Interesting take. Sounds very plausible. But to stick to that mental image: how does a poker player become good at being loose aggressive - he has to attempt it on a regular basis, I guess, does he?
I know, this sounds like card blanche for the manager, I actually can't believe that it is me of all people that is now looking like defending ETH, when I was critical of him even after our first season, but we really have to get our objectives right here. We can step away from being loose agressive, that is fine and certainly the best chance to stabilize results in the short run. But the big teams all have the ability to go loose aggressive as well, so, in my personal opinion, it is something we have to do as well, and we won't get there as long as we don't even attempt to do it.
Yes so like anything, to become a good LAG (loose aggressive) player requires thousands of hours of study and play but it also requires a certain type of character as well. A LAG player needs to be brave enough to attack when they see an opportunity but calculated enough to know when blind aggression is folly. They need to present an image of recklessness whilst all the time being calm and serene beneath the surface and they need to be able to handle the variance that comes with playing a LAG style.
Now, I can already potentially see what you're alluding to here, which is "how will we ever get good if we don't practice" etc...? The thing is, nobody advocates for playing a LAG style as a beginner or even an intermediate.
A professional poker coach, given a decent amateur, would work on the foundations of their game first. They would teach the player pre-flop charts, so that they knew which hands to open and from which position, when to 3-bet, when to 4-bet, when to shove all-in etc...then they would move on to the foundations of "Game Theory Optimal" (GTO) play and spend hundreds of hours making sure that is ingrained in a player before they would ever suggest they play like a LAG.
I assume you don't play Poker...if you loaded PokerStars now, deposited £100 and played a £10 buy-in game in a LAG style, it would be gone within the hour. BUT....if you played like a massive "nit" (very tight, very conservative), then you would maybe lose one or two buy-in's...or potentially even get lucky and win buy buy-in or two.
So the point I am getting at, and to bring this back to United, is that EtH is trying to implement a very "loose, aggressive" style, without first addressing some of the very basics, and it's asking for trouble.
I always think the first thing a manager should do is make it hard to score against his side. Get the defensive foundations in-place. This is akin to getting your pre-flop game right and learning GTO principles in Poker.
Then, once you have this nailed, you move on to worrying about how to score more goals and breakdown low-blocks, equivalent in Poker to "how do I win more money against tight opponents now I have mastered the fundamentals?".
You can't just rock-up to a casino or worse, a site full of studied, online professionals and start wildly raising, check-raising, three-betting flops, opening a wide-range of hands etc...you'd lose your house and bank account within a week.
Likewise, you can't take a good but unspectacular bunch of mismatched players who've suffered under various managers and try to have them play high-variance, highly complex "chaos-ball" and expect them to pull it off in the harsh environment of the Premier League.
That's on the coach. If I paid a Poker coach, I'd expect them to accurately assess my level, the good bits, the bad bits and then help me patch up my foundations first.
If the first thing my new coach does is start talking to me about "blockers" and check-raising flops out of position with backdoor straight draws then he/she isn't a good coach, EVEN if we accept that what they are saying is in theory correct...i.e. that those concepts are integral to becoming one of the best in the World.
To summarise what has become quite a lengthy post....in any sport or game, you master fundamentals first. You don't take up cricket and start coaching switch-hitting before you've mastered the forward defensive. You don't turn up to session one of swimming lessons and have the coach take a load of folks who can't swim to the highest diving board to practice triple-somersault twists.
Erik ten Hag might be right in one sense. To win the Premier League, we need to control games, we need to create spaces, we need to beat presses....but he's trying to do too much at once and ignoring the deficiencies of his squad...and all it's doing right now is hurting us and taking us backwards