Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020

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Villa v Leicester
- Villa over 11.5 shots @ 2.25
- Leicester over 15.5 shots @ 2.25
- over 10.5 shots on target @ 2.25
- Leicester over 6.5 shots on target @ 2.25
 
Had:
Iheanacho to score anytime
Grealish to score anytime
Soyuncu to be booked
Konsa to be booked
Under 9 cards
Leicester over 5 corners
@251.00

Just needed a Grealish goal for £1255. :(
 
RedPed said:
Had:
Iheanacho to score anytime
Grealish to score anytime
Soyuncu to be booked
Konsa to be booked
Under 9 cards
Leicester over 5 corners
@251.00

Just needed a Grealish goal for £1255. :(
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Under 9 cards :lol: that won't even have affected the odds will it?
 
One Night Only said:
Under 9 cards :lol: that won't even have affected the odds will it?
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Yes, in the BetBuilders they do....quite significantly in fact. Especially when you have players to be booked. Odds jump up at under 7 cards, but I Just opt for under 9 as they're usually the same as under 8. Sometimes I will just go for under 7 cards. Everytime I go for under 5 cards or something, players just seem to go on a mad one.

Try it and see for yourself. On Bet365.
 
RedPed said:
Yes, in the BetBuilders they do....quite significantly in fact. Especially when you have players to be booked. Odds jump up at under 7 cards, but I Just opt for under 9 as they're usually the same as under 8. Sometimes I will just go for under 7 cards. Everytime I go for under 5 cards or something, players just seem to go on a mad one.

Try it and see for yourself. On Bet365.
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I'll have to have a look, usually when I add something just one or 2 up (either way for their set corners) the odds just don't seem worth it for that extra selection
 
Had an 11-fold yesterday with Celtic, Sunderland, Man Utd, Liverpool, Barcelona Guayaquil, Chelsea Women, Real Madrid, The Strongest, Sporting Braga, Rangers/Ross County >2.5 @227.90

They all won including Rangers but the score was 2-0 and they had the whole of the 2nd half to get a third. :(
 
RedPed said:
Had an 11-fold yesterday with Celtic, Sunderland, Man Utd, Liverpool, Barcelona Guayaquil, Chelsea Women, Real Madrid, The Strongest, Sporting Braga, Rangers/Ross County >2.5 @227.90

They all won including Rangers but the score was 2-0 and they had the whole of the 2nd half to get a third. :(
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You got really lucky to get 10. Some might say.
 
Maccabi odd to beat Madrid is quite decent, if you bare in mind Maccabi's form this season.

Edit: Lyon odd to beat Zalgiris is not bad either, but beware that Lyon is a very inexperienced team at Euroleague.
 
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Think Haiti women to win tomorrow at 16/1 is worth a tiny bet. I’ll be on +2.5 handicap tomorrow once more sites price it up.

Haiti improving a lot, lot of French based players. Mondesir is excellent, a regular for Montpellier. They have a lot of pace in their side, will cause Costa Rica a lot of issues. Think they’ll create chances to score. Defence is a worry as they’ve a habit of disappearing but were solid against USA (4-0 loss is a good result). Costa nowhere near the quality of USA, neutral venue too. Don’t think they’ll win but 16/1 is definitely value.
 
Premier League Weekend:

Leicester v Chelsea, Chelsea 0 @2.04
Bournemouth v Aston Villa, Aston Villa 0.25 @2.1
Bournemouth v Aston Villa, over 2.75 @2.03
Crystal Palace v Sheffield United, under 2 @1.9
Liverpool v Southampton, Southampton 1.5 @2.07
Newcastle v Norwich, Newcastle -0.25 @1.99
West Ham v Brighton, West Ham 0 @1.88
West Ham v Brighton, over 2.5 @1.99
Man United v Wolves, over 2.25 @2.01
Burnley v Arsenal, Burnley 0.5 @1.88
Tottenham v Man City, under 3 @2.17
 
Spiersey said:
Think Haiti women to win tomorrow at 16/1 is worth a tiny bet. I’ll be on +2.5 handicap tomorrow once more sites price it up.

Haiti improving a lot, lot of French based players. Mondesir is excellent, a regular for Montpellier. They have a lot of pace in their side, will cause Costa Rica a lot of issues. Think they’ll create chances to score. Defence is a worry as they’ve a habit of disappearing but were solid against USA (4-0 loss is a good result). Costa nowhere near the quality of USA, neutral venue too. Don’t think they’ll win but 16/1 is definitely value.
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Lost 2-0, kicked off 3/1 though. Didn’t watch game but seemed pretty even from stats. Nice value lower as expected.
 
Sheffield Wednesday vs Millwall draw @ 2.4 sounds a decent bet. Doubled that up with palace vs Sheffield draw gave me an odd of 5.5. Small bet.
 
Small on Melgar +0.5 tomorrow v Nacional Potosi.

Not usually a fan of opposing altitude sides in this comp but Melgar are 2300m themselves. Potosi are 4000m but Melgar deal well with 3300m when they play in Cusco for some away games. Don't think the altitude will have a huge effect on them. Nacional Potosi are also really poor this year, lost most of their best players. I think Melgar can win but South american sides are horribly negative in the away legs, is a chance they'll just play for 0-0. Think it's a 50/50 game.
 
Berbaclass said:
What do we think about this Liverpool v Shrewsbury game?
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At prices I'm leaning towards Shrews +0.5. Liverpool 0 appealed a couple days ago but projected side is weaker than expected. Van den Berg is one of the worst defenders I've ever seen. I've honestly no idea how he is at Liverpool.

Was on Everton +1 and +0.75 in the FA Cup game. That was a much better bet on paper than Shrews +0.5 but will be 0 first teamers tomorrow compared to 6 last time v Everton. I think Liverpool will probably have most of the ball but lose assuming Shrews are pretty clinical.
 
Spiersey said:
At prices I'm leaning towards Shrews +0.5. Liverpool 0 appealed a couple days ago but projected side is weaker than expected. Van den Berg is one of the worst defenders I've ever seen. I've honestly no idea how he is at Liverpool.

Was on Everton +1 and +0.75 in the FA Cup game. That was a much better bet on paper than Shrews +0.5 but will be 0 first teamers tomorrow compared to 6 last time v Everton. I think Liverpool will probably have most of the ball but lose assuming Shrews are pretty clinical.
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Liverpool will win. They always do! Hope you're right though.
 
Went with a small bet on Shrewsbury and o2,5, odds 5,10 on Marathon. Expect Liverpool as others said to dominate posession but be poor in front of both goals. A small punt on LFC/o4.5 on Unibet @7.5, just in case we get lucky again and one of the kids finds his scoring boots.
 
Chelsea v Pool will be priced up in the next couple of days for the FA Cup. Can be decent value at opening prices. Fair price for a Prem game would be around 6/5 - 13/10 for Pool.

99% sure Pool will put out a team similar to the one against Everton. The game is just before the 2nd leg of the Atletico game, that'll be their focus. Chelsea's 2nd leg won't be until the week after. Chelsea 0 would be a big bet if prices and then teams are as I'd expect.
 
Spiersey said:
Small on Melgar +0.5 tomorrow v Nacional Potosi.

Not usually a fan of opposing altitude sides in this comp but Melgar are 2300m themselves. Potosi are 4000m but Melgar deal well with 3300m when they play in Cusco for some away games. Don't think the altitude will have a huge effect on them. Nacional Potosi are also really poor this year, lost most of their best players. I think Melgar can win but South american sides are horribly negative in the away legs, is a chance they'll just play for 0-0. Think it's a 50/50 game.
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Looking good!
 
Berbaclass said:
Looking good!
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Should be paid now.
Annoyingly the bet is 10x better than I expected, should be about 5-0 up, been really good. Potosi are even worse than I expected, watched their two league games so far but been much worse today than those two.
 
AFC Cup isn't my best tournament but Paro +1.5 @ 1.7+ worth a small tomorrow. Biggest home bias in the world for me. Play at 2500m altitude, on astro pitch and the travel and accomodation is awful for travelling sides. Bhutan sides are really really poor but at home the difference is remarkable. The national team can draw at home and lose 9-0 away.

Bengalaru called up 9 B team players for the game, coach has hinted that they are going to rotate. Chetri was going to be kept at home for the game to rest but wanted to play so he's travelled. Weirdly they've taken their foreigners with them (which implies they won't rotate) but calling up B players and managers comments suggest otherwise. I think they'll probably play a strong side, maybe 1 B team player. Thats why only a small. Would be worthy of a better stake if I was more confident in bigger rotations + Paro defence isn't great. Paro got a really good attacker, CG7 as hes known in Bhutan. Very very good for Bhutan, was decent enough when he played for Benga last year.

The reverse game will most likely end 6-0 or something in Benga go strong for it, think they won't win by loads tomorrow though.
 
Spiersey said:
Chelsea v Pool will be priced up in the next couple of days for the FA Cup. Can be decent value at opening prices. Fair price for a Prem game would be around 6/5 - 13/10 for Pool.

99% sure Pool will put out a team similar to the one against Everton. The game is just before the 2nd leg of the Atletico game, that'll be their focus. Chelsea's 2nd leg won't be until the week after. Chelsea 0 would be a big bet if prices and then teams are as I'd expect.
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Just looked at the fixtures, FA Cup game is midweek (Tuesday), followed by home league game on Saturday against Bournemouth then AM the following Wednesday. I think Liverpool will put out a strong side v Chelsea.
 
Spiersey said:
AFC Cup isn't my best tournament but Paro +1.5 @ 1.7+ worth a small tomorrow. Biggest home bias in the world for me. Play at 2500m altitude, on astro pitch and the travel and accomodation is awful for travelling sides. Bhutan sides are really really poor but at home the difference is remarkable. The national team can draw at home and lose 9-0 away.

Bengalaru called up 9 B team players for the game, coach has hinted that they are going to rotate. Chetri was going to be kept at home for the game to rest but wanted to play so he's travelled. Weirdly they've taken their foreigners with them (which implies they won't rotate) but calling up B players and managers comments suggest otherwise. I think they'll probably play a strong side, maybe 1 B team player. Thats why only a small. Would be worthy of a better stake if I was more confident in bigger rotations + Paro defence isn't great. Paro got a really good attacker, CG7 as hes known in Bhutan. Very very good for Bhutan, was decent enough when he played for Benga last year.

The reverse game will most likely end 6-0 or something in Benga go strong for it, think they won't win by loads tomorrow though.
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Where do you follow Bhutanese football?!
 
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