- Joined
- Sep 15, 2008
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- 7,821
Don't be cruel.. You'll shatter his illusions..
Not possible, he is thicker skinned than the flaming Glazers
Don't be cruel.. You'll shatter his illusions..
We are the biggest and the most profitable - no other club compares.
Not possible, he is thicker skinned than the flaming Glazers
Not possible, he is thicker than the flaming Glazers
and big companies dont go tits up..
Remind me again.. what happened to AIG ? You know, the ones that used to sponsor United ?
Biggest yes, most profitable you are having a laugh. We showed a profit last year because the Glazers needed to have the books looking good for the bond issue, the sale of Ronaldo enabled them to show a profit. Again if we are making money how come the debt is rising?
Thats not the point, the point is that you are constantly trying to move away from the facts and realities of our current financial situation - you do it either by scaremongering about all the terrible things that might happen in the future or by trying to compare us to other very different sports clubs/companies.
It is true that the vast majority of football clubs do not make any profit and struggle to get by, but we are not most football clubs - we are Manchester United, there is no comparison.
Thats not the point,.
It is true that the vast majority of football clubs do not make any profit and struggle to get by, but we are not most football clubs - we are Manchester United, there is no comparison.
Now the bricks lay on Grand Street
Where the neon madmen climb
They all fall there so perfectly
It all seems so well timed
And here I sit so patiently
Waiting to find out what price
You have to pay to get out of
Going through all these things twice
THe point is that no matter how big you are, you can still collapse.
From what I understand, they were limited by covenants on the previous loan structure, that is now no longer the case, so the debt has probably more or less peaked.
And on the Ronaldo sale being the reason for profit, from what I read on here, it's been explained how basically those yearly accounts are just a big fiddle for tax reasons
You know I think I could handle it if it was only twice, but this bloke asks the same bloody question about 5 times a day
From what I understand, they were limited by covenants on the previous loan structure, that is now no longer the case, so the debt has probably more or less peaked.
And on the Ronaldo sale being the reason for profit, from what I read on here, it's been explained how basically those yearly accounts are just a big fiddle for tax reasons
an article on EBITDA said:The Calculation
EBITDA is calculated by taking operating income and adding depreciation and amortization expenses back to it. EBITDA is used to analyze a company's operating profitability before non-operating expenses (such as interest and "other" non-core expenses) and non-cash charges (depreciation and amortization). So, why is this simple figure continually reviled in the financial industry?
The Critics
Factoring out interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization can make even completely unprofitable firms appear to be fiscally healthy. A look back at the dotcoms provides countless examples of firms that had no hope, no future and certainly no earnings, but became the darlings of the investment world. The use of EBITDA as measure of financial health made these firms look attractive.
Likewise, EBITDA numbers are easy to manipulate. If fraudulent accounting techniques are used to inflate revenues and interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization are factored out of the equation, almost any company will look great. Of course, when the truth comes out about the sales figures, the house of cards will tumble and investors will be in trouble.
Actually, a press report today suggests they may not be paying off the PIK loans after all, so dont hold your breathe..
Well by the very nature of the PIKs and how quickly they escalate, they will pay it down at some point soon, I suspect that it will be in the next quarter seeing as the financials are due this week for the 1st quarter, and they will hardly want to admit that x has gone out of the club, that's not going to play well with some season ticket renewals
I think they can only pay down the PIKs on yearly and half-yearly anniversaries ie 31 Jan and 31 Aug (possibly only on yearlies).Well by the very nature of the PIKs and how quickly they escalate, they will pay it down at some point soon, I suspect that it will be in the next quarter seeing as the financials are due this week for the 1st quarter, and they will hardly want to admit that x has gone out of the club, that's not going to play well with some season ticket renewals
I think they can only pay down the PIKs on yearly and half-yearly anniversaries ie 31 Jan and 31 Aug (possibly only on yearlies).
Yes Roodboy keeps telling you that.
However, what he doesnt mention is that EBITDA is also used to overstate a clubs profitability to potential investors.
A little article I was reading just today gives a nice insight into EBITDA
It's all guesswork to a large extent because we really don't know much about the finer details of the PIK loan. We didn't know about the Net Debt/EBITDA convenant until it was revealed in last year's accounts that the interest rate on the PIK loan was rising to 16.25%. And by the way you only have to look at the use of EBITDA in that convenant to appreciate that it is a very significant and relevant financial measure. Fred take note.
It is of course true that EBITDA does not measure cashflow as it doesn't take into account movements and changes in working capital. However the basic rule is that if a company is continually increasing revenue and profitability (like United) then EBITDA will if anything be lower than the actual net cash inflow generated from its operations whereas if a company is struggling then EBITDA is likely to be higher than the actual cash generation.
If you look back at United's/Red Football's accounts since the Glazers takeover you'll notice that in every year the net cash generated from operations has been higher than the EBITDA (usually by about £10m). So far from giving an over-inflated picture of the club's profitability and cashflow generated like Fred claims, the use of EBITDA in the case of United is actually not reflecting the fact that the amount of cash generated from its operations has in fact always been higher than EBITDA!
No idea mate, I'm sure someone who has read and understood the prospectus will confirm
The prospectus doesnt really go into the detail of the PIK - but I did read somewhere that it can only be paid off in Feb and Aug as peterstorey mentions.
Well as I say, I guess it will be August that they transfer from RF to RFJV (or whichever way around it is) because they don't want the negative press from doing it now during season ticket renewals and the transfer window
You could be right - although I wouldnt be suprised if they have already done it in Feb either - will find out next week either way
Yup, we'll know more, but it would be strange that they seem to be briefing the media that they haven't done it yet and then they actually do it
Yes you are probably right - I have always been a bit dubious about these PIKs anyway, I have in the past said that they could be a way for the Glazers to extract extra cash from the club on the sly but that is probably a conspiracy theory too far!
Anyway here is andersred's preview of the forthcoming financials:
the andersred blog: United’s Q3 results to be published this week – some things to bear in mind
I thought these would be the numbers for RFJV as well - so we won't know what they've done to the PIKS (even if some dosh has been siphoned off to RFJV).
I was expecting to see a big wad of cash missing for the bank account and assume that was the PIK payment - but as noted they might delay for P.R. reasons anyway.
I also heard a rumour today that the Glazers are pushing Fergie to make a big signing before the WC starts to encourage renewals.
I was expecting to see a big wad of cash missing for the bank account and assume that was the PIK payment - but as noted they might delay for P.R. reasons anyway.
I also heard a rumour today that the Glazers are pushing Fergie to make a big signing before the WC starts to encourage renewals.
Makes sense, as I previously suggested it would. If Fergie spends 30m to 40m on a top player (or players) then it will deflect somewhat from the G&G campaign in that some will see this as proof that all is ok financially. Clearly Fergie will now have to find some value !.
Apparently (according to the Telegraph) they have not yet used the 70m to pay down part of the PIKs. Maybe this is a sensitve issue at this time as the money has to be paid or loaned to the Gllazers themselves first.
That is IF the money does indeed go to the PIK debts.
Some of the rumours circulating around the US suggest that the Glazers may have need for the money elsewhere. And if you believe one radio reporter ( a highly unlikely story indeed ) then the Glazers need it rather desperately after losing $440 million in the Madoff scandal ( but thats almost certainly bullshit )
The problem that you appear to overlook, is that since the inception of the PL over half the teams that have been in the PL have at some stage or other been in, or been exceptionally close to administration.
In the world of Business, football is notorously poor at producing success stories. Out of all the clubs that went PLC before or around the same time United did, the majority have not performed as well as the prospectus said they would, and even United didnt live up to the expectations that becoming a PLC promised.
By all means, believe football is a business. Just dont brush over the fact, that as businesses, most of the clubs are failing with few if any returning profits, and that includes many of the top clubs. Not just Portsmouth, Hull, Burnley etc..
I was reading the other day an article that said over 70% of the clubs in the football league, if they were treated as proper businesses would be declared bankrupt...
How many companies do you know would face a winding up order by HMRC and be given 3-4 extensions to pay ?
How many companies do you know would not pay their staff for 2-3 months and still be allowed to trade ?
How many businesses do you know would be allowed to run with a wage bill higher than its entire turnover for a season...
Football is not a business. If it were there would only be about 20 teams playing it professionally.
A real scorched earth campaign by the fans, including a significant stayaway from games, might focus their minds - particularly if there was a reasonable offer on the table. I mean suppose the attendance at OT was only 35 000 on the first day - that would send a clear message of thngs to come, wouldn't it ?
Roodboy if you think that post 1515 answers what I have been asking you then catch yourself on. At best I would describe that as a load of waffle designed to confuse people but does not answer the simple questions in a simple manner which you dont want to do because you cant. They have wasted a fortune, we have no money for transfers unless we borrow more money and the debt is rising and that is in plain talk for all to understand
I think that its gone too far for people to fall for the "oh we spent £24 million so all is rosey.. They've played that card too often already for people to get sucked in by it.
...said Crerand Legend, surpassing even his own stubborn dimwittery.
@ 'plain talk'
"I'm too thick to understand so you must be saying it too complicated and stuff! Anyway, feck the financial details, they're confusing me, this is how it is in plain talk!"