Web of Bissaka
Full Member
After that one bad=rubbish keeping mistake, he made 2-3 good saves didn't he.
He really need to cut down this "schoolboy" errors.
He really need to cut down this "schoolboy" errors.
The thing is De Gea has made so many individual errors over the last two years for a supposed world class goalkeeper. People never put Van Der Sar in the same bracket but I never remember the ball slipping through his hands that often.
The usual thing with United though. He’s now on a ridiculous contract which no one else will match. We have a goalkeeper out on loan doing much better than him this season. Have Bayern just allowed Neuer to remain at number 1? They have already brought in another goalkeeper knowing he’s on his way out. We aren’t cut throat enough anymore. Simple as that. This is a football club that should be trying to win things.
One thing you can guarantee is that Solskjaer doesn't have the character to drop him. Especially considering last seasons form where David dropped many points at the final hurdle of the season, Romero should have played the remainder fixtures.
I've been thinking this for some time. He's turned into the kind of keeper who makes great saves from time to time, but is unreliable in the sense that he makes costly mistakes.
Poor guy. Time to move on as he’s declined. It’s not the case of an odd error anymore. It’s a few clangers each season.
Cant he is in the Sanchez category. His salary means only top teams can afford him but I hardly think they will be that keen with all these howlers.
de Gea's 375k-per-week salary pretty much guarantees a spot for him. Given his repeated errors and terrible form towards the end of last season, Ole still refused to drop him and chose to stick with him. As far as I see, he will be our first choice as long as he's here and competition is nonexistent.When a striker is not putting away clear chances, they get dropped. Don’t see why the same doesn’t happen to a GK when they are making howlers.
De Gea is not a big vocal commander of the defence so don’t see it having a major impact on our defence, which is usually the worry with dropping a GK.
Remember DeGea being dropped for Lindegaard in his debut season, seemed to do him the world of good as he improved massively.
Romero is a fantastic GK too.
https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/znRyK/1/Will play devil's advocate here. At the end of the day, Dave is still a very good keeper. Our goals conceded and xGA is basically equal, which means that statistically we aren't conceding more or less than what we should have been conceding. What it also implies is that for every howler, there are a good number of goals he would have saved as well.
Also, an important thing to note here is that our xGA and the GC stat are equal despite some freakish WC goals that we've conceded - Grealish at OT, Neves equalizer, the West Ham 2-0 freekick and so on.
We can go all and all on about his mistake, which it was, but when an attacker goes 1v1 vs a GK, 90% of the time it's going to end up in a goal as the GK will have to premeditate the shot. In this case, it looks like a proper mistake because the shot was directed towards him. Dave couldn't get down fast enough and it's a bit understandable. Most GKs would expect an attacker like Bergwijn, who's running at you towards you at that pace to use power (and in turn hit the ball gaining enough elevation) than slotting the ball one of bottom corners
Liverpool's expected points discrepancy is fecking ridiculous.
So you’re comparing team stats vs individual?
Liverpool's expected points discrepancy is fecking ridiculous.
I was one of the biggest fans and defenders of David but am really wishing Ole decides to keep Henderson with us for next season and give him a few games (at least 10) in a row, maybe when the schedule gets very busy and we start playing European competition and local cups.Just replace him with Henderson. People citing his contract as some reason why he needs to play makes little sense to me. He has already signed his contract. As has Dean Henderson. At this stage, selection cannot cost us money, only points. Henderson and De Gea will be paid every week for the next few years regardless of which one of them plays. So what exactly is the sense in playing the more poorly performing one?
Dave has been our GK for every PL game. I'm comparing all shots xGA vs xGA of just shots on target (which is what the link you shared is doing). The reason for that being that metric, while accounting for blocked shots, isn't accounting for GK's presence, if you get what I mean. If you're a striker and facing Dave, there's a higher chance of you missing the target because you would have tried to place the ball at one of the corners than when you're facing an average GK in which case you'd probably not try to place the shot exactly at the corner but maybe a few inches on the inside. I hope that I'm able to explain this properly and you're able to get the point I'm trying to make.So you’re comparing team stats vs individual?
There is too much assumption in what you suggest. There is no way of accounting for what you suppose as it may well have been a defenders 'presence' that forces the player to miss the target (how do we account for the pressure having a Van Dijk breathing down your neck has as opposed to Titus Bramble in the same position etc.), the attackers boot being a little loose or any other number of things. By using the stat in the context you have, you are blindly assigning all credit to De Gea in those instances (something we know cannot be entirely true but have little ability to establish to what extent it may hold some truth).Dave has been our GK for every PL game. I'm comparing all shots xGA vs xGA of just shots on target (which is what the link you shared is doing). The reason for that being that metric, while accounting for blocked shots, isn't accounting for GK's presence, if you get what I mean. If you're a striker and facing Dave, there's a higher chance of you missing the target because you would have tried to place the ball at one of the corners than when you're facing an average GK in which case you'd probably not try to place the shot exactly at the corner but maybe a few inches on the inside. I hope that I'm able to explain this properly and you're able to get the point I'm trying to make.
There is too much assumption in what you suggest. There is no way of accounting for what you suppose as it may well have been a defenders 'presence' that forces the player to miss the target (how do we account for the pressure having a Van Dijk breathing down your neck has as opposed to Titus Bramble in the same position etc.), the attackers boot being a little loose or any other number of things. By using the stat in the context you have, you are blindly assigning all credit to De Gea in those instances (something we know cannot be entirely true but have little ability to establish to what extent it may hold some truth).
When shots have been placed on target, De Gea has not fared well comparative to his PL peers, from the perspective of xGA. This is statistically verifiable.
The merits of xGA are of course open for debate and should not be the sole consideration in any summation.
When we have a method of objectively accounting for a GK's 'presence' statistically, we can begin to use it in a statistical analysis. Until then the subjective opinion that De Gea's 'presence' has a particular bearing on outcomes only muddies any attempts to be objective. It is an intangible and will likely remain so.
This is not to say that your idea is wrong (that De Gea's reputation as a shot stopper plays on the minds of opponents and alters their decision making), just that it should not be used as you seek to use it.
I agree with the premise, it is just ridiculously difficult / impossible to account for it statistically.I do agree with what you've said, and I'm not of the opinion that the difference between a striker shooting on the target and missing the target is Dave. There are going to be some blocks, some long range efforts (having low xG) and so on. But the current metric would probably underrate the better GKs in a way. And a lot of it is down to the placement of a shot. Aguero might try for an effort from the edge of the box against a Tim Krul, but he'll probably square it to a player in a better position or maybe try and progress by a few yards vs De Gea or a top GK
Yeah agreed. He’ll need to take a massive pay cut to head off anywhere. And of most top teams - is anyone even in need of a GK? Maybe Juve?Cant he is in the Sanchez category. His salary means only top teams can afford him but I hardly think they will be that keen with all these howlers.
I agree with the premise, it is just ridiculously difficult / impossible to account for it statistically.
In defence of De Gea, he is not helped by the fact he has made two quite obvious errors punctuated by a three month hiatus from football.
I'm more than willing to offer the benefit of the doubt and put yesterday down to him not having faced a shot in anger for quite some time. The fact that the first shot he faced could be considered "blistering" and reached him in the awkward zone between body/leg and hands further mitigates. Maybe he should have tried to use his knee instead? If that type of thing happens over the rest of the season I won't be as sympathetic.
There is a concerning trend of errors over the last 12 months but yesterday should not be given too much significance due to this being one of the most, if not the most, unusual times in football history. GK's need competitive matches to find rhythm and sharpness too.
Which ones ?
In terms of Tottenhams goal, it looks worse than it is and people jump on it. It's a bullet of a shot from what, roughly 13m out, and we're talking about 0,6 something seconds from he hits the ball to it hits the back of the net, factor in that it's at a difficult height and close to his upper body and it's pretty clear that saving it is more difficult than people like to think. Short time to react, can't use his leg because of the height and distance to his upper body, only chance is to use his fist and hope that it deflects over/outside.
I would agree with you but to be honest, that Everton mistake was near unforgivable.
No idea why the Everton goal is referred to as a mistake, it's an attack on the goalkeeper and 99/100 times it's a clear and obvious freekick.
Which Everton mistake are you referring to here?
Which Everton mistake are you referring to here?
which one do you think i am referring to
The one at home was a clear foul, but the one away with Calvert-Lewin was inexcusable. Can't tell which one you're referring to as an attack on the goalkeeper. I think the Everton (away) and Watford mistakes are the ones he was talking about.which one do you think i am referring to