Donald Trump - GUILTY!

Trump will be the next president.

Guaranteed. Biden will probably have some health problem at the worst possible time, which will suppress turn-out and Trump will win the electoral college with another 3 million voter deficit in the popular vote.
 
You wonder if the media aren't just making the same mistake as in 2016. The one's who have a self-professed loathing for the GOP and Trump in particular. They gave him free advertising by concentrating on the absurdity of the personal clown show, which they now replicate by trials, and scandals, and all of these things, which, whilst important, have essentially zero value in the next year or so because he isn't going to prison. It just detracts from substantive policy debates where you might push the needle.
 
You really believe policy debates are going to win back Trump’s cult members?
No, not them. Too far to the right (I'm sick to death of left, right, centrist metaphors, but you get it). But the ground which wins the election isn't Trump or Biden, it's the swing vote. That's the direction I'd be looking to steer the conversation in, and not making it personal shit-slinging (for every Trumpism, there is a GOP Hunter Biden or corrupt whatever response). Just a poor dialogue. You see the clip where Trump is asked about a specific policy within a specific state and has no idea what it means. That's where I'd take the conversation. He cannot swim in those waters because he's basically a stand-up act.
 
No, not them. Too far to the right (I'm sick to death of left, right, centrist metaphors, but you get it). But the ground which wins the election isn't Trump or Biden, it's the swing vote. That's the direction I'd be looking to steer the conversation in, and not making it personal shit-slinging (for every Trumpism, there is a GOP Hunter Biden or corrupt whatever response). Just a poor dialogue. You see the clip where Trump is asked about a specific policy within a specific state and has no idea what it means. That's where I'd take the conversation. He cannot swim in those waters because he's basically a stand-up act.
He won the presidency in 2016 with answers like that.
 
Shit I'd say. It's 10 months away.
TBH 10 months would be fairly normal I would think for a case like this, the primaries run until June 11 but I suspect the winner will be known before that date

It would definitely put a crimp in his campaign though, the Manhattan case will be done and dusted by then and we're still awaiting the other SC indictment and the Georgia state case, it's quite possible that from March to November he'll be in court
 
I see the polls have Biden and Trump neck to neck. Despite all this stuff. +3 for Biden here +3 for Trump there. Until it goes national, after primaries, next year, it's still a very polarized nation despite whatever newsfeeds one looks at.
New polling today from Monmouth or Emerson has Biden +7 with no third party running, +3 with a third party running.
 
TBH 10 months would be fairly normal I would think for a case like this, the primaries run until June 11 but I suspect the winner will be known before that date

It would definitely put a crimp in his campaign though, the Manhattan case will be done and dusted by then and we're still awaiting the other SC indictment and the Georgia state case, it's quite possible that from March to November he'll be in court

It's more because we know how team Trump operates (delay, delay, delay). So I'm thinking there's no chance this actually commences before election day.
 
It's more because we know how team Trump operates (delay, delay, delay). So I'm thinking there's no chance this actually commences before election day.
Well this is the delay, the Feds wanted December and the judge has ruled May, it's going to be hard to delay it any further in this particular case, in a few weeks it's likely there'll be a further 2 trials scheduled
 
Well this is the delay, the Feds wanted December and the judge has ruled May, it's going to be hard to delay it any further in this particular case, in a few weeks it's likely there'll be a further 2 trials scheduled

His lawyers have already tried one motion to delay, no doubt they'll keep on trying. The hope being if he wins the election he can pardon himself.

I'll hope the trial commences on schedule and wraps up quickly but won't be holding my breath.
 
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His lawyers have already tried one motion to delay, no doubt they'll keep on trying. The hope being if he wins the election he can pardon himself.
Something's gonna happen in Georgia in the next two weeks which could make your fear moot (or send us into a full blown constitutional crisis the following year).
 
Something's gonna happen in Georgia in the next two weeks which could make your fear moot (or send us into a full blown constitutional crisis).
In suspect we'll get something from DC first with the Federal Grand Jury
 
Something's gonna happen in Georgia in the next two weeks which could make your fear moot (or send us into a full blown constitutional crisis the following year).

Fingers crossed, mate, well maybe not on the constitutional crisis.
 
Fingers crossed, mate, well maybe not on the constitutional crisis.
TBH in the long run it might be worth having the constitutional crisis, it could answer/clarify certain theories of the law once and for all
 
Am I crazy in thinking that it’s good that it’s mid-primaries?

in trump case any publicity is no publicity and if they spinning the trial as a martyr witchhunt and that they are actually winning, might give him a boost.

Any normal candidate campaign manager would be shitting bricks and we would laugh it out of a disaster candiate. The fact that we all think deep inside that he still have a chance is the scary part because he is not measured by any normal criteria despite all this circus

If you believe is bad for him might be good for him. Is all so warped
 
in trump case any publicity is no publicity and if they spinning the trial as a martyr witchhunt and that they are actually winning, might give him a boost.

Any normal candidate campaign manager would be shitting bricks and we would laugh it out of a disaster candiate. The fact that we all think deep inside that he still have a chance is the scary part because he is not measured by any normal criteria despite all this circus

If you believe is bad for him might be good for him. Is all so warped
I think it can be bad for him because it’ll be impossible to campaign if he’s in court repeatedly from May - November
 
I think it can be bad for him because it’ll be impossible to campaign if he’s in court repeatedly from May - November

But he will be in the news non stop and will post his messages from truth with is martyr slogans and spouting shit to biden
 
But he will be in the news non stop and will post his messages from truth with is martyr slogans and spouting shit to biden
Which will reach his cult members. He’s gonna do that anyway. Anyone in the middle is likely to see him repeatedly in court as a negative.
 
But he will be in the news non stop and will post his messages from truth with is martyr slogans and spouting shit to biden
There ain’t enough undecideds / leaners out there to be swayed by any martyrdom horseshit. The exhaustion level regarding Trump on both sides of the political divide is substantial.
 
Hope you are both right. I still believe that with a weak biden he might pull it off.
 
Hope you are both right. I still believe that with a weak biden he might pull it off.
Ain’t enough of the brainwashed out there to matter.

If the oft-mentioned for the past 18 months inevitable recession doesn’t materialize, Biden will win easily. We’ll see soon enough if the polls that came out yesterday are outliers or indicative of a softening of Biden’s negatives.