This is long, but the takeaway is that we should hire a fashionable young hipster coach right now for the rest of the year, someone who won't turn it down because the job is just too exciting to turn down and will back themselves to do it.
https://www.redcafe.net/threads/next-manager-odds-for-2002.467165/
This thread reminded me that if we can't get Pep or Klopp, it's as likely that someone logical like Rodgers or Ten Hag looks like a terrible appointment in a few years.
Here's what I wrote in 2014 on this forum:
https://www.redcafe.net/threads/van...u-about-this-appointment.391013/post-15717637
"A+/A
In terms of other managers, I think Klopp was a clear first choice but couldn't be gotten yet, Rodgers was not going to happen but he deserves mentioning for his impressive work, Simeone - I don't give a feck if he doesn't speak English, his team is insanely well managed and solid players like Gabi, Tiago, Adrian look fantastic while very good players like Godin, Juanfran, Turan, Costa all look phenomenal - was probably not gettable either and after that there's a few good choices of which LVG was certainly one:
A-/B+
Pochettino's pressing numbers this season with Southampton (most possession while employing sloppy passes = a fit team working both hard and intelligently to get the ball back) were so impressive that he deserved consideration but a mid-table prem manager was NEVER going to get the job after Moyes, and Rudi Garcia's general resume is so good that I would have been excited by their appointments too. Bielsa has all the negatives of Van Gaal, but it would be so fun that I'd love to have seen him get a shot as long as he could deliver his old CM Vidal with him. De Boer has had trouble in Europe but seems good with young talent and has won the league every year. Don't know quite enough about him to really say, but I think he's earned discussion for this kind of job.
So, while he's not an A+ like Klopp or Simeone, he 's a solid A- or B+ appointment."
Looking back, any of
Klopp, Simeone or Rodgers would have been much better than what we'd done but I think everyone wanted Klopp so no points there and Simeone had just won the league so honestly no points there.
Pochettino from Southampton, that was a good call, but sadly looking at stats this time around doesn't really bring as obvious as name.
(
https://fbref.com/en/comps/Big5/possession/squads/Big-5-European-Leagues-Stats)
There's not really a Southampton and the only team that really sticks out is Atalanta and I think most people already think
Gasperini probably tactically the best option but he doesn't want the job and seems to piss off everyone and the club won't consider him.
Bielsa would have been a delight, we should genuinely have done this, even if it would have been insane the young players would have improved and we'd have saved money on meh transfers and could have bought a couple massive stars instead of a bunch of weird flaccid Schneiderlin 30M buys once Bielsa fell in love with like Daley Blind as a CB and Wilf Zaha on the wing.
De Boer haha yikes. He was coming off 4 league titles in a row which is impressive even if it's Ajax.
Garcia would have failed, he's a decent manager but seems to have nothing special about him and he's too defensive. He shows that you can take 2 clubs up, win the league with the 3rd or 4th best squad but never evolve and be a solid 7/10 guy, which is probably what will happen with my next name.
So back to now, and the 2 weird left field choices the club will never consider but I'd like to see them give the rest of the season
as a trial instead of just having Carrick and Fletcher coach while spending the time trying to figure out if the fans would accept Brendan Rodgers, trying but fail to get Zidane on the phone and trying to somehow invent a time machine that could let them see if England win the World Cup and if so give the job to Gareth Southgate but definitely not do so if he doesn't but also not wait until after the World Cup to appoint a manager based ultimately on if Antonio Conte improves Harry Kane
Koln - Steffan Baumgart -
He plays 2 up front, 4 at the back but they seem to deny the other team from getting the ball up the pitch fairly well and he's playing a fair amount of the 4-1-3-2 formation (previously only seen on Fifa by teenages and whenever England's 66 Cup winning formation went out of style?) that Celta Vigo also use and actually suits us, particularly if Pogba stays. 2 straight promotions for Paderborn before they went back down but they had no business in the Bundesliga surely. Only 49. We could do dumber things than hiring a young Bundesliga manager. We will never consider this.
Slavia Prague - Jindřich Trpišovský
He gets compared to Klopp for playing high intensity football but he went to the Nou Camp with Slavia Prague players and somehow got a draw by cutting Sacchi's 25 metres between defence and attack rule in half and throwing out this somehow perfectly logical insanity:
and then switched to 3 at the back against Sevilla when his players couldn't handle Sevilla's press and got another draw.
He won the double last year, and also in 2018-19 and the league the next year so that's 5/6 possible trophies in the last 3 years. They're 2nd this year by a point but first in goal difference and set to go through to the Europa League knockouts again, where they made the quarter-finals last year and lost to Arsenal after beating Leicester and Rangers and then getting a 1-1 draw in London before his team collapsed and lost 4-0 but again he didn't have a player who would have made the Arsenal team (though his best 2 players might have made their bench).
Soucek and Coufal improved massively under him to became Prem quality starting players and the Czech nation only has one more of those for sure in Patrick Schick, so seems able to develop a player. He brought Coufal with him from his old club and Soucek was a young player not yet starting before he got there, so not really luck either most likely.
Only 45!
TLDR: This managerial appointment will be like a 40M Euro range buy from that 2014 season where really the guy is slightly less likely than not to be not good enough, which is to say managerial versions of Ander Herrera to United (okay but not really for manager), Lukaku to Everton (sure), Shaw to United (again okay but not really a home run) or Eliaquim Mangala to City (this is if we'd hired De Boer).
So since it's probably about 60-70% likely to fail, we should get 2 bites at the apple by hiring a young tactician who's done well so far instead of just wasting the year. If he's good enough to make it a tough choice between keeping him or not, that's actually a good thing, even if the owners would probably hate it.