Ultimately the only people who can decide who will win are the Glazer's, and it depends on what the Glazer's intentions are:
- A full sale will mean Qatar's bid will be successful
- A sale in which they stay on in some capacity will mean that Sir Jim's bid will be successful
Without knowing that key information (the Glazer's intentions), then any answer is just speculation.
My own opinion (speculation), is that the Glazer's will leave straight away, and therefore it will be Qatar that wins, I am 95% certain of this.
I base my 95% certainty on this:
- Sheikh Jassim has played a 'Power move' by being prepared to walk away.
- He has upped his bid numerous times and must now be there or thereabouts of the Glazer's valuation; with it being his final bid, it has lead me to believe that he is actually 'There' at the Glazer's asking price. His "Not negotiating any more" stance, further adds to this belief.
In a way Sheikh Jassim is saying, "I have met the asking price (for what was overpriced from the outset), and I will not pay a penny/cent more".
In terms of when the news will be announced of the preferred bidder, I believe because we are dealing with something that is fiscal (it's a sale after all), then logic would suggest that something should be announced by the end of the Quarter Fiscal - which is 30th June 2023... which just happens to be very close to 1st July 2023 - a date that is important in the Summer transfer window, as that is when the International window opens for overseas transfers.