So in response to some posters yesterday, I have provided some statistics for 'expected goals against', which of course DOES attempt to take into account the quality of shot a goalkeeper faces.
Now the problem with this is that it doesn't factor into account goals that were caused by problems of the goalkeepers own making. For example, 99% of people believe De Gea was at fault for Everton's first goal yesterday. However, the 'expected save' metric for that shot would be very low...because the mistake was palming a tame cross straight to Doucoure. Doucoure's shot, which was an open goal from a yard out, would have had a very high xG percentage.
Likewise, it wouldn't factor in mistakes like De Gea's cowardice at corners/free-kicks leading to goals against or goals like Everton's 3rd yesterday, where he bottles a challenge, because again, once DCL actually gets on the end of that chance, his xG will be very high from that position.
Anyway....I've explained why it's flawed but people asked for it and it still looks horrible for De Gea
GOALKEEPER | TEAM | GA | PSxG | PSxG +/- |
Nick Pope | Burnley | 24 | 29.4 | 6.4 |
Alphonse Areola | Fulham | 28 | 33.3 | 5.3 |
Emiliano Martínez | Aston Villa | 24 | 28.3 | 4.3 |
Robert Sánchez | Brighton | 11 | 14.1 | 4.1 |
Bernd Leno | Arsenal | 22 | 22.6 | 3.6 |
Hugo Lloris | Tottenham | 22 | 23.5 | 3.5 |
Alisson | Liverpool | 15 | 18.3 | 3.3 |
Kasper Schmeichel | Leicester City | 25 | 27.1 | 3.1 |
Illan Meslier | Leeds United | 37 | 38.1 | 2.1 |
Sam Johnstone | West Brom | 50 | 48.4 | 1.4 |
Caoimhin Kelleher | Liverpool | 1 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
Ederson | Manchester City | 12 | 11.6 | 0.6 |
Dean Henderson | Manchester Utd | 3 | 3.4 | 0.4 |
Darren Randolph | West Ham | 0 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Łukasz Fabiański | West Ham | 28 | 28.2 | 0.2 |
Rúnar Alex Rúnarsson | Arsenal | 0 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Kiko Casilla | Leeds United | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Fraser Forster | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vicente Guaita | Crystal Palace | 37 | 37 | 0 |
Robin Olsen | Everton | 6 | 5.8 | -0.2 |
David Button | West Brom | 2 | 1.7 | -0.3 |
Zack Steffen | Manchester City | 1 | 0.6 | -0.4 |
Marek Rodák | Fulham | 3 | 2.5 | -0.5 |
Bailey Peacock-Farrell | Burnley | 5 | 4.4 | -0.6 |
Edouard Mendy | Chelsea | 14 | 13.3 | -0.7 |
Kepa Arrizabalaga | Chelsea | 6 | 4.8 | -1.2 |
David de Gea | Manchester Utd | 27 | 23.7 | -1.3 |
Willy Caballero | Chelsea | 3 | 1.5 | -1.5 |
Karl Darlow | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 34.4 | -1.6 |
There we have it...a Manchester United goalkeeper on £350K a week mixing it with the likes of Bailey Peacock-Farrell, David Button, Robin Olsen, Kiko Casilla and Karl Darlow. De Gea is even below Kepa!
Yesterday I was accused of being arrogant by several posters...well, OK, I get angry and can be a bit patronising when I'm frustrated...but my feelings are that I can forgive any player a mistake. The problem is with De Gea is that he has been very poor since Jose's first season. Ever since then, visually and statistically he has been one of the worst GKs in the league.
Likewise, I can forgive handling errors. What I can't forgive, and I don't think any of us should forgive, is his cowardice. Most of us on this forum would give their right arms to play for Utd (and probably still be better GKs than DDG), yet this bloke is playing week-in, week-out and costs us goal after goal by being scared of the ball, opponents and his own shadow! Unforgivable for me.
Also, just one for the Henderson 'is not the answer' posters...I'd love to know how on earth you draw that conclusion? I'm not saying Henderson IS the answer....but last season he had the best save percentage and the best performance against xG in the Premier League. This season, he has only played 3.5 games in the PL and is performing like a proper keeper based on saves/expected saves...so how anybody has enough evidence to write him off is really baffling.