questions as to whether pressure on the services can in part explain why staff missed McCann’s licence terms.
 
Read that case before, a real sick individual. Not really a huge supporter of whole life tariffs but people like him shouldn't be allowed back on the streets again.
 
I listened to that clip several times with the phone to my ear and I honestly believe he said talent not that it excuses him from all the other shit he’s said
 
I listened to that clip several times with the phone to my ear and I honestly believe he said talent not that it excuses him from all the other shit he’s said
I don’t think there is a question to be honest. For all his faults he has used the word ‘talent’ consistently in that context throughout the campaign.
 
Revelations coming out that the serial rapist and murderer McCann was wrongly released from prison by the probation service.

Not good news for Johnson ahead of the final debate tonight.

Ah c'mon. Labour will be to blame for that because of something that Clement Attlee back in the 50's.

If they can't shift it on to Labour then specific individuals within the Probation Service itself will be to blame directly in much the same way that Grenfell was the fault of the Fire Service.
 
Ah c'mon. Labour will be to blame for that because of something that Clement Attlee back in the 50's.

If they can't shift it on to Labour then specific individuals within the Probation Service itself will be to blame directly in much the same way that Grenfell was the fault of the Fire Service.
I’d laugh but it’s so true it makes me want to bang my head against the wall.

What do people make of this ‘leaked document’ that Corbyn has come out with today suggesting that Northern Ireland will be subject to checks following brexit?
 
What do people make of this ‘leaked document’ that Corbyn has come out with today suggesting that Northern Ireland will be subject to checks following brexit?

Problem is that pro-Brexit/leaning Tory English voters dont give a hoot about that.
 
Problem is that pro-Brexit/leaning Tory English voters dont give a hoot about that.
This is true and also somewhat depressing. I’m watching BBC News now and they seem to be of the thinking that the document is genuine and the DUP will not support the Tories because of it.

Corbyn is trying to bang home this trust issue against Johnson. He has to go for blood tonight. For once in his political life he needs to be ruthless. The question is, can he do it? Especially in a true blue area like Southampton.
 
I’d laugh but it’s so true it makes me want to bang my head against the wall.

What do people make of this ‘leaked document’ that Corbyn has come out with today suggesting that Northern Ireland will be subject to checks following brexit?

Not a lot because anyone with half a brain knows already that it's the only way it would work in reality. Christ, the DUP knew that which is why they were so vehemently opposed to it.
 
You can’t repackage his behaviour into the realms of ‘Smart’. It’s wholly unethical.

There is nothing ethical about politics during an election, its only about winning by persuading enough people to vote for you/your party.

Ethics comes into it (should come into it) when laws are being made in the House of Commons/Lords, until then its a 'roadshow' containing TV specials, a media frenzy of digging up every word the candidates ever said in the past, a daily running commentary on/in social media 'echo chambers', even the old fashioned hustings are now totally staged managed, events packed with supporters cheering every word.

The only person who has made any real impact has been Andrew Neil, with his interviews of the Party Leaders with ground to make up, who agreed to appear with him in the vain hope they could tame Andrew and advance their cause, all shot down in flames. Boris out in front doesn't need to take that risk, I call it being smart!
 
There is nothing ethical about politics during an election, its only about winning by persuading enough people to vote for you/your party.

Ethics comes into it (should come into it) when laws are being made in the House of Commons/Lords, until then its a 'roadshow' containing TV specials, a media frenzy of digging up every word the candidates ever said in the past, a daily running commentary on/in social media 'echo chambers', even the old fashioned hustings are now totally staged managed, events packed with supporters cheering every word.

The only person who has made any real impact has been Andrew Neil, with his interviews of the Party Leaders with ground to make up, who agreed to appear with him in the vain hope they could tame Andrew and advance their cause, all shot down in flames. Boris out in front doesn't need to take that risk, I call it being smart!
I call it the sign of a serial liar who can't be trusted, but different cocks for different socks I suppose.
 
There is nothing ethical about politics during an election, its only about winning by persuading enough people to vote for you/your party.
Everything one does has a ethical component and to suggest one can campaign for months without any sort of moral compass is, well, disturbing. Someone who can just cast aside his ethics for an election has in essence no ethics at all.
 
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