Good job spiking price changes.
If you're freehitting next GW, then sure. If not I wouldn't sell Toney and would keep him over Solanke.
170k for now, but hoping some gains on that tonight. Went as far done as 3m at one point around GW8 when Salah was smashing and I waited too long to WC. But since the first WC it has been a continuous rise. However it's a little slow once I was outside 100k, so the idea is to break into 5 digits within the next 3-4 GWs and target for top 50k.
961,000 here
Haaland's FPL stats against Liverpool, Arsenal and Villa in the PL:
Yeah, I am not against keeping Haaland vs Liverpool because that fixture usually contains goals, and Liverpool have no Allison and it's gonna be a title decider.
Honestly, -4s are never worth unless it's someone like a Salah. Also, how do you plan on getting those 3 back?
I agree Arsenal is in great form, but so is City. I don't think that'll be a 0-0 game, it's at Etihad (City hasn't gone off goalless there in 2,5 years) and Haaland has 4 returns in 3 games against them in the PL.
Taking hits can definitely be worth it, but it allways depends. It should allways be for longterm gain though (Injuries, fixture swings, saving chips for better opportunities etc.). Taking hits for 1 week punts rarely is good.
Morris will give you 2 extra fixtures though. Still tough call. I prefer the 0,3M plus potential haul though.
Nah if I want to carry through the team that's a 100% move for me. 3 fixtures (Palace, Bournemouth, Forest) for a team who usually are good for scoring and he's their main man and on pens. Vs one game vs Liverpool. No contest.
We are in similar boats, and I also feel like fielding 9 in 29 with two hits over next two GWs and then WCing out of the mess especially if I have sold Erling is the right move. Set your team in 30/31 for the entire season and FH in 34. I see that WCing now can get you similar teams, but booking transfers after a WC is really bad usually and cripples you going forward because you can't attack the high ceiling players who will emerge as things change rapidly for the last few games. So I want to use a WC into a team which doesn't automatically need transfers for the remaining season and I can save them and use them aggressively.
On the first paragraph: Yeah! Pretty much. Will hopefully field 11 in 29 and mostly good fixtures in 30 so the only edge I think I lose agaisnt the 29 FH'ers is the 2 x (-4) I'll take this week and next. Compare that to knowing GW34 and the FA-semis in 31 and being having a potential mega differential FH available for 34, and I think we're in a good position to climb the ladders. Should be quite easy to navigate from 31 to 37 to maximize the 37 double BB.
It definitely isn't, but there's more than one right approach to this game. That's the beauty of it. I allways take some early hits to find in form players and build squad value, but that has also ruined some seasons for me early on, so high risk high reward I guess.
There's that and also knowing what is the optimal team for 29. For example if Porro isn't back and instead Udogie looks like the starter and hauls. Similarly the right Luton trio (seeing you have Barkley and not Morris) which could swing things a bit. Or the right Villa mid etc. I think for you it's good because you have prepared better. I was also looking at 34 and if things don't change much it's really United and Newcastle we will need. But like I've said before given the choice I'd anyday use FH in a bad blank over a bad double. The risk is 0 and upside is maximized. Which means I could be okay going with 4-5 DGW in 34 and just ignore Palace and Sheffield who are the other two teams doubling and just play my good SGW players.
For the 34 double SHU, Everton, Palace and Bournemouth are the biggest favourites to get a double (70-90%). Newcaslte and Man United are lurking around 50%. The bliss is that we will know this in 31, while those who wildcard now and FH in 29 don't.There's that and also knowing what is the optimal team for 29. For example if Porro isn't back and instead Udogie looks like the starter and hauls. Similarly the right Luton trio (seeing you have Barkley and not Morris) which could swing things a bit. Or the right Villa mid etc. I think for you it's good because you have prepared better. I was also looking at 34 and if things don't change much it's really United and Newcastle we will need. But like I've said before given the choice I'd anyday use FH in a bad blank over a bad double. The risk is 0 and upside is maximized. Which means I could be okay going with 4-5 DGW in 34 and just ignore Palace and Sheffield who are the other two teams doubling and just play my good SGW players.
Agree on Bournemouth defense but when I checked the simulation, I did Haaland to Semenyo for this double and the fixtures after the blank and it looks good. Because I will be on 9 players with two hits, I am leaning more towards the FH and bringing out the best team on that GW without being forced to field anyone I picked ages ago. Or missed out on. That also brings WC in 35 closer to BB in 37, which is another big headache.
Yeah I think I am gonna go back and forth between FH29_WC35 vs WC31_FH34. I really don't know.
I just went with one of the predictions but yes, a lot of changes are possible.
Most likely there will be more than 4 teams to double, so it should be one or two decent teams to load up on with a FH in addition to the bad ones. If you're chasing (like I do), I think you have to go for the biggest potential upside with your chips, and that's in the doubles. Securing 8-15 points vs. the field with a FH in 29 is not very explosive.I just went with one of the predictions but yes, a lot of changes are possible.
IF that's the double, I'd be super nervous using a FH to get those shite teams in for the usual ones.
But that's the thing, you don't have to chase bad teams if they are doubling if there's enough good single GW teams, and that can easily score more than teams that double. In a blank, you are competing with not having a player, so there's definitely possible to gain more in a BGW or a DGW when it comes to FH. I mean, it's just like your post above re: Haaland vs Solanke which is a classic DGW vs SGW situation.
Overall, having the majority of good players from good teams and going largely template is usually more than enough for climbing rank, you don't need to punt on shit players to do that. There's a lot of talk of selling Ollie in 31 when he's the best striker in the league right now. I've seem to come around to the fact that template works better than differentials when it comes to climbing rank.This is nice, I am doing similar but my issue is Foden. Might swap Son to him around GW32.
Feel from 60k to 90k this week despite getting 60 points. Still have triple Arse to go but I assume most have them anyway so won't make a huge difference.
No chance. I have him as the captain. My ML mates picked Haaland and Watkins. Whenever I have a differential and a possible chance to go top and create a lead, something gets fecked.
There is no guaranteed upside in this game. We agree on that. Like I said in the Solanke vs. Haaland posts earlier here, I wouldn't take a hit, book future transfers or lose value to get in a one week punt like Solanke this GW. Solanke might very well haul in both those games though and the potential upside is quite big even though something between 4-15 points in most likely. I would rather not go without Solanke this week, but I wouldn't sell a player I have 0,3M value in who is going to be my captain in 80% of the remaining GWs to get his points for this GW alone. Haaland is favourite to outscore Solanke in every non double GW after all.But that's the thing, you don't have to chase bad teams if they are doubling if there's enough good single GW teams, and that can easily score more than teams that double. In a blank, you are competing with not having a player, so there's definitely possible to gain more in a BGW or a DGW when it comes to FH. I mean, it's just like your post above re: Haaland vs Solanke which is a classic DGW vs SGW situation.
It's also not just the recent experience of DGW 25 where DGW players failed, there have been a few cases like that before as well. Think there was one where people sold Salah for Chelsea DGW or something. So I don't buy into a DGW FH having a higher upside. The upside is the difference of points between your original and FH team and that can easily be huge in a BGW.
I've been around 150K so I don't really know whether to chase super hard.
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