I still think we will end up with the Super League. The cheating is going to become so rampant that the big teams, the ones with all the fans, will start to see revenues decline as they're overtaken by the Citys and Newcastles of the world. They will say enough is enough and go out on their own.
This was my point really. I'm really trying to see this objectively and fairly, without my United bias, but I can't see that City and Newcastle have more than, what 200,000 fans globally combined? How many fans would PSG have? Maybe 100,000? 150,000?
I suppose it very much depends on what you class as a 'fan', but id say it means more than just buying a replica shirt or saying that you 'follow club XYZ'. It has to do with at least some level of consistent interest. Not necessarily going week-in, week-out, but being truly engaged. Sticking with the club through thick and thin, following them closely, watching 80%+ of the games, engaging with social media etc....
If we then imagine the number of people globally who truly follow/are engaged with Real Madrid, Manchester United, Arsenal, Liverpool, Barcelona, Juventus, Bayern etc....you are talking tens of millions, if not hundreds of millions.
This definition of 'engaged' matters, because whilst having tonnes of fans who loosely align with your team is somewhat relevant i.e. for some aspects of marketing revenue/shirts sales etc...these fans are fickle, they switch clubs, they drift in and out, they are only passively interested. That's not what successful long-term competitions and interest in those competitions is built on.
Imagine the future of football if 100,000,000+ fans and some of footballs oldest institutions are effectively frozen out, picking up the scraps that fall from the City/Newcastle/PSG table. What does that do for the game overall? I can't imagine it's a good thing and I cant imagine its a situation Bayern, Juventus, AC Milan, Real etc...will tolerate for long.
In actuality, United are one of the very few clubs who probably CAN still compete with the sovereign wealth funds IF we are well-run and well-managed. Same for maybe Real and Barcelona....although we've seen chaotic mismanagement at both Barcelona and United over the last decade.
I believe it's the likes of Juventus and Bayern who will drive this ESL idea further and further. Clubs like Liverpool, United, Arsenal, Barcelona and Real will go with it, knowing it's good for their revenues and hurts the likes of City.
Whichever way you look at all this, I feel it's a very sad state of affairs for football.