Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

What would you do with Ireland, determinedly neutral? Just ignore them and let them have the benefits without paying the price? I'd suggest agreeing Ireland still pays 2% but could spend it all on medical support for the armed forces. Although it could be argued that was releasing money for others to spend on fighting. It seemed to work with conscientious objectors in the wars though, many of them served as stretcher bearers and medics, just a thought.

With the CSDP agreement are they still neutral?
 
This is really scary..surely russia cant be this reckless. Damage Chernobyl and the consequences are unimaginable....


"...An official familiar with current assessments said Russian shelling hit a radioactive waste repository at Chernobyl, and an increase in radiation levels was reported. The increase could not be immediately corroborated...."

"...Edwin Lyman, director of nuclear power safety at the Union of Concerned Scientists in Washington, DC, said, “I can’t imagine how it would be in Russia’s interest to allow any facilities at Chernobyl to be damaged.”

Lyman said he is most worried about spent fuel stored at the site, which has not been active since 2000. If the power to cooling pumps is disrupted or fuel-storage tanks are damaged, the results could be catastrophic, he said..."

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/24/chernobyl-nuclear-plant-targeted-as-russia-invades-ukraine
 
It seems obvious given the numbers in defence vs the numbers attacking.

Looking at the replies in this thread; it seems I am alone in hoping for a swift Russian victory to end the conflict with as few lives lost as possible.
You either didn't think rationally before hitting post or you didn't even think at all. How did a "swift russian victory" with as few lives lost as possible go hand in hand in your thought process? You know, since a swift russian victory literally goes hand in hand with a Ukrainan massacre.
 
Unfortunate truth is that people in western Europe are too comfortable to give up their lifestyles etc., for something that’s even so close to them. I hate it, this mentality is perfect for dictators like Putin to exploit.

Actually I appreciate the reality that is Russia will win this conflict and protracting it will cost substantially more innocent Ukrainian (and Russian) lives than is needed. It’s easy for you to say they should fight to the death without actually having something on the line.

Some people genuinely care about the sanctity of human life over where a line is drawn on a map. @bosnian_red @Bosnian_fan
 
Yeah, as an ex soldier myself I can say that there are things worth dying for out there, such as freedom for your sons and daughters.

Russia can take the land, and it will, but the spirit of Ukraine must live on in the survivors.
 
It can be changed though, no one (assuming that the US are ok with it, which at this stage are) can stop that if the Germans want it.

Yeah, still wouldn't change anything, our troops are a shambles and that's not due to sheer numbers of manpower. It lacks everything the military needs. Funding, Equipment, qualified manpower, pride, social acceptance, organization, leadership, you get the hang.

What would you do with Ireland, determinedly neutral? Just ignore them and let them have the benefits without paying the price? I'd suggest agreeing Ireland still pays 2% but could spend it all on medical support for the armed forces. Although it could be argued that was releasing money for others to spend on fighting. It seemed to work with conscientious objectors in the wars though, many of them served as stretcher bearers and medics, just a thought.

It's obviously not a completely shaped plan, but there'd be lots of possibilities considering the amount of variables.

Yeah because Europeans didn't participate in Syria and Libya over oil..
In Europe we can't find a solution over simple things. A new army will just create more mess, more expenses that could go somewhere else and more warmongering.

If anything, a centrally european commanded army could prevent single european countries from creating a mess. I stand by what I said. The US are not a reliable partner anymore. At the very latest Trump has shown that very drastically. If the US isn't ready for a black female president when Biden's terms end, only god knows which idiot they'll finde to do the job. Eric Trump? Na man, I trust my european neighbors. I really do. It's highly complicated and it's far from happening, but it would be my vision for Europe, as I think the time of national states for Europe has come to an end. We need each other - not just economically.
 
This is what Putin is counting on and tried to invoke with his raving rants. Other nations shitting their pants that Putin will send the rockets if they get involved in this conflict.

The problem is if we end up doing nothing and leave Ukraine to the wolves, he will feel emboldened and try to do the same to the Baltic States in a couple of years. He will again test the waters, make up reasons why Estonia is a thread to Russia and is going to take smaller parts to test the water and escalate from there, just like he did with Ukraine.
Exactly. Ukraine is Czecoslovakia. Poland is gonna be...I guess Poland.
 
Actually I appreciate the reality that is Russia will win this conflict and protracting it will cost substantially more innocent Ukrainian (and Russian) lives than is needed. It’s easy for you to say they should fight to the death without actually having something on the line.

Some people genuinely care about the sanctity of human life over where a line is drawn on a map. @bosnian_red @Bosnian_fan
Christ. You think it's about a line on a map :wenger:
 
It definitely is a longterm issue and one reason being european countries not spending enough on their military budget. That was one of the very few points Trump had I completely agreed with, honestly, and I was laughed at.
I still think Merkel could have made a huge difference, especially compared to someone like Scholz. I'm not even a Merkel fan, yet, if anything, I admired her for keeping stability and peace, even in pretty dark times. She was very good at that - her skillset and personality is something we're missing right now.


Yes, I believe that, too. Still don't think there's anything she could've done about this. Might be possible that Putin was waiting for a change in power in Europe but I can't imagine this was the driving force. And let's be real, as head of state of one of the most important countries in tha NATO for the last 16 years, Merkel has to have a fair share of the blame. Still not as much as her predecessor who should be put in front of a tribunal considering the current developments.
 
What would you do with Ireland, determinedly neutral? Just ignore them and let them have the benefits without paying the price? I'd suggest agreeing Ireland still pays 2% but could spend it all on medical support for the armed forces. Although it could be argued that was releasing money for others to spend on fighting. It seemed to work with conscientious objectors in the wars though, many of them served as stretcher bearers and medics, just a thought.
Hey leave us alone, we’re green and like to drink Guinness tee hee
 

Putin warned countries about interfering but some of that has got to be bullshit because the Soviets/Russia and the US have been killing each other indirectly since Korea (Afghanistan in the 80s, US; Afghanistan recently, Russia). Also because surely all the weaponry is already in Ukraine. Has it not been building up for eight years? The sanctity of the NATO thing is maybe slightly overplayed when everyone is killing everyone by proxy anyway.


Edit: I guess he might have meant "direct" interference of some sort.
 
Yeah, still wouldn't change anything, our troops are a shambles and that's not due to sheer numbers of manpower. It lacks everything the military needs. Funding, Equipment, qualified manpower, pride, social acceptance, organization, leadership, you get the hang.



It's obviously not a completely shaped plan, but there'd be lots of possibilities considering the amount of variables.



If anything, a centrally european commanded army could prevent single european countries from creating a mess. I stand by what I said. The US are not a reliable partner anymore. At the very latest Trump has shown that very drastically. If the US isn't ready for a black female president when Biden's terms end, only god knows which idiot they'll finde to do the job. Eric Trump? Na man, I trust my european neighbors. I really do. It's highly complicated and it's far from happening, but it would be my vision for Europe, as I think the time of national states for Europe has come to an end. We need each other - not just economically.

The Germans once elected Hitler. France almost elected Lepen. Don't let me start about Austria, Poland and Hungary. What happens when Germany elects Hitler lite?
 
Actually I appreciate the reality that is Russia will win this conflict and protracting it will cost substantially more innocent Ukrainian (and Russian) lives than is needed. It’s easy for you to say they should fight to the death without actually having something on the line.

Some people genuinely care about the sanctity of human life over where a line is drawn on a map. @bosnian_red @Bosnian_fan

Do you perhaps have an example of when giving in was beneficial for the victim in the long term? Of course in the short term lives may be saved but at what cost to the individuals who survive? And since when does giving into aggressors stop them from continuing to take? If there is no resistance Russia will keep going, there has to be a line somewhere, where resistance is necessary; surely being invaded by a violent, autocratic kleptocracy is somewhat past that line?
 
This is what Putin is counting on and tried to invoke with his raving rants. Other nations shitting their pants that Putin will send the rockets if they get involved in this conflict.

The problem is if we end up doing nothing and leave Ukraine to the wolves, he will feel emboldened and try to do the same to the Baltic States in a couple of years. He will again test the waters, make up reasons why Estonia is a thread to Russia and is going to take smaller parts to test the water and escalate from there, just like he did with Ukraine.

War isn't the only answer to a conflict. If the rest of the world are serious, they could inflict serious economic damage without escalating the situation.
 
Actually I appreciate the reality that is Russia will win this conflict and protracting it will cost substantially more innocent Ukrainian (and Russian) lives than is needed. It’s easy for you to say they should fight to the death without actually having something on the line.

Some people genuinely care about the sanctity of human life over where a line is drawn on a map. @bosnian_red @Bosnian_fan
Based on this it seems you've no clue how war works or even comprehend anything about the circumstances in this particular war. For the russians to win this quickly there will be a massive death toll as a result on both sides. There won't be any less lives lost just more dead quicker untill you are left with a nation that will live in opression.

The war has only begun and a great deal civillians are already dead. They are dropping bombs from jets on non military areas and villages where the only thing existing there are old people and their kids. So this delusional thought process from you is very strange.
 
Actually I appreciate the reality that is Russia will win this conflict and protracting it will cost substantially more innocent Ukrainian (and Russian) lives than is needed. It’s easy for you to say they should fight to the death without actually having something on the line.

Some people genuinely care about the sanctity of human life over where a line is drawn on a map. @bosnian_red @Bosnian_fan
Read the post straight below yours. What exactly do you consider sanctity of human life? It's really a simple question of being a slave forever or dying for freedom. And I'm not speaking out of my ass here, there was a relatively recent conflict in my country. I have members of my family who died fighting for freedom. And in the end, the freedom prevailed.
 
So you wouldn't even be in favor of the french proposition which if I remember correctly was an actual army but only made of a handful of the countries initially willing to have an actual army. Because NATO is a non-starter, I don't even understand how you or anyone can mention it when a NATO member has already attacked a European countries without any answer outside of France. I know that people don't like the idea but NATO is absolutely untrustworthy as an organization for Europe, it has it's own agenda.
NATO is essentially the US, with a bit of help from UK.

The others follow the US lead, and in turn are protected by US.

That is why the big European countries (Germany, France and to a lesser degree Italy and Spain) should have militaries that are capable of defending themselves. Because, if something happens with the US, then the Europe is in trouble.
 
It’s all about lines on a map and where superpowers’ weapons are kept. It’s all fecking made up to pit us against one another.

I find it absurd so many people buy into this crap.

What do you understand. The idea you would take two bosnians as well and tell them "meh it's just boundaries". You think these boundaries have no consequences. Ridiculous. Yeah Ukraine should just let 'em have it. So should Palestine, so should every other armed struggle. Let the oppressor win because they have might?
 
They armed the rebel factions during the Syria war, many of which who were in direct confrontation with Russian armed forces. Don't see how this would be any different. And going further back there was also the very overt support for the Mujahadeen in the Russian-Afghan war.

Have to imagine that much of the American security establishment will be licking their lips at the prospect of bleeding Russia dry through an Operation Cyclone type arrangement, without much serious consideration of the consequences.
 
I'm sorry but that's a horrible and cowardly mentality. And a complete lack of understanding of the realities of war as well. The mass expulsion of people who don't belong there anymore because it is no longer "their" land. The slaughter of innocent civilians in the process. Putin wants a lot more than just Ukraine, and wishing for a quick end here is naive and it won't just end here. That swift end you want anyway is Ukraine to no longer exist, a country with almost 50 million people. 50 million people who will then be viewed as 2nd rate citizens. People who will be oppressed. Kicked out of their homes.

There isn't any option other than fighting back until Putin either retreats, or is defeated in some way here unfortunately.
What a condescending rant. You're ignoring that he mentioned "fewest lives lost as possible" and youre going on about "slaughters".

2nd rate citizenry already exists in Ukraine. They're just not the Ukrainians.

OP is correct, if US/EU dont want the Ukrainians to win the war, theyll lose it. Better get it over with quickly with the lowest death count possible.

Yup. Its a horribly misguided and naive opinion. "Just let them take it and it'll be over"... Come on, really? Like you say. We wouldn't have a country to call home if people took that mentality.
This view lacks historical awareness. All countries exist because wars were won or lost.

What if Austro-Hungarians or Yugoslavs too up the mentality you're propogating?

They may well have and it wouldn't have changed a thing.
 
Do you perhaps have an example of when giving in was beneficial for the victim in the long term? Of course in the short term lives may be saved but at what cost to the individuals who survive? And since when does giving into aggressors stop them from continuing to take? If there is no resistance Russia will keep going, there has to be a line somewhere and surely being invaded by a violent, autocratic kleptocracy is somewhat past that line?


I don’t know why you are arguing with me as though I have the answers to these questions. I am not a world leader or someone qualified to make decisions that prevent these actions. I’m just someone who thinks people across the world are the same, with more in common than what divides us and I find all of this entirely unnecessary and counterproductive to where we should be as a people.

This isn’t the 1940s any more. Once you open Pandora’s box on a world war in all likelihood humanity ceases to exist.
 
It’s all about lines on a map and where superpowers’ weapons are kept. It’s all fecking made up to pit us against one another.

I find it absurd so many people buy into this crap.

It's much, much more absurd that you think these people have the option to just lay down their arms and give up and everything will be fine.
 
Do you perhaps have an example of when giving in was beneficial for the victim in the long term? Of course in the short term lives may be saved but at what cost to the individuals who survive? And since when does giving into aggressors stop them from continuing to take? If there is no resistance Russia will keep going, there has to be a line somewhere and surely being invaded by a violent, autocratic kleptocracy is somewhat past that line?

That applies to pretty much every current European countries, none of them started the way they currently are. All of them started as much smaller entities that had their own languages and cultures.
 
It's wild that we're gettin reasonably high quality military analysis through Twitter.



 
The Germans once elected Hitler. France almost elected Lepen. Don't let me start about Austria, Poland and Hungary. What happens when Germany elects Hitler lite?

Did you just realise democracy has risks? And that we would need constitutional mechanisms to control the state and the army?