Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

After all the theories being thrown around today, I’ve settled on a long-range missile attack being the most likely. Russia, and Ukraine as a matter of convenience in perhaps a strange twist of fate, is running with this truck being a bomb as a red herring methinks. And it is likely not a coincidence that a fuel-laden train was there.


note: the photos flagged as sensitive content here are just of the explosion aftermath


Hopefully they'll finish the job tonight.
 
After all the theories being thrown around today, I’ve settled on a long-range missile attack being the most likely. Russia, and Ukraine as a matter of convenience in perhaps a strange twist of fate, is running with this truck being a bomb as a red herring methinks. And it is likely not a coincidence that a fuel-laden train was there.


note: the photos flagged as sensitive content here are just of the explosion aftermath


The Missile Ukraine Wants Is One the U.S. Says It Doesn’t Need
 
Surely it was just pure luck that the train happened to be there? It couldn't have been that well timed to blow up just when a fuel carrying train happened to pass by? Suicide truck driver?

Or it was timed this remotely? If so UKR has assess to satellite?
A fuel train? If that's true I doubt it's luck.
 
Looks like Russia’s new dream is just to destroy Zaporizhzhia, a city whose oblast they claim, missile by missile.
 
Head of Duma Committee on Defense is asked by that main propaganda guy on his show, "Why can't we destroy the infrastructure of Ukraine, every bridge, electrical plant and dam?"

He answers, "Our main problem today is reconnaissance, which would allow us to identify enemy objects to the fullest extent. Every target requires a certain quantity and type of munitions. Perhaps there aren't enough of them today in order to complete all tasks" and that they need to prioritize creating more.

Surely they already know where all the bridges, power plants and dams are. Sounds to me like they just lack the long range precision munitions needed. Hopefully they have little prospect of building more thanks to sanctions.
 
Head of Duma Committee on Defense is asked by that main propaganda guy on his show, "Why can't we destroy the infrastructure of Ukraine, every bridge, electrical plant and dam?"

He answers, "Our main problem today is reconnaissance, which would allow us to identify enemy objects to the fullest extent. Every target requires a certain quantity and type of munitions. Perhaps there aren't enough of them today in order to complete all tasks" and that they need to prioritize creating more.

Surely they already know where all the bridges, power plants and dams are. Sounds to me like they just lack the long range precision munitions needed. Hopefully they have little prospect of building more thanks to sanctions.
They are using SAM missiles and the Iranian loitering munitions for strikes against civilian infrastructure so they must be running very low on cruise and ballistic missiles.
 
Head of Duma Committee on Defense is asked by that main propaganda guy on his show, "Why can't we destroy the infrastructure of Ukraine, every bridge, electrical plant and dam?"

He answers, "Our main problem today is reconnaissance, which would allow us to identify enemy objects to the fullest extent. Every target requires a certain quantity and type of munitions. Perhaps there aren't enough of them today in order to complete all tasks" and that they need to prioritize creating more.

Surely they already know where all the bridges, power plants and dams are. Sounds to me like they just lack the long range precision munitions needed. Hopefully they have little prospect of building more thanks to sanctions.

I guess with reconnaissance he's also talking about military targets. If some artillery or whatever is dug in, it won't be easy to spot unless you have the right aerial / satellite cameras operated by people (/AIs) with the correct training. Them randomly attacking civilian targets might as much as anything be because they can't find the military targets and perhaps they're trying to bring them out into the open by firing at other locations and hoping they move to defend them. Must be frustrating and depressing being a Russian officer right now.
 
Head of Duma Committee on Defense is asked by that main propaganda guy on his show, "Why can't we destroy the infrastructure of Ukraine, every bridge, electrical plant and dam?"

He answers, "Our main problem today is reconnaissance, which would allow us to identify enemy objects to the fullest extent. Every target requires a certain quantity and type of munitions. Perhaps there aren't enough of them today in order to complete all tasks" and that they need to prioritize creating more.

Surely they already know where all the bridges, power plants and dams are. Sounds to me like they just lack the long range precision munitions needed. Hopefully they have little prospect of building more thanks to sanctions.
They definitely lack precision missiles etc, but the point about reconnaissance isn't that wrong. It's easy to see where a bridge or dam etc is via satellite. But it's mich harder to determine where its weak spots are and how to strike that best.
 
They definitely lack precision missiles etc, but the point about reconnaissance isn't that wrong. It's easy to see where a bridge or dam etc is via satellite. But it's mich harder to determine where its weak spots are and how to strike that best.
Good point.
 
They definitely lack precision missiles etc, but the point about reconnaissance isn't that wrong. It's easy to see where a bridge or dam etc is via satellite. But it's mich harder to determine where its weak spots are and how to strike that best.
This is all true and when it comes to acquiring targeting data against military targets and getting that data to the firing units in time, it gets even harder.
High mobility is the best protection against long range precision strikes for any military unit, targeting an enemy that is constantly moving is very hard no matter how accurate your missiles are.
 
According to the Kyiv Independent (too stupid to post links), Slovakia and Greece are supplying 100 tanks to Ukraine, funded by Germany. I don’t know about the timescales involved but that is a serious amount hardware. Credit where it’s due.
 
Wish I hadn’t seen this but at the same time I think it’s important to know what they’re actually doing to the people of Ukraine. Description below.

A clip showing dead Ukrainian civilians being thrown in a mass grave. One is still alive.

 
Yea, it's 4th or 5th time that Belarus is supposedly 'just about to invade'.
Lukashenko doing his usual dance of appeading Putin while not doing anything to grt properly involved?
 
Wish I hadn’t seen this but at the same time I think it’s important to know what they’re actually doing to the people of Ukraine. Description below.

A clip showing dead Ukrainian civilians being thrown in a mass grave. One is still alive.



Saw this, heartbreaking. Hopefully the West has finally learnt that you can't 'appease putin'.
Just like you shouldn't reward your child with a toy after they start hitting you.
 
So now Putin comes out and accuses the Ukrainians of terrorism re the bridge. I mean, where does this prick get off?
 
Let's play a drinking game, ever time Russia talks about nukes but doesn't use one, take a shot.

Interesting choice by Trump, to support Russia at this point in time, when they're finally being pushed back. Americans don't agree, but then he's never gone after the swing voters, has he.
 
I know that I thought the quote/title was either harsh or clickbait material, but I took a look at it anyway. Gen. Clark is definitely spot on when he said that Russian military doctrine basically did not evolve despite the considerable changes in weapons and tactics for most countries over the last 105 years.



The final third/quarter of the intervention is about what to expect in the context of Putin using nuclear weapons. The US already studied scenarios of what to do after a nuclear strike during the Cold War, and there is just no winning way out for troops deployed in an area that has been struck by a nuclear bomb.
 
No question the troops in the area will die.

But Ukraine don't mass troops like people did in WWII. It seems more effective as an act of terror, unless you're prepared to nuke the whole country. Again I would say that if anyone thought that was a good idea why didn't the USSR do it back in the day? Could have nuked Afghanistan.
 
There is nothing so far to suggest Putin’s talk of nukes is anything but grandstanding bluster. Every line that’s been suggested as where he’ll push the button has been passed without any such reaction.

Obviously if he were to it would be horrific, but intelligence is clearly pointing to it being an empty threat because Ukraine keep pushing, successfully. The threat is there in the hope it’ll make Ukraine and their allies back down and accept Russia stealing this land, which is rightly not happening. Putin is a lot of things, an idiot isn’t one of them. He’s well aware that if he takes that route it ends fairly sharpish with him in a coffin (if he’s lucky)