Storeytime

kf said:
It's in the opening post. Teams are expected to win their home games, it's the par score so home sides can only lose against par (if they fail to win)...

It's kind of irrelevant at this time of the season, it's quite interesting in the earlier part of the season as it weights actual results against the perceived strength of the opponents each title hopeful has played. By now the real table is far more interesting... although Liverpool's position vs what you'd expect a title challenging team to have achieved is more than a little amusing!
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It's not irrelevant.

In the 1st half of the season, it's interesting BUT reflects what may be a vey erroneous weighting e.g. this year.

Hence my recalculation of Pete's initial stab.
Storey (the original) didn't stab.
He crunched.

It's just that at this point the actual table and the Storeytime table converge.
At 38 games they are identical.
Differences between the actual and Storeytime table now reflect relative difficulties of remaining run-ins.

A weakness was highlighted yesterday.
Teams fighting for their lives can, at this stage of the season, be like a cornered racoon , a spitting mess of striped fury - and thereby change the weighting.
 
w'or bobby said:
As of Wednesday, 11th April:

Alternative weighting:


United +8
City +3
Arsenal -6
Spurs -9
Newcastle -12
Chelsea -14
Liverpool -24
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Alternative seeding where Norwich and Swansea have replaced two teams I don't remember:

Par points total for City:
+.1
+3
+3
+.1
+3
Total: +11 = 85 points

Par points total for United:
+3
+3
+0
+3
+.1
Total: +10 = 89 points

Suppose it highlights all the panicking from last night to be quite OTT, but of course, it's never that straightforward in football.
 
w'or bobby said:
It's not irrelevant.

In the 1st half of the season, it's interesting BUT reflects what may be a vey erroneous weighting e.g. this year.

Hence my recalculation of Pete's initial stab.
Storey (the original) didn't stab.
He crunched.

It's just that at this point the actual table and the Storeytime table converge.
At 38 games they are identical.
Differences between the actual and Storeytime table now reflect relative difficulties of remaining run-ins.

A weakness was highlighted yesterday.
Teams fighting for their lives can, at this stage of the season, be like a cornered racoon , a spitting mess of striped fury - and thereby change the weighting.
Click to expand...

Sorry Bob, didn't mean to criticise your hard work, keep your hair on :angel:

I just meant because it converges, it's easier in the closing stages to look at the real table now and the remaining fixtures as it's not so difficult to decide who's got the hardest run in when there are only a few games left. And as you point out, there are still swings and roundabouts to be negotiated...

If Wigan were a cornered racoon on Wednesday, what do you reckon we were? A slightly confused, normally friendly well meaning labrador wondering why this little fury thing isn't running away like it usually does?
 
Storeytime36.jpg


What are we all worried about? :nervous:
 
Liam147 said:
Wouldn't par scores for the next two games (for each?) leave us in front of them?
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No. Par for City is beat QPR, draw with Newcastle. Par for us is beat Swansea, draw at Sunderland. So it goes to goal difference and we'd need to beat Swansea by nine goals more than City beat QPR. Which is kind of what the real table is telling us!
 
kf said:
No. Par for City is beat QPR, draw with Newcastle. Par for us is beat Swansea, draw at Sunderland. So it goes to goal difference and we'd need to beat Swansea by nine goals more than City beat QPR. Which is kind of what the real table is telling us!
Click to expand...

Aye - solid system.
 
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