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I'm really having a hard time seeing the uptick in goals that's being talked about. We all complained about the 4231 that LVG used last season, which was tumescent, and it looks like Mourinho will be lining us up the same way. The difference seems to be that one of the two holding MF (looks to be Herrera) will play a freer role than the other but I am not convinced that this setup, with the players we currently have, will make any kind of improvement to playing with pace and making it easier for our attackers to get behind the opposition. Our best ball-playing MF still appears to be Carrick and he is due for retirement.
I think Ibra will be a good signing for his experience but he is really the complete opposite of what I would've had as a striker, I would rather have taken a player in Vardy's mold who can work the line of defence and create openings on the counterattack. I just don't see Ibra scoring anywhere near 25-30 goals in this league with this setup. Like other people have been saying, our best formation looks to be 433, with Martial and Miki/Rashford as the wide players and Ibra central, which would take some of the pressure off Ibra to find position in front of goal.
We will also not be with the glut of possession like last season so our defenders will have to defend a lot more. Is our defensive squad good enough to do this? I think this might be the deciding factor of the season. I would really have felt more comfortable if we signed another CB/FB (while also keeping CBJ on the squad) and cleared out Jones and Rojo.
We've added a seasoned goalscorer in Ibra. At absolute worst he's worth 10 goals but like I said in my prediction 15-22 goals would come as little surprise. Plus we've added a very creative midfielder and will also see more of Martial and Rashford. We're also forgetting the imminent arrival of our CM (Pogba) who might not get many goals himself but is incredibly creative something our midfield has lacked centrally.
I think to say you'd want the complete opposite of Ibra is very concerning. Our play style is likely going to be us attacking for large portions of a game. I don't like the perception that Mourinho is always defensive, he's not he defends against teams he knows are better than him and attacks the weaker ones. I think this defensive perception is why you'd prefer Vardy, who is inherently a counter attacker. His game is completely ill suited to what we are going to face in the majority of league games. It is why he didn't join Arsenal.
Also RE Ibra, I don't think anyone can seriously expect any player to score 25-30 PL goals on a debut season so straight away I don't think that can be put forward as an argument/point/criticism by implication it suggests you think Vardy would have a better chance to do so? If so that is something I would very strongly argue against. In last years Leicester he was perfectly suited to their sit deeper attack with pace style, I feel even this season will make it a lot harder for Vardy as teams know what to expect.
I proved in another post that actually to have an 80+ goal season you need a 20 goal man, a 14 goal man and a 10 goal man to stand a chance (this surprised me) and I feel we have between Ibra, Martial, Rooney and Rashford, players who can do that.
Not having as much possession will also arguably suit our team better. It creates and encourages faster transitions which with Martial and Mkhitaryan should be easy to set off out wide (Mkhitaryan isn't slow and anyone who thinks he is should research his sprinting background!). It also means we will sometimes need a player able to hold the ball up and slow things down, Ibrahimovic is perfect for that and much more.