There is no guaranteed upside in this game. We agree on that. Like I said in the Solanke vs. Haaland posts earlier here, I wouldn't take a hit, book future transfers or lose value to get in a one week punt like Solanke this GW. Solanke might very well haul in both those games though and the potential upside is quite big even though something between 4-15 points in most likely. I would rather not go without Solanke this week, but I wouldn't sell a player I have 0,3M value in who is going to be my captain in 80% of the remaining GWs to get his points for this GW alone. Haaland is favourite to outscore Solanke in every non double GW after all.
If we end up with 6-8 teams doubling in 34 and those teams are mostly "non-template" teams, the differential potential of loading up with 22 fixtures that few non FH teams have is enormous. Far from a sure thing, but the potential is enormous. The other upside is that we can ignore GW34 entirely in our 31-37 transferplans and silently find the best way to 37.
Template is good when you're top of your league. Watkins isn't part of any of my WC31 drafts.... tough fixtures and guaranteed no doubles. It'll be 2 or 3 x Arsenal, City and Liverpool plus key players from Chelsea, Man United, Spurs and Newcastle mostly, as far as budget can take you at least (who are all likely to double in 37)