I am worried that Ten Hag and Murtough are thinking that the squad has huge potential,if thats the case then its curtains for us and taxi for Ten Hag.
I'm almost sure that that is what will indeed happen.
Next season, I think we will start with the same starting XI that failed us this season (with maybe 1 or 2 new names in the starting XI). This will give the club an excuse to write off next season. (TBF, next season has to be written off regardless while ETH assesses the squad)
The following season (23/24) will be crucial and there will be new faces and improved results. Top 4-5 is realistic.
The season after that (24/25), I think he'll be fired, with that season being written off. This 3rd season is very difficult to predict as it is quite far away.
I want to be more positive, but I feel this would be delusional. We have players on very high wages, who cannot be sold, so ETH will be forced to polish these turds....which simply isn't possible. I don't for one second believe that Shaw, Lindeloff, Maguire, Telles, Wan Biassaka, Scott McT, Fred, Rashford, or Martial will be sold anytime soon.
It is astounding that we have so many below average players on sky-high wages. How the hell did Matt Judge who "negotiated" these contracts, survive so long?
The other issue is that while the players with poor attitudes remain, any new arrivals will be infected with this poor attitude and these new players will be the players who shall later need to be sold. It's a vicious cycle that will be very difficult to break.
So, what's the solution?
1, ETH needs to be given absolute power. No questions asked. If he tells the board that Rashford, Maguire, etc will not play in the first team ever again...then so it must be. If ETH says that a player must be sold, then this must happen.
1a, ETH must be allowed to make wholesale changes/sales to remove the bad apples, quickly. This could be mean replacing 4-5 starting XI players, in a single season
2, ETH must choose Ronaldo as captain and must work with him to weed out any players who lack the attitude to make it at the highest level (ie. the level required to win CL trophies). This is going to be painful. Several fan favourites will fail, but they must be removed and replaced in the following transfer window. ETH and Ronaldo will need to be ruthless, cutting players without emotion. ALL players must be told that if they are unable to meet the standards required, they will be sold within 12 months.
3, We need to stop buying Galactico class players on huge wages. Scouts need to be hired and told to do their job of unearthing unknown gems. Scouts who are unable to do this must be replaced with better scouts.
3a, Our fitness coaches are terrible at their job. They must be told that they must get the players down to a certain weight and up to a certain fitness level. If they cannot perform this role, they must be replaced.
4, ETH must be given realistic targets and time to succeed. Season 1, top 8; Season 2: top 5; Season 3: top 4; Season 4: finish within 15 points from the league winners.
5, We need to find hungry players who are yet to achieve much, but have the potential to become Galacticos - this is where Ralf R will show his worth. He has a proven track record of identifying players who later go onto win at the highest level.
Do I think any of the above will happen? Nope.
I think we'll continue buying big name players who sell shirts.
We'll stick with the turds we have in the squad.
Maguire will most likely be captain at the start of next season and Ronaldo will not be used as a yardstick to judge every other player in the squad.
ETH will be expected to get top 4 in his second season and if he fails, his job will be on the line. Players will sense this and if they choose to, will throw him under the bus and get him fired.
We'll continue to have players on the books, who have no hunger and have no issues with losing to teams at the bottom of the league.
Hopefully, this explains why I believe ETH is likely to fail and why his hiring won't change anything.