Well last night's "Where are Liverpool's Goals Coming From' post sparked some debate didn't it ? Shame it's now descending into the usual childish mud throwing and bating.
Way too many posts to pick just one or two so here are some general comments in clarification (and of course this is all conjecture .. as are all the responses denigrating my mathematics) ! I think however that I left sentiment out of it, at least consciously, whilst compiling that list and tried to think logically what could be expected of each player, what is asking too much, what is a fair judgement.
1. It's not possible to say that last year's total was based on 11 players and those I listed on p.54 was on 15, as I saw someone say somewhere. That doesn't make any sense at all. I've listed 17 goal scorers for 2014/15 whilst we had actually exactly the same number of goals scorers in 2013/14 !
2. I haven't just increased totals per player for the sake of it, at least some thought went into it
Sterling (13 to 15), Coutinho (5 to 8) and Markovic (1 to 3) we hope have all matured and improved on last season, Gerrard (15 to 10) because the number of penalties may drop next season, Sturridge has also decreased (25 to 21) as I think he will be rotated more often and the pressure may get to him, though it could just as easily go the other way with so many better creative talents in the squad.
Skrtel (down 7 to 3), Allen (2 to 1) and the new lads Lallana (10 down to 8), Can (4 to 2) and Lambert (14 down to 7) all have valid reasons for making these assumptions. However I believe we will maintain a high scoring rate because we have more goal-scoring midfielders in the team than last season where Henderson, Allen, Aspas, Moses and Alberto contributed very little in terms of goals (just 9 between the last four of those). This season we have a much stronger goal-scoring presence .. and with probably 2 more to come (striker and attacking MF).
3. The defence has undoubtedly been strengthened with the addition of Lovren, we now have 3 very solid (if not outstanding in Lovren's case) CBs, we have Enrique back (one of the best defensive LBs in the PL based on his previous stats, not so great going forward but an excellent passer and very technically gifted) and it is highly possible another LB to come in too (Enrique is rather injury prone to say the least), Flanno will probably take over as the RB #1 at some point next season (and we have a very exciting young RB from Spain - capped at every level to U21 - Javi Manquillo, to back them up). I genuinely believe that between them they can save us between 8 and 12 goals on last season's rather pathetic 50 goals conceded in the PL alone.
Finally I think I'd agree with some of the sentiments shown above. Those disregarding the above points out of hand are doing so from a biased standpoint, it's wishful thinking if you like, it's OK we're all guilty of it from time to time. It's very nice to see the more logical United fans considering that maybe last year wasn't just a flash in the pan though, and that Liverpool will indeed be very competitive again this season, at least as far as a Top 4 slot is concerned.
There is still some time to go in this window, I expect Liverpool to make 3 more signings, I expect United to make 4-5. Then will be the time to fully appraise the respective squads, just before the season kicks off in earnest. Can't wait !