Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Isn't that literally every country when it comes to geopolitics? Nobody is supporting Ukraine just to be nice, it benefits them all in some way.

Nato (the west) supports Ukraine because we need to stop Russian imperialism, for the safety of Europe and democratic world in general. China only supports for their own power and money reasons.

edit: First footage of the Patriot system operating in Ukraine

 
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There is a big rumor about radio silence in the near future. Many ukranian war reporter accounts pushing this image now:



This sort of thing is more of a giveaway that something is a foot than not. The Russians must surely have their antennas up.
 
Nato (the west) supports Ukraine because we need to stop Russian imperialism, for the safety of Europe and democratic world in general. China only supports for their own power and money reasons.

edit: First footage of the Patriot system operating in Ukraine



If the US or NATO can drive a wedge between Xi and Putin, then it will be worth it. Even if that wedge isn't a big one, it will help to further isolate Putin by cutting him off from his biggest ally.
 
Pretty impressive numbers. Ukraine also trained 8 new brigades themselves, that makes 17 new brigades (around 100.000 men) in addition to those already deployed, ready for a counter offensive with western weapons and training.
 
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Pretty impressive numbers. Ukraine also trained 4 new brigades themselves, that makes 13 new brigades (around 100.000 men) in addition to those already deployed, ready for a counter offensive with western weapons and training.

Do we have the numbers for amount of men? This sounds like a bit too much? I think the west trained around 40k soldiers which would mean around 4.5k men for every brigade. So if we follow that, I would expect somewhere around 60k men.
 
Do we have the numbers for amount of men? This sounds like a bit too much? I think the west trained around 40k soldiers which would mean around 4.5k men for every brigade. So if we follow that, I would expect somewhere around 60k men.

Yeah, I had the number of brigades wrong in my head. According to Reuters, Ukraine trained 40.000 storm troops in 8 new brigades, so around 5000 men/brigade. With that information, the 9 additional brigades trained in Nato countries should field around 45.000 troops. So together around 85-90.000 men in 17 brigades? We don't have official numbers of course, but I still think it will be close to a 100.000 new troops trained and armed with western weapons and armor.
 
So, who's been paid to turn a blind eye?

UK company set up in name of top Putin official in Ukraine

Volodymyr Saldo, a Kremlin puppet in the Russian-occupied territories, listed as firm’s owner, despite being under sanctions

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...t-up-in-name-of-top-putin-official-in-ukraine

It's UK policy to turn a blind eye to company registrations. No checks are ever done, you are free to fraudulently set up a company in whatever name and info you want for £12 and 24 hours. The only person ever prosecuted for such a thing was the guy who did it using the info of politicians, to prove a point.
 
Yeah, I had the number of brigades wrong in my head. According to Reuters, Ukraine trained 40.000 storm troops in 8 new brigades, so around 5000 men/brigade. With that information, the 9 additional brigades trained in Nato countries should field around 45.000 troops. So together around 85-90.000 men in 17 brigades? We don't have official numbers of course, but I still think it will be close to a 100.000 new troops trained and armed with western weapons and armor.
Yea, it's decent numbers and 100k properly trained and equipped Ukrainian soldiers are probably worth 2-3x the amount of Russian ones, at least in the Southern Ukraine where they will not have much experience. The biggest worry is that of course Russia had a lot of time to prepare and they probably mined the hell out of fields/roads.
 
Yea, it's decent numbers and 100k properly trained and equipped Ukrainian soldiers are probably worth 2-3x the amount of Russian ones, at least in the Southern Ukraine where they will not have much experience. The biggest worry is that of course Russia had a lot of time to prepare and they probably mined the hell out of fields/roads.

Don't forget those 100k are only the newly formed and trained brigades. They have even bigger numbers deployed all around the front and they will take part in the counter offensive as well. If I remember correctly the Russian invasion force back in february 2022 was around 200-300k strong. I'm sure that Ukraine can field similar numbers in their counter attack. This upcoming battle will be brutal.
 
Don't forget those 100k are only the newly formed and trained brigades. They have even bigger numbers deployed all around the front and they will take part in the counter offensive as well. If I remember correctly the Russian invasion force back in february 2022 was around 200-300k strong. I'm sure that Ukraine can field similar numbers in their counter attack. This upcoming battle will be brutal.
The invasion force was 200K but they've mobilized since then and last time I checked there are about 350K Russians in Ukraine now, including Wagner and newly mobilized.
 
The invasion force was 200K but they've mobilized since then and last time I checked there are about 350K Russians in Ukraine now, including Wagner and newly mobilized.

Yeah. And Russia can't keep all soldiers on the front lines. They need military presence in every town they take, especially bigger towns like Melitopol where the resistance is strong. If Ukraine can break Russian defense lines in some places, they will fall apart is my feeling. Especially because most of them have neither motivation, nor the training. We saw that already last year. As soon as Ukranian forces broke through, Russians started running.
It will be more difficult now of course, because Russians have several defensive lines now, but still. With the right tactic and equipment, everything is possible.
 
Yea, it's decent numbers and 100k properly trained and equipped Ukrainian soldiers are probably worth 2-3x the amount of Russian ones, at least in the Southern Ukraine where they will not have much experience. The biggest worry is that of course Russia had a lot of time to prepare and they probably mined the hell out of fields/roads.
They will need 2 or 3 times the amount of RA troops for the offensive, for sure. But no one knows how many troops UA possesses or is ready to deploy. People have to take account of their reserves getting used to defend those cities along with weapons/ammunitions. Do we know if any of the NATO-trained troops participated in defending those cities? If so, the availability of troops have a different outlook as well.
 
A Russian navy ship equiped for subsea operations was photographed in the area of the Nord Stream blasts 4 days before the explosions.

 
On Russian gas exports in 2023:

Evidence is piling up about the steady disintegration of Russia’s vital natural gas export industry since the country’s invasion of Ukraine.

Russian news reports estimate that Russia’s gas exports by pipeline could fall as much as 50 percent in volume this year from last year. And last year was an especially bad year.

The problems are not limited to gas delivered by pipeline. The European Union is threatening to curtail imports of liquefied natural gas from Russia, which were the solitary bright spot for the Russian industry last year.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/27/business/energy-environment/russias-gas-exports-2023.html
 
New wave of terrorist attacks all over Ukraine which will probably be followed with - "we're ready for negotiations, sadly Ukraine and the West are not".
 
New wave of terrorist attacks all over Ukraine which will probably be followed with - "we're ready for negotiations, sadly Ukraine and the West are not".


Air defense is getting better and better. But sadly one residential building was hit again.
 
Yea, it's decent numbers and 100k properly trained and equipped Ukrainian soldiers are probably worth 2-3x the amount of Russian ones, at least in the Southern Ukraine where they will not have much experience. The biggest worry is that of course Russia had a lot of time to prepare and they probably mined the hell out of fields/roads.

These are just the guys trained with outside help right?
Surprise!

Shocked I am, utterly shocked.
 
"U.S. Wires Ukraine With Radiation Sensors to Detect Nuclear Blasts"

The United States is wiring Ukraine with sensors that can detect‌‌ bursts of radiation from a nuclear weapon or a dirty bomb and can confirm the identity of the attacker. In part, the goal is to make sure that if Russia detonates a radioactive weapon on Ukrainian soil, its atomic signature and Moscow’s culpability could be verified.

The preparations, mentioned last month in a House hearing and detailed Wednesday by the National Nuclear Security Administration, a federal agency that is part of the Energy Department, seem to constitute the hardest evidence to date that Washington is taking concrete steps to prepare for the worst possible outcomes of the invasion of Ukraine, Europe’s second largest nation.

The Nuclear Emergency Support Team, or NEST, a shadowy unit of atomic experts run by the security agency, is working with Ukraine to deploy the radiation sensors, train personnel, monitor data and warn of deadly radiation.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/28/science/ukraine-nuclear-radiation-sensors.html
 
22 and search still ongoing. Orcs boasting they hit all designated targets, and this happens while russia is chairing a UN security council.

A silver lining in all of this is it shows Putin's desperation and it makes him look doubly evil before the world when the story is amplified as it has.