It's been 2 years and 3 months since we last failed to score in a home PL game. I don't think your defense is good enough to keep us out for 90 minutes if you actually go for a 0-0.
Don't bother. For some people, advanced stats are bunk, oddsmakers don't use them, and City are perennially overrated. Even if all that was true, their idea of bets in having absolute control over odds doesn't make sense. Liverpool have many more fans and are the best team in public opinion. They most probably get a far larger share of fans bets.
Yes, bookmakers make money on the margin but they do not adjust the odds based on bets placed. Some games, days, weeks or even months, bookmakers may record losses. But the concept of making a profit in bookmaking is that by having the *correct* odds, the results will average out in accordance and the bookmaker will be profitable.
They do lower odds based on bets placed. Trying to place a bet on a horse before the odss come in is a skill in itself.
This is technically true, but doesn't really apply to this situation. There is no mysterious influx of bets that every year sways odds in favour of City. These odds for league winner probably never differ much from the initial values that oddsmakers are setting. And they certainly are using advanced stats.
If we are up there we have the momentum anyway.
I know it's not a nice look to bemoan being in a competition many clubs would love to be in, but the Europa League is such a chore for a club like Manchester United. If Spurs or Everton do well in that completion it's magical for their fans. With United, you know it's a second tier competition and not the one we used to compete in every year and you can't help but feel a sense of dreariness with it to be honest.
Yeah, completely agree. The other really gutting thing is it looks as winnable as it's ever likely to be this season as well. It's genuinely wide open. When it became apparent we'd be playing in the Europa League I like everyone else saw a silver lining in that it gave us a very straightforward avenue into the Champions League next season. With our serious uptick in form that boon is essentially gone and I really can't be arsed with it again. There's no doubt Ole will focus on the league and rest players according to our domestic schedule, though. I'm sure he'd sacrifice a finger it meant us pipping the scouse to the title.
I do. I can see us beating united but not going on a run. On the hand united seem to regroup much better. The most consistant team in the league right now. You beat teams your supposed to and struggle against the top teams which is fine if you keep getting points. On the other hand Liverpool will beat most top teams but get awful draws against the so called lesser teams.
I dont think we struggle that much v top sides. Theres a myth going around that we struggle v low blocks so if you take the Spurs game as the freak it was, every top side has set up defensivley against us and we are never in real danger of losing.
Would have agreed with the bolded if we were talking about last season, in fact we were fantastic against top teams. But this season we've struggled against top teams and it all started after that massive Leipzeig victory. Ever since then we've failed to deliver in every single game against top teams.
If Spurs are an outlier, we havent lost against any of the top 10?
I'm talking about the traditional top teams. Not teams that currently reside in the top 10. There is always a saying that regardless of form or league position when top teams come up against one another, it's always a different proposition.
We have indeed and performed poorly unfortunately. Need to turn that around.I did not realize we've played most of the big teams at home this season
Who cares about tradional top teams? Beating this Villa side is a bigger accomplishment than beating Chelsea or Arsenal and every top game is a damp squib anyway. Over half of the 0-0 have come from top 6 games this season.
Is that a bad thing?! We're the bees knees away from home!I did not realize we've played most of the big teams at home this season
Who cares? We’re better away for one, and with no fans there isn’t really a home advantage anyway. It’s unlikely fans will be back at all this season.I did not realize we've played most of the big teams at home this season
That's not because of bet volumes or amounts. That is a margin increase strategy. Odds are always better days before the event and start shrinking the closer to the event it goes. It is a marketing play. Having the best odds is a reason to choose one bookie over another. But when the event comes and is about to start, they push the low odds because at that point the majority of punters are pre-existing customers.
This is where us doing that over the last 28, 29 games? will be useful. It's still consistently winning, despite the difficulties.
