Because there are various factors to it, and no, Newcastle weren't actually that great last season and will probably be a little bit found out this year. They're also not an intrinsically better team than Utd, even though last year they got a lot more coaching and rest time. Just like Arsenal did, in fact.
No, I think you are coping and at this stage hoping United are better than Newcastle, and Arsenal.
Newcastle's defensive organisation is currently proven to be superior to both United and Arsenal. The statistics show this as fact, as well as visual analysis of their defensive game.
Newcastle's offensive organisation (including their automations in attack and ability to seamlessly transition) is superior to United. Again, fact statistically and visually.
Of course United can be better than Newcastle and Arsenal, but they have to show it statistically and through visual analysis. Not because your BBC and TNT pundits tell you that United are better.
Also, Brighton played better football than both clubs. I assume they are going to finish above both clubs?
If they had the better quality of players and could keep them season on season, then yes, absolutely. From a system and cohesive point of view, Brighton were one of the best teams in the league last season. The great shame with them is that they arent backed significantly, and lose their players season on season.
But Brighton are a top ball team. As United and Arsenal saw last season.
Newcastle didn't have to play 3/4 times a week. United 'stumbled' into third place because, by and large, they couldn't put out a fully fit team for the second half of the season. If Newcastle were actually better they would have finished above us, given the advantage the schedule had given them in terms of prep time.
No team will have to deal with that next season, even Europa League competitors, as there won't be a mid-season World Cup, and the Queen can't die again.
Well, we'll see how it plays out. Because luckily all the top competitors will have extra commitments, except for Chelsea and Spurs.
Fixture congestion, squad strain and all that good stuff will apply to every single team who finished 1-7 last season.
So lets see how it goes.
They were also not in Europe, hence they could play their best players week in week out without saving their legs. Did wonders for their back-four who played almost every game.
They're good, I'll give you that, but you can't use stats to prove they're better than Man Utd. The biggest stat of them all is probably that United finished 3rd and Newcastle 4th.
Newcastle are a very good team, I think we must not forget about that.
They are playing a style of football that is closest to Liverpool's when they won the league in 2019/20. They are even better at it than Liverpool are right now. I find it extremely difficult to believe they will just drop off because pundits tell us they will.
There is an argument to be made about squad depth of course, but I will be happy to have that conversation once I see their squad in September. Until then, Im not getting giddy over pundits and their guesses.