I did watch the games and it would appear to be more of a mental collapse for me.
How could City have a mental collapse when they knew perfectly well that all they needed to do (to get Liverpool knocked out) was expose their weak defence
(1)? The trouble for them was that they where being outplayed by Liverpools midfield (hence why they couldn't score...while Liverpool could expose their weak defence).
Besides even if you are correct, surely replacing Otamendi with VVD and having Neymar & Mbappe on the field (with Sane, Sterling & B.Silva on the bench) would help prevent such a mental collapse, especially when half of those players would be fighting to keep their places in the team.
(1) Remember that it was the same Liverpool side that lost 5-0 at the Etihad and scrapped a 4-3 win at Anfield in the Premier League.
We'll have to agree to disagree here as I'm not having that he needs 8 more WC players to win the CL.
The thing is though:
- Real Madrid & Barcelona both needed a entire Starting XI of World Class Players to win the Champions League during the 2010s, despite both of them boasting one of the two greatest players of this era (Ronaldo & MessI respectively).
- Real Madrid needed a entire Starting XI of World Class Players (Including Ronaldo) AND another Strong Second XI to win the European Double back in 2018.
- Bayern Munich needed a Starting XI containing 10 World Class Players (and had another 2-3 on the Bench) to win the Treble back in 2013.
- Inter Milan needed a Starting XI containing at least 9 World Class Players (and few others on the bench) to win the Treble back in 2010.
- Manchester United needed a Squad with 9-10 World Class Players to win a European Double in 2008 & reach another Champions League Final in 2009.
- Liverpool needed a Starting XI of 9 World Class Players (Plus 1-2 on the Bench) to win the Champions League in 2019.
Thus you clearly need more than 8 World Class Players just to win a Champions League, let alone a European Double.
He had good enough squads to do it at both of his last two clubs.
The Bayern Munich side that Pep took on might have had a very good Starting XI; but once you look past the fact that Dante was a Starting CB
(1), there a lack of World Class Strength in Depth outside of the Midfield positions. Something that might have been good enough to dominate the German Club Game, but was most definately not good enough to dominate both in Germany & in Europe. A problem that was never really addressed during Guardiola's time at the club
(2).
The funny thing is though; while many criticise Bayern for rading other German Clubs of their best talent (including Dortmund); what they actually needed to do (to assemble a squad that could Dominate Europe as well as Germany) was actually go even further with this policy. For example if Bayern Munich (in Guardiola's first season) signed Weidenfeller, Schmelzer, Piszczek, Hummels, Gündoğan, Reus & Lewandowski (A year earlier than Bayern actually signed him) off Dortmund
(3), that would have make a significant difference in securing another Champions League for Bayern in 2014.
(1) Still don't get why Bayern never signed Hummels back in 2013 rather than in 2016, because signing him after Guardiola came would have helped address the biggest weak spot in the Starting XI.
(2) Not helped by the fact Bayern only had a net spend of about £25 Million during Pep's first 2 seasons, while having a net spend of £51 Million during Pep's last season. Figures that where pretty small compared to what the likes of Real Madrid, Barcelona & even Manchester United where spending at the same time, despite the fact Bayern Munich has long been one of the biggest clubs in Europe.
(3) Thus creating a Bayern Squad that not only had a Starting XI with 11 World Class Players, but also had real strength in depth across mutiple areas of the squad.
I think in the last 2 CL campaigns two key things happened, I'm not sure about the fatigue but in the first leg against liverpool not getting a stonewall pen on Sane and then in the home leg for the goal to be disallowed bang on half time to get it back to 2-0 played a big part, (though I do think 'pool would have got an away goal anyway so that's moot)
The thing is; while I do sympathise with City over the Ref's decision's against them (in both the Liverpool game & the Tottenham game), one of the main things I have learnt about the Modern Game is that you cannot rely on the Ref to help you win games (even if it is very frustrating to witness Refs go against your team). Thus the only way you can legally overcome this problem is that you have a strong enough Starting XI & Bench that are actually able to win games despite whatthe Opposition & Ref throw against you.
Against spurs Aguero missing the pen after 10 mins in the first leg and they didn't recover in that game at all
While that was a big factor (perhaps Sterling should have taken that penality instead); an even bigger one has to be when Delph
(1) allowed Son to score the winning goal in that tie (although both Laporte & Otamendi should have done far better to prevent that goal). Had David Alaba & VVD been signed by City (and took the place of both Delph & Otamendi in that game), I doubt that goal would have gone in and thus City would have knocked out Spurs even if the same madcap 2nd Leg result still happened.
(1) Whose stupid injuring of Kane during that game pretty much cost England any chance of winning the Nations League later that Summer...
I don't think either game had anything to do with Guardiola being outcoached, sometimes players don't perform.
While Guardiola's reluctance to play pragmatic football is a factor, I would agree that player performance is a far better factor in these cases.