Moby
Dick
Did you make the move before or after the team news came out? Even before the news which was I think 30 mins before deadline no one expected Haaland to start which meant Alvarez was nailed to start up front with KDB likely behind. So you transferred out a starting no. 9 vs Burnley vs a benched player.Alvarez became a no brain pick because KDB was out injured, he then became an even better pick when Haaland too got injured. Now they're both back and minutes will not come to him as easy as before. The mistake I made when I brought Haaland in for Alvarez ahead of this GW was that I thought he would come in for Alvarez -> reducing his minutes already yesterday. That gamble went wrong.
Alvarez had 5 returns (2 goals and 3 assists) in his last 11 matches, so he's not exactly been pulling up trees, while Haaland had 6 goals and 4 assists in his last 7 before the injury. He also scored 5 goals in the 142 minutes he's played against Burnley and will take pens from Alvarez.
In hindsight I wish I rolled the transfer and waited a week of course, but I was aware it was high risk so it's one of those. Saved me 0,1M and lost me 20'ish points (I would have captained Richarlison). Alvarez scoring a brace was not in the cards at all though. He isn't a double digit points kind of player (this was his 4th double digit game in 52 games) compared to Haaland (14 in 50)
At 6,9 he was a good pick and there's a reason I had him, but with Haaland and KDB back he is not that good a pick anymore. If you want tripple City attack now, I think most will go with KDB, Foden and Haaland. There is also so many to choose from in the non premium forward bracket now: Solanke, Watkins, Darwin, Toney as the obvious ones and some diff picks like Jackson, Cunha, Pedro, Jesus, Hojlund, Adebayo, Wood, Nkunku, Isak etc.
So I can't agree that Alvarez wasnt the highest ceiling pick this GW especially once it was confirmed by Toni that Haaland is benched and KDB is starting. In that case you are talking about the City pen taker with KDB behind him, so regardless of his past double digit games that made him better than all other captain options this week on paper. It's not hindsight really because people who captained him or held him did so with the above in mind and the fact that he was playing Burnley. A lot of times this wouldn't have worked out but as a decision it was the most logical call and this time things just happened as they were expected to.