Just to get this back on track… I’m quite worried about Ralf as a manager. I was actually really enthusiastic when he came in, hoping he could spark a transformation in the club, not only on the pitch, but organizationally as well.
‘Here we are, 2 months later. We still don’t look great on the pitch, we failed to strengthen the squad in the window, and Ralf has really fecked up the Martial and the Lingard situations.
I can’t believe I’m saying this so soon, but… Ralf out.
I'm not Ralf out or anything, I think he's a good choice for caretaker until the summer. Maybe further as well if no good options are available in the summer. (Maybe even with an understanding that he moves upstairs midseason even with good results, if the right long-term option becomes available.)
But I'm getting a little annoyed at the media's claims that he has changed us around since we have won 5 in the last 8, compared to the last manager who lost 5 of their last 7.
Yes we are now in 4th, compared to 7th the round before. But the last manager had us 4th five games before his last, and 5th two games before.
There's a slight difference between meeting:
Crystal Palace (W)
Norwich (W)
Brentford (W)
Newcastle (D) (Won 4-1 earlier in season)
Burnley (W)
Wolves (L) (Won narrowly earlier in season)
Aston Villa (D) (Lost narrowly earlier in season)
West Ham (W)
And meeting:
Aston Villa (L)
Everton (D)
Leicester (L)
Liverpool (L)
Spurs (W)
Man City (L)
Watford (L)
I know it's hard to quantify this properly, but in that bad run of seven games we faced an at the time averagely placed opposition at 8th place in the table, six of the seven were in the Top 10. Their table position at the time of the matches were 2-3-4-6-8-10. This includes matches from the 6th round, and the 5th place there is 16th now (Everton). So if we take into consideration the table position today, the average opposition is placed at 9(.28)th place. With four of the seven in Top 10, specifically 1-2-7-10).
For Rangnick's eight matches the average opposition table position at the time of matches were 13th, with three in the Top10, 4-8-10. If we compare to today's table position the average placement is still 13(.375)th, with two out of eight in the Top10, 5-8.
And before anyone wants to criticize me for cherry picking, leaving out the five "easier" games at the start of the season, if we include those, the last manager met averagely placed opposition of 10(.333)th place at the time over 12 matches, taking today's table into consideration (since those early games of the season is more of a lottery) the average opposition table placement is 10(.666)th.
Yes, we had to change the manager with how things went in his final 2 months. I'm not making excuses for him. We're United and we should be winning every game and so on. But the fact that we're now conceding less goals may have something to do with the opposition we've been facing lately. Any manager in the world (almost) should have been able to win these games. I thought in December that really we shouldn't lose any game from then through February with the matches scheduled. I just hope that Ralf has been able to make enough changes on the training pitch come March when his
first real test of challenging games start coming right after each other (+ CL R16 on the 23rd of Feb).
I have hope that our run of better results will continue. But it will take more work before I'm convinced we are heading in a better direction.