Positive goal difference? Should happen.
I know you're sarcastic here.
It could happen, but I wouldn't bet on it.
The last ten league games we played this season we managed to produce a positive expected goals goaldifference twice (against Burnley and Sheffield United).
This is the xG for and against for the other 8 games:
Brentford (A) 3,16 xG vs. our 0,99 xG (result 1-1 - lucky)
Chelsea (A) 3,48 xG vs. our 1,57 xG (result 4-3 loss)
Liverpool (H) 4,43 xG vs. our 0,81 xG (result 2-2 - lucky)
Bournemouth (A) 2,39 xG vs. our 1,52 xG (result 2-2 - lucky)
Palace (A) 2,07 xG vs. our 0,34 xG (result 4-0 loss - Should have been ETH's last match as manager and was rock bottom)
Arsenal (H) 1,73 xG vs. our 0,55 xG (result 1-0 loss)
Newcastle (H) 2,28 xG vs. our 1,50 xG (Result 3-2 win - lucky)
Brighton (A) 1,97 xG vs. our 1,00 xG (result 2-0 win - lucky)
xG for and against total, including the games against SHU and Burnley:
24,62 expected goals conceded (21,51 from the 8 games above)
vs.
14,85 expected goals scored (8,28 from the 8 games above).
That's a negative expected goal difference from the last ten games of this season of 10 goals, including games against the weakest teams in the league. Over the whole season we had an expected goal difference of -14,45 (15th in the league)
We conceded exactly 200 shots in the last ten league games of the season (20th in the league - SHU conceded 174 shots in 19th).
Expected points the last 10 seasons:
14/15 - 1,66 xPts/90 (4th in the league for xPTs)
15/16 - 1,49 xPts/90 (8th in the league for xPts) (LVG fired two days after winning the FA cup - Imagine that. Can't say that I miss LVG football much)
16/17 - 1,87 xPts/90 (4th in the league for xPTs)
17/18 - 1,64 xPts/90 (6th in the league for xPTs)
18/19 (Mou) - 1,41 xPts/90 (9th in the league for xPTs) (Mou fired mid season)
18/19 (Ole) - 1,81 xPts/90 (3th in the league for xPTs)
19/20 - 1,87 xPts/90 (4th in the league for xPTs)
20/21 - 1,73 xPts/90 (4th in the league for xPTs)
21/22 (Ole) - 1,30 xPts/90 (11th in the league for xPTs) (Ole fired mid season)
21/22 (Rangnick) - 1,50 xPts/90 (6th in the league for xPTs)
22/23 - 1,75 xPts/90 (6th in the league for xPTs)
23/24 - 1,17 xPts/90 (15th in the league for xPTs) over the entire season and ETH gets to start another season in charge.
And this is just some of the numbers. It looks the same in every measurable team parameter. Then comes the eye test, tactical in game management and subs, why so many injuries(?), man management, etc.....
ETH is also the only manager between Mou, LVG, Ole and him, where it's impossible to see on the pitch what he is trying to do with the team.
To expect Manchester United with ETH behind the wheel to suddenly become a top team again next season is, well.....betting on United to finish top 4 should give you good odds, to put it like that.
I guess we'll just have to buckle up and put the mud goggles on.