Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020

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Spiersey said:
Gave United way too much respect first 20, they didn't even try to play football. Improved since then, been an even game since. Had 2 decent chances and United created virtually nothing despite the possession, deflection for the goal. Hopeful of 1-1 still. +0.5 has been average at best overall but unders has been really good. Xg would be very low this half.
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Spiersey you beauty!!! Had 30% of my bankroll on this one more time, and one more time made €€ thanks to your tips.
Have to admit that after the 1st half I was sh*t scared aswell
 
André Dominguez said:
Spiersey you beauty!!! Had 30% of my bankroll on this one more time, and one more time made €€ thanks to your tips.
Have to admit that after the 1st half I was sh*t scared aswell
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Wouldn't recommend going with 30% on bets :lol:

1st half wasn't great but difference showed 2nd half. Chong miss was big luck but was unfortunate to concede the deflected goal. Astana had the better chances over the game. Think 0 asians was probably fair over the game, 1-1 fair score I'd say. +0.5 played out well over the 90 mins. Unders was good too, half win on that for me.
 
Easiest money I've ever earned.

Thank you, Astana.

Could have earned more if I didn't go draw-no bet, but I gave our lads too much respect :lol:
 
3.80 was too good of a price to pass up on Astana with their plastic pitch Vs kids.

Mixed it with a few things in bet builders too and came out with a tidy profit.

If Laird had been booked I'd have won a lot more.
 
Tomorrow's bets:

Karlsruhe v Regensburg, Karlsruhe -0.5 @ 2.32
Numancia v Malaga, Numancia -0.25 @ 2.15
Cosenza v Spezia, Cosenza -0.25 @ 2.20
Nancy v Paris FC, Nancy -0.75 @ 2.08
 
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André Dominguez said:
Krasnodar to win (Basel is already qualified)
DC Basaksehir (Roma has been dodgy away this season)
Morelos to score
Arsenal to win (risky nowdays though :D)
Draw on Lugano - Copenhagen
Sporting to win: PSV is under pressure.

On basket:
Valencia to win (for trading)
Alba Berlin - Zalgiris Kaunas: this game will be good for arbing/trading (or not)
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Failed 3 bets on football, but managed to make a good trade at the end of 2Q at Valencia match since they were leading by a good margin (they lost the game though).
The Berlin match was top! Managed to make a good trade at the end of 1Q, then risked on a trade the opposite way and it happened when Zalgiris recovered at the middle of 3Q. Not a big profit overall, but not bad either
 
Today's picks (or fails :D )
DC Union Berlin
BTS in Marseille - Brest

For possible trading or even simple:
Zenit AH+8.5
Anadou AH-8.5
Milano to win
CSKA AH+7.5
Lusitania AH+6.5
Porto to win
 
Spiersey said:
I've been told by someone with links to Arsenal that Emery is a goner after Thursday. Guys usually reliable, they're apparently trying to secure a replacement currently. All the staff were given two days off, they were expecting Emery to be gone. Guys usually reliable but obviously if they can't find a replacement, they might keep him for a bit longer. If they both survive til Sunday though Silva definitely has a chance of going first.
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Didn’t bet it, annoying.
 
Backed champ 4-5 and paisley park 8-13 there, didn’t put it up because my last couple have been donkeys... sorry
 
Bet on some obscure stuff today, just the 1 winner out of 4.

Perth Glory (Australia) @ 2.5 - L 1-0 (hit the woodwork twice)
Hapoel Ramat Gan (Israeli regional football) @ 1.72 - W 4-0
Holon Yermiyahi (as above) @ 2.87 - D 0-0
Real Sports Parakou (Benin) @ 2.40 D 0-0

Literal pennies only. £0.10 on each. :lol:

This was my first day trying to get back into football betting and I've built a little spreadsheet in an attempt help me find value. Just playing with it really, mucking about. I know I shouldn't bet on things I have no clue on, just relying on numbers from league tables/form tables but it's a start and I couldn't resist. Will hopefully modify/improve things over time too.

If I post in here in the future it's never tips, just me thinking something is a bit of value. Might be 3.0 when I think it should be 2.4 etc. Can only ever assess things in the long, long run and if I could end up with any sort of edge/long term profit I'd be a happy camper.

Will definitely be having a look at tommorow's matches later on tonight.
 
Having a little punt on Banfield v Gimnasia BTTS @ 2.10

Banfield has a pretty poor home record, in 7 they've scored 6 and conceded 8. Gimnasia has been pretty good away from home, scoring 14 goals in 7 and conceding 8.
 
Blyth v Brackley, Brackley -0.75 @ 2.05
Leamington v Guiseley, Guiseley 0 @ 1.89
Billericay v Havent & Waterlooville, Havant & Waterlooville 0 @ 2.11
Torquay v Stockport, Stockport 0.5 @ 2.3
Frosinone v Empoli, Frosinone -0.5 @ 2.1
Münster v Mannheim, Münster 0.25 @ 1.97
 
Chipper said:
Bet on some obscure stuff today, just the 1 winner out of 4.

Perth Glory (Australia) @ 2.5 - L 1-0 (hit the woodwork twice)
Hapoel Ramat Gan (Israeli regional football) @ 1.72 - W 4-0
Holon Yermiyahi (as above) @ 2.87 - D 0-0
Real Sports Parakou (Benin) @ 2.40 D 0-0
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Paid out a win in the end so 2/4 and a tiny profit.

Looked up the score on a couple of flash scores sites and they were saying 0-0, must have been wrong. Can't seem to find the actual result anywhere yet.
 
Pagh Wraith said:
Blyth v Brackley, Brackley -0.75 @ 2.050-6
Leamington v Guiseley, Guiseley 0 @ 1.892-2
Münster v Mannheim, Münster 0.25 @ 1.971-3
Torquay v Stockport, Stockport 0.5 @ 2.31-5
Frosinone v Empoli, Frosinone -0.5 @ 2.14-0
Billericay v Havent & Waterlooville, Havant & Waterlooville 0 @ 2.11p.p.
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Would trade some of these goals for close matches when I need them, but I'll take it!
 
Went for Envoi Allen 4/6 1.00 Fairyhouse and Leicester 4/7 dbl pays about 7/4
 
On Botafogo @ 3.1

Edit: Price jumped to 3.5 when the teams were announced, sounds slightly ominous.

Aaaand they lost 0-1.....they deserved to lose too.
 
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Sunday scatter-gun
Leicester 1.60
Velez Sarsfield 1.70
FC Copenhagen 1.91
Molde 2.00
Cracovia Krakow 2.25
Sydney FC 2.30
Kristiansund 3.10
Osasuna 3.60
Parma 3.75
 
paulscholes18 said:
Is that Rayo to win and Darmstadt not to lose (not 100% sure on Asian handicaps)
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The 0 handicap is identical to Draw No Bet. +0.25 is a split between +0.5 ("Double Chance") and 0. When the game ends in a draw, you get half of your stake returned and win the other half.
 
Leicester win at 2.75 a decent bet now in play. It's difficult to see them lose( double chance @1.5 is good value as well).
 
Needed Leicester -1 to complete my acca. For feck sake
 
Did a couple more during the day.

Lugo @ 3.00 0-0
Siena @ 4.00 3-1 (might keep looking out for them, especially away where they have 7 wins out of 8 now, only 1 at home)
 
7 out of 11, +6.11 units on the day. Pleased with that.

Leicester +.0.60
Velez Sarsfield Cashed out at 2-0 for full winnings +0.70
FC Copenhagen +0.91
Molde +1.00
Cracovia Krakow -1.00
Sydney FC +1.30
Kristiansund -1.00
Osasuna +2.60
Parma -1.00
Lugo -1.00
Siena +3.00
 
Trying these today:
PKS Makassar 2.00
Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1.83
Hapoel Akko 2.37
Bnei Sakhnin 1.72
MAT Tetouan 1.66
FC Utrecht II 2.87
Cagliari 2.10
 
André Dominguez said:
DC Union Berlin [Win] made a trade at HT and got a small profit.
BTS in Marseille - Brest [Win] This was predictable as Marseille defends poorly.

Zenit AH+8.5 [FAIL] Despite the result, the game was actually a bit balanced, but Madrid got a small edge foreach quarter.
Anadou AH-8.5 [WIN] Bayern has tons of difficulties on away games. Risked not doing the trade and it paid off.
Milano to win [FAIL] Who would have guessed looking at how sub par is Olympiakos squad and results this season?
CSKA AH+7.5 [WIN] I only didn't do a trade because I forgot to put this game on my calendar :D Luckily for me CSKA battered Barcelona
Lusitania AH+6.5 [FAIL] A poor 1st Q by Lusitania just made this game lost from the 1Q
Porto to win [Win] The bookies made it easy. I know Porto's roster is a bit weaker this season, but they rarely lost a game with Oliveirense in the last 10 seasons.
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Overall it was a nice Friday. A decent overall profit margin.
 
For today:
Mainz to win: they are improving and Frankfurt is falling.
BTS Vasco - Cruzeiro: Fragile teams facing each other, but Cruzeiro urgently needs points for the relegation battle. Vasco needs to secure the Sud-American spot, but they migh not be that motivated since it's a competiton that a team with Vasco history might not feel motivated to enter.
Cagliaria to win
DC Rio Ave
Porto - Paços Ferreira over 3

Cholet to win (possible trading)
Kuban AH-5.5
Novogrod AH+8.5 (a bit risky)
Small punt on UNICS Kazan
Anadolu AH-10.5 (a bit risky)
 
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