Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Anti-Russian??? Read his twitter since the war began, as one-sided as you can get he even calls Ukraine under Zelensky an authoritarian state, while no comments on Putin. :lol: I though you were better than this.
From what I've read he's basically condemned the war as Putin's fault, but there you go, two different interpretations. On the Ukrainian thing, that was after the banning of opposition parties. I read that. I know he's Ukrainian and has been writing on the topic for years, and his academic affiliations are rather good. Anyway, won't derail. His point about the Azov surrender was legitimate, either way.

Sign of improvement if both sides can negotiate that? Maybe not?
 


The cracks are opening ever wider.

He even admitted that virtually the whole world is now against Russia, and that this is a position of isolation that Russia needs to get out of, which of course raises the question - how do they escape from this isolation?

With that question now admitted, the only possible answers (as yet unvoiced by Russian commentators) hove into view: get rid of Putin, end the war, withdraw the troops.
 

Wow that's the first time I'm seeing a somewhat sane person on that show.
I was a bit surprised that the others didn't shut him down.

That female host is still unbearable though.

Is this show popular in Russia? I've seen many clips like this shared on social media since the war started but I have no idea how many Russian people regularly watch this show.
 


A real shame as I'm sure people were still hoping that Ukraine would mount some kind of rescue counterattack to punch a hole through Russian lines towards Mariupol. It could have ended in either a success like Bastogne or a failure like Alesia (Gauls vs. Caesar), but it would have been worth a try, especially as Russians are retreating about everywhere else.
 
A real shame as I'm sure people were still hoping that Ukraine would mount some kind of rescue counterattack to punch a hole through Russian lines towards Mariupol. It could have ended in either a success like Bastogne or a failure like Alesia (Gauls vs. Caesar), but it would have been worth a try, especially as Russians are retreating about everywhere else.
I’d also hoped they’d have been able to punch through like Patton’s 3rd Army, but it wasn’t to be.

Either way, they occupied large amounts of Russian troops, inflicted high casualties, and fought one of the greatest last stands in modern military history.
 
Incredibly it seems all of the explosions in Lviv overnight were missiles being intercepted. I’ve not yet seen any footage to confirm otherwise. That’s remarkable.



 
The cracks are opening ever wider.

He even admitted that virtually the whole world is now against Russia, and that this is a position of isolation that Russia needs to get out of, which of course raises the question - how do they escape from this isolation?

With that question now admitted, the only possible answers (as yet unvoiced by Russian commentators) hove into view: get rid of Putin, end the war, withdraw the troops.

This video is amazing! This guy directly said that at some point in the near future Ukraine will have one million soldiers, well equipped with modern NATO high tech weapons, well trained, and with high morale because they defend their motherland!

Which is correct I believe. Discussing the future, if Ukrainians want to keep the fight, I can imagine that this war can keep going for another 12 months, or as long as it is needed for Russia to lose. Why not? In 12 months the West can even train Ukrainian pilots to use modern aircraft, and train their army to use other complicated high tech equipment like Patriot missiles. Ukraine can win this war. And I mean really win the war, inflicting very high losses on the Russian army and pushing them out of Ukraine, including Crimea. It depends mostly on the will of Ukrainians to keep fighting.
 
Distasteful scenes at the Ukrainian border. All these people should just be looking sad and staring into the distance, @UnofficialDevil. Don’t they know there’s a war on!

 
I’d also hoped they’d have been able to punch through like Patton’s 3rd Army, but it wasn’t to be.

Either way, they occupied large amounts of Russian troops, inflicted high casualties, and fought one of the greatest last stands in modern military history.
They hold on long enough so that crucial resupplies could reach the front, while Russian troops had to stay in Mariupol. Pushing the Russians out of the region won't be a fast process as that's what they seem to prioritize. In this situation it makes little sense to keep them fighting and dying, the strategic goal of their fact has been reached.
 
I’d also hoped they’d have been able to punch through like Patton’s 3rd Army, but it wasn’t to be.

Either way, they occupied large amounts of Russian troops, inflicted high casualties, and fought one of the greatest last stands in modern military history.
This. They exhausted Russian forces there and kept them in combat, forces Russians could have used elsewhere. Mariupol battle reminds me of battle for Vukovar in Croatian homeland war. Greatly outnumbered Croatian forces fought and held Jugoslav people's army (one of the strongest in Europe at that time) for 3 months, while being pummelled daily, people being in basements without electricity, food and water. Hospital was a building which was bombarded the most so injured soldiers and civilians were in basements in improvised hospital conditions.
 
The BBC reports:

"Russia's President Putin and his military chief, General Valery Gerasimov, are believed to be directly intervening in Russia’s military offensive in Ukraine and taking decisions normally made by more junior officers - according to a Western military source.

Speaking on the condition of anonymity, the source said: “We think Putin and Gerasimov are involved in tactical decision-making at a level we would normally expect to be taken by a colonel or brigadier.”

The military source said the two were the ones making decisions about troop movements in the Donbas – the area of eastern Ukraine which is now the focus of Russia’s military offensive.

There have already been suggestions that President Putin has become more involved in the day-to-day running of the military campaign, ever since Russia suffered setbacks in the north of the country and around the capital Kyiv.

There’s also been recent speculation that Russia’s military chief, General Gerasimov, may have been sidelined – along with unsubstantiated rumours that he was injured while visiting the Donbas a few weeks ago.

But the Western military official made clear that Russia’s chief of the general staff was still giving orders. “Gerasimov is up and running,” he said."
If this is true, then Russia will lose this. It reminds so much of war on the Eastern front in WW2 when a certain dictator whose name I will not utter began to meddle on the tactical level, undermining his generals on the ground and making bad decisions.
You would think a Russian would know this
 
This video is amazing! This guy directly said that at some point in the near future Ukraine will have one million soldiers, well equipped with modern NATO high tech weapons, well trained, and with high morale because they defend their motherland!

Which is correct I believe. Discussing the future, if Ukrainians want to keep the fight, I can imagine that this war can keep going for another 12 months, or as long as it is needed for Russia to lose. Why not? In 12 months the West can even train Ukrainian pilots to use modern aircraft, and train their army to use other complicated high tech equipment like Patriot missiles. Ukraine can win this war. And I mean really win the war, inflicting very high losses on the Russian army and pushing them out of Ukraine, including Crimea. It depends mostly on the will of Ukrainians to keep fighting.
I’m more worried about funding than I am the will of the Ukrainians to push Russia out of all of Ukraine.
 
A real shame as I'm sure people were still hoping that Ukraine would mount some kind of rescue counterattack to punch a hole through Russian lines towards Mariupol. It could have ended in either a success like Bastogne or a failure like Alesia (Gauls vs. Caesar), but it would have been worth a try, especially as Russians are retreating about everywhere else.

Wish this was possible, but would have been the most suicide of suicide missions. Mariupol is in deepest held Russian territory. I’m sure it’ll fall eventually but the war is heading into a stalemate whereby the Russians are unable to advance. We’re long away from Ukraine punching into the actual Donbas.

Even with all the weaponry arriving in Ukraine, they still lack significant troop transport (hence bowling about in 4x4s a lot of the time) to enable a fast paced counterattack.

Mariupol will definitely be Ukrainian but it’s too far away for the Avozstal defenders to have survived. Anyway this way, these guys will be back on the frontlines in a month.
 
Mayor of Lviv confirms that all missiles were intercepted last night. That’s pretty remarkable and shows that Lviv now has robust missile defences. I wonder if Russia will now focus their terrorism on other cities? A short thread that you can self-translate on Twitter:

 
I notice that people are hoping that Ukraine move further into Donbas and even Crimea eventually. I may be wrong on this, but wouldn't that be a very different sort of war for Ukraine and mean that they're the ones shelling cities to remove the army that is currently incumbent in those areas?

I get it's wrong that the Russians took Crimea, but wouldn't removing them by force mean Ukraine potentially killing a lot of their own?
 
Mayor of Lviv confirms that all missiles were intercepted last night. That’s pretty remarkable and shows that Lviv now has robust missile defences. I wonder if Russia will now focus their terrorism on other cities? A short thread that you can self-translate on Twitter:



This is great, I haven’t heard of Ukraine receiving air defences as part of the military aid they’ve got, so I wonder what it is they’re using.
Anyone know what missiles Russia is using? It would be interesting to see how much it’s costing them
 
I notice that people are hoping that Ukraine move further into Donbas and even Crimea eventually. I may be wrong on this, but wouldn't that be a very different sort of war for Ukraine and mean that they're the ones shelling cities to remove the army that is currently incumbent in those areas?

I get it's wrong that the Russians took Crimea, but wouldn't removing them by force mean Ukraine potentially killing a lot of their own?

Why "potentially killing a lot of their own"? A proper army does not hit blind shots over cities. That's a waste of ammo, the Russian way. The Ukrainian army will hit the Russian army, not the civilians.
 
I notice that people are hoping that Ukraine move further into Donbas and even Crimea eventually. I may be wrong on this, but wouldn't that be a very different sort of war for Ukraine and mean that they're the ones shelling cities to remove the army that is currently incumbent in those areas?

I get it's wrong that the Russians took Crimea, but wouldn't removing them by force mean Ukraine potentially killing a lot of their own?

I’d be surprised if they use Russia’s tactics, more likely they’ll attack supply lines etc, and try to foment a revolution from within. It will be a more asymmetric kind of warfare that we haven’t seen as yet
 
I notice that people are hoping that Ukraine move further into Donbas and even Crimea eventually. I may be wrong on this, but wouldn't that be a very different sort of war for Ukraine and mean that they're the ones shelling cities to remove the army that is currently incumbent in those areas?

I get it's wrong that the Russians took Crimea, but wouldn't removing them by force mean Ukraine potentially killing a lot of their own?

I assume they would try to allow civilians to evacuate. They would be able to afford to wait as well, they wouldn't have to charge in all guns blazing like the Russians whose supply lines haven't really allowed for an indefinite war. Contrary to popular belief, shelling seven shades of shite out of civilians isn't the only way to take a city.
 
Mayor of Lviv confirms that all missiles were intercepted last night. That’s pretty remarkable and shows that Lviv now has robust missile defences. I wonder if Russia will now focus their terrorism on other cities? A short thread that you can self-translate on Twitter:



Amazing, this might be Russia's single largest missile attack yet? All a complete waste and their ability to replace these missiles is highly questionable.