I am not convinced the OT rules in NFL are wrong but I am also not convinced they are correct. I do not like the college OT rules and do not think they should be implemented into the NFL.
Based on statistics - it is fine that some want to look at the probability of winning in OT after winning the coin toss. However, there are significant rules in place for NFL OT that make winning more difficult.
First, there is a kick-off so just like last night, a touchback requires a team to driver 75 yards and score a touchdown - a nice run back obviously makes the field shorter but good kick coverage could cause a longer field. I like the fact that in the NFL you can't win on a FG and if that is all you get, then the other team gets the ball.
There were 24 total possessions in the game last night and a total of 8 (7 on offense and 1 on defense) touchdowns scored, so exactly 29.1% of offensive drives ended in touchdowns in the game last night. The average for the NFL 20% of drives will end in a touchdown. These statistics really favor the defense to not let a drive end in a touchdown.
The only way a team can win on the first possession in OT is to score a TD - the odds of that are no where near 50%.