Wasn't expecting such a big GOP lead with the excellent GOTV operation the Dems have there but whatever. The rust belt numbers look decent for now at least.
2024 U.S. Elections | Trump wins
- Thread starter Raoul
- Start date
Ken Paxton has written to federal regulators to try and hamper money going to democrats in Texas because texas dems outspending republicans in certain areas.
Would Paxton have the be the biggest crook still serving in any office in the country?
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4945458-paxton-seeks-fec-restrictions-actblue/
Would Paxton have the be the biggest crook still serving in any office in the country?
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4945458-paxton-seeks-fec-restrictions-actblue/
You bedwetters are getting strung along as usual, Ralston is good, but hes also an attention whore. Stop torturing yourself with the day to day update and just look at final result at end of early voting.
Context: Republicans won EIP in 2022 by 7 pts.
How are these numbers crunched that are posted in the Tweet above? How do they come up with 45% for Dems, 56% for GOP etc? They can’t be officially confirmed numbers. So it just based on some kind of “survey”?
They have access to the state voter files database by registration, you then match that with the result once they came in. Nov 9 2022 when the tweet was written was day of election.
Mom’s spaghetti.
So, who's everyone voting for? Remember that you have to tell someone if they ask you.
I'll start: I'm not American so I can't vote (yet, but Kamala is working on it).
@Raoul?
I'll start: I'm not American so I can't vote (yet, but Kamala is working on it).
@Raoul?
Niiiiiiiiiice! Looking at 400K ballot advantage by end of week without IND.
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Most people simply don’t understand that it was an actual coup attempt because it was such a boring, convoluted, borderline incromprehensible and poorly executed one. As coups go, it was almost a little cute/funny, which is the same reason he gets away with the mental things he says. He’s too stupid to appear genuinely dangerous, his immunity is his incompetence.
Thinking about taking a day off on election day, to be able to follow it. Not directly involved but this is more exciting than a CL final.
I did for the one 4 years ago. Stayed up till about 6am and no result
I will probaly do the same. I have a bad feeling though result might be quite clear a lot earlier this time round though (In Trumps favour)
Good numbers but I'm not a believer in the 500k firewall thing. As far as I can tell it's just made up?
I can't do that, but I'll get up at 5 AM to watch for a couple of hours before I need to get going
Honestly pleasantly surprised that he's not MAGA.
He made an anti-Trump video back in 16, so it was somewhat well known he wasn’t going to support him. Kid Rock is another story.
500k number is an estimate extrapolated based on 2022 voting patterns I believe.
The elephant in the room that no candidate is talking about:
U.S. is increasing base money supply by 7.5% per year. That pace will only increase , until the citizenry becomes aware of what’s going on (in this country, that won’t happen until the media starts reporting on it — because nobody reads here).
U.S. is increasing base money supply by 7.5% per year. That pace will only increase , until the citizenry becomes aware of what’s going on (in this country, that won’t happen until the media starts reporting on it — because nobody reads here).
Harris heading to Houston on Friday.
Snoop did a 180 on Trump, Em is a real one though.
Banana republics actually jail people for stuff like that.
We're all involved in this one. Trump leading up to this election reminds me of Jaws Revenge. If he wins the world is going to hell in a handbasket.
I’ve been trying to find the methodology he used. Interestingly he was initially at a 395k firewall and then revised it up to 500k. Someone on Reddit guessed this was the formula Reddit link
I’ve seen a few tweets from him hedging on his re significance, saying it’s not gospel, just how he’s weighting things looking at the data. Also firewall is not the right word for him to use, seems more like the number is needed for her to have a shot
What’s the general consensus in WI and MI? Will it stay blue this time again? If Dems can hold those 2 northern states then all they need is PA. Trump can have AZ, NV, NC and GA and he still won’t win.
Can he really beat Cruz though? I feel O’Rourke came closest and it’s going to take some doing to come close to those levels.
Have faith in WI, it is a state where the Dems feel motivated and empowered (finally!!!) at the state level.
That’s the trickier of the two as well. Michigan I feel fairly confident with a strong Dem Governor there. So good to know that WI is engaged this time around.
Nah Em is chill
I've no idea, but she has to go there for a reason! TX ain't turning Blue this cycle, so that senate seat is the only thing I can think of.
True, impact will be global.
Strong Dem governor in WI too. As I have said before, RoJo is the only major statewide GOP office holder in the state. Add to that the fact that, for the first time in decades, the state legislature maps are no longer the most gerrymandered in the country and that the dems are guaranteed to demolish the GOP super majority (and maybe win one of the chambers) and the energy is high.
Polls don't close on the east coast until 7:00pm or 8:00pm and that's when the early results begin to flow in for those states. You would have to take Wednesday off and get up really early to start to follow it.
You'd be better having the day after off because of the time difference
I voted democrat
Some of my connections in Lansing seem convinced Trump will take MI unfortunately but they re in with the Rs so hopefully its false optimism.
Don't listen to the jokers, everyone knows that the count stops at midnight east coast time*.
*vote counting only stops if Trump is winning