Of course you're talking about probability. You're extrapolating from what's happened so far to predict what will happen come season's end but ignored evidentiary improvement. It's interesting that you have previously used trends to show how Utd will get worse but won't for how this season has begun.
That you quite clearly know that how a team is currently performing will impact on how they will continue to play. Utd were playing worse than they were the season before and there was a downward trend that was likely to see their points drop. You seem to now be ignoring the upward trend. What you are talking about is a mathematical equation yet you aren't applying the correct rules to it because to do so would not suit your agenda.
Do you know what the word projection means? This could be why you're having such a tough time understanding the point I've made. You've actually further proven my point. Thanks.
The improvement was made in the summer. You need to learn what the word projection means. That is not a matter of debate.
I can predict that too but Glaston needs to follow the rules of his projection which isn't a prediction somehow.
I know what it means thanks. I'm not the one saying I'm not making predictions, I'm making projections. I could post the definition to clarify how stupid that is if you like? If a team signs a whole new squad in the summer and they win their first 8 games they don't need to continue to improve because the necessary improvements have already been made. They merely need to continue playing at the level they have already achieved. If Utd maintain their current form they will improve on last season. Not likely to a 95 point total but I'm simply applying the rules that are established by your projection.
But then I would miss the hilarity of a projection that definitely isn't a prediction.
Even with him we'll struggle but he's definitely the key for us. I always fancied City for the title this year just due to their firepower. If they get an early goal in games I think we'll quite a few games like yesterday's.
This is the definition.
I can't argue with a person who uses their own definition of what a projection is. It's you who doesn't like the figures in a projection that literally has to use present trends. It's all there in black and white and anyone who isn't a moron can see that.
Where does your projection (not a prediction) take these factors into account? Where does your projection factor in squad improvements or improved form of individuals?
Again, it's you who doesn't like it. I prefer to watch football matches to see improvements than to think that beating Huddersfield when you drew with Sunderland last season means you're on course to finish with the same points. You introduced the baffling concept that a projection isn't a prediction and you're the one that ignores how a projection actually works.
You are ignoring what a projection actually is and the rules that are established in projections. The present trend. The present trend being Utd's improvement and Spurs' stagnation. Regardless, the thread is about the title race which I believe neither Spurs nor Utd will win.
Learn what a projection is. Good day.Why wouldn't I like a model that currently projects Spurs to finish on 86 points again? I'd happily settle for that.
You are really are pathetic in trying to suggest that because the model currently projects forward 86 points for Spurs, I'm therefore predicting that Spurs will finish on 86 points. I'm not. I've predicted that Spurs will finish in the top 4 and beyond that I have no further prediction at this stage ... not after just 8 games.
It's also pathetic to try and suggest that I don't take into account performances on the pitch.
What's actually hilarious is that you think that citing a particular model's projection is the same thing as a personal prediction
I'd be quite happy to cite the projections of other models ... would that make them all my own personal predictions
